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Alagoz vs Mersin BŞB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 64-85
20-29 15-19 15-20 14-17
Position#11
Record11-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.3
Alagoz
Turkey
vs
Mersin BŞB 🏆
Turkey
Position#2
Record13-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.4
TurkeyTBLRound 21
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alagoz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin BŞB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlagozTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#15
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A20/11
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H25/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#10
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
A03/12
TBL
Yalovaspor
#1
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H09/12
TBL
Gaziantep
#4
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A16/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#3
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
H23/12
TBL
Harem Spor
#14
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A30/12
TBL
Cayirova
#7
L
91-101
91
101
-10
A07/01
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H15/01
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A21/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
13-21
12-16
26-22
24-18
19-24
26-18
29-28
23-21
25-16
28-26
15-28
27-32
30-24
13-18
21-12
18-20
17-13
23-17
19-22
13-30
16-16
25-18
25-15
14-23
22-15
23-13
18-12
19-20
23-25
31-31
18-25
11-17
22-17
16-16
13-20
20-17
22-18
23-18
24-18
167.9Avg total
86.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.078.3158.2+1.755%
Season at home (9)77.979.4157.3-1.644%
Season away (11)81.677.4159.0+4.364%
Last 10 (10)86.281.7167.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)82.878.8161.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)86.881.2168.0+5.5100%
vs Similar (16)78.277.6155.8+0.744%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin BŞB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin BŞBTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balıkesir BŞB
#9
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A17/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#10
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H25/11
TBL
Yalovaspor
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A04/12
TBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H10/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A18/12
TBL
Harem Spor
#14
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H24/12
TBL
Cayirova
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A30/12
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
W
92-67
92
67
+25
A06/01
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H12/01
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H20/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-17
20-16
27-26
18-11
17-10
22-15
16-20
18-22
22-18
23-19
18-32
16-20
23-22
18-27
20-17
13-23
28-19
22-25
23-25
16-17
17-25
21-16
28-16
20-25
21-26
23-25
30-20
17-13
18-26
27-11
30-17
11-17
19-18
23-12
18-17
31-21
16-23
15-16
20-16
160.6Avg total
82.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.276.4158.6+5.865%
Season at home (10)78.673.3151.9+5.370%
Season away (10)85.879.5165.3+6.360%
Last 10 (10)82.777.9160.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)84.275.4159.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.071.0134.0-8.00%
vs Similar (6)74.382.7157.0-8.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.774.3159.0+10.378%
This opponent (Alagoz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
AlagozMersin BŞB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlagozLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OGM Ormanspor
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A20/11
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A03/12
TBL
Yalovaspor
#1
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H09/12
TBL
Gaziantep
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A16/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H23/12
TBL
Harem Spor
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/12
TBL
Cayirova
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/01
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H15/01
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A21/01
TBL
80.2Avg total
40.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.339.077.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (9)38.141.679.7-3.444%-
Last 30 away (11)38.537.075.5+1.555%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.676.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.045.086.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (16)37.637.675.2+0.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin BŞB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin BŞBLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balıkesir BŞB
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/11
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#10
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H25/11
TBL
Yalovaspor
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A04/12
TBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A18/12
TBL
Harem Spor
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H24/12
TBL
Cayirova
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A30/12
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/01
TBL
Konyaspor
#18
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H12/01
TBL
Bornova
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H20/01
TBL
77.4Avg total
38.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.935.975.7+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.779.9+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.177.4-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.279.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.034.066.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (6)35.339.074.3-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.637.779.3+4.070%-
This opponent (Alagoz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alagoztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alagoz: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀11%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.02.0
7.1%
37.5%6.0
🏀 Free throws28.017.0
60.7%
72.9%17.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin BŞBtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin BŞB: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.026.0
63.4%
52.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.015.0
53.6%
37.5%45.0
🏀 Free throws14.012.0
85.7%
72.9%12.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alagoz
WLLWWWWLWW
Mersin BŞB
WWWLWLLLWW
#11
League position
#2
-24.5
Net rating
+32.2
73.4
Offensive rating
146.3
97.9
Defensive rating
114.1
31.2%
Effective FG%
70.3%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
9.2%
Turnover %
12.0%
14.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.20
7.1%
3-point %
53.6%
89.5%
Assist %
75.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence73.4 · 146.3Defence97.9 · 114.1Shooting31.2% · 70.3%3-point %7.1% · 53.6%Ball care9.2% · 12.0%Off. rebounds14.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.44 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Alagoz   ■ Mersin BŞB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alagoz wins
0
Mersin BŞB wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Mersin BŞB v Alagoz78-84
Alagozlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AKonyaspor89-71
15/01/24HMKE Ankaragucu62-70
07/01/24ACayirova91-101
30/12/23AHarem Spor77-63
23/12/23HiLab Basketbol95-89 OT
16/12/23AGaziantep77-72
09/12/23HYalovaspor91-86
03/12/23AAnkara Kolejliler105-107 OT
25/11/23HBalıkesir BŞB98-88
20/11/23AOGM Ormanspor77-70
Mersin BŞBlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HBornova82-76
12/01/24HKonyaspor71-64
06/01/24AMKE Ankaragucu92-67
30/12/23ACayirova94-96
24/12/23HHarem Spor82-74
18/12/23AiLab Basketbol86-92
10/12/23HGaziantep77-86
04/12/23AYalovaspor81-91
25/11/23HAnkara Kolejliler73-56
17/11/23ABalıkesir BŞB89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alagoz
TBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeLWWWL44%
AwayLWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%44%64%
Points / game80.077.981.6
Allowed / game78.379.477.4
Point differential+1.6-1.6+4.3
Avg total158.2157.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %15%22%9%
Mersin BŞB
TBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game82.278.685.8
Allowed / game76.473.379.5
Point differential+5.8+5.3+6.3
Avg total158.6151.9165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%30%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Yalovaspor2018290%92.078.3+13.7
2 iLab Basketbol2016480%82.775.2+7.5
3 Gaziantep2015575%85.579.6+5.8
4 Mersin BŞB2013765%82.276.4+5.8
5 Alagoz2011955%80.078.3+1.6
6 Cayirova21101148%82.382.9-0.6
7 Final Spor2091145%81.281.1+0.1
8 Ankara Kolejliler2091145%80.881.2-0.5
9 Harem Spor2091145%74.876.2-1.4
10 Bornova2091145%79.582.7-3.1
11 Kapakli Spor2091145%85.488.8-3.5
12 Konyaspor2091145%81.885.3-3.5
13 Esenler Erokspor2081240%79.180.8-1.8
14 OGM Ormanspor2081240%78.983.8-5.0
15 Fenerbahce 22181338%82.786.8-4.1
16 Balıkesir BŞB2071335%82.385.2-2.9
17 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor2071335%78.681.9-3.3
18 MKE Ankaragucu2061430%85.890.7-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alagoz2015151464
Mersin BŞB2919201785
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