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Alba Berlin vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-85
25-27 14-30 27-13 21-15
Position#4
Record9-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game83.2
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Rytas
Position#11
Record6-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rytas
22 Jan 2019
ABE87
RYT85
01 Nov 2017
ABE93
RYT86
02 Nov 2016
ABE124
RYT115
07 Feb 2012
ABE62
RYT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H19/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A23/12
German Cup
Giessen
#13
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H27/12
BBL
Bremerhaven
#17
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A29/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H03/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A05/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A09/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A13/01
BBL
Rytas
#11
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
A16/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
W
105-70
105
70
+35
A20/01
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
19-22
19-31
23-22
21-24
20-16
20-15
17-15
27-18
27-31
28-27
26-20
25-17
20-21
21-28
28-20
18-15
26-23
21-15
18-21
18-28
28-14
10-20
23-21
13-19
15-18
15-13
23-28
22-21
27-22
20-17
24-24
13-15
20-21
22-21
24-22
27-17
30-12
27-22
21-19
170.1Avg total
88.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.783.2170.9+4.569%
Season at home (6)90.085.0175.0+5.067%
Season away (7)85.781.7167.4+4.071%
Last 10 (10)88.281.9170.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)87.480.2167.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)91.679.8171.4+11.879%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#22
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H19/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H27/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/12
LKL
Partizan
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H02/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A05/01
LKL
Monaco
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A09/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A12/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
H16/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H19/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
14-22
20-17
20-13
24-21
26-14
25-22
20-16
24-18
23-22
25-16
17-23
23-21
23-27
23-15
20-19
28-23
20-19
17-17
15-15
24-17
17-21
21-16
17-14
21-15
11-15
19-17
19-28
24-22
19-20
21-16
18-17
15-13
21-20
21-22
22-24
21-32
24-21
19-21
11-22
159.9Avg total
81.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.579.2157.6-0.746%
Season at home (7)77.977.6155.4+0.357%
Season away (6)79.281.0160.2-1.833%
Last 10 (10)81.678.3159.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)78.481.6160.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.786.4165.1-7.714%
vs Similar (7)80.381.1161.4-0.943%
vs Weaker (16)84.272.6156.8+11.688%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Alba BerlinRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/12
German Cup
Giessen
#13
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/12
BBL
Bremerhaven
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/12
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A13/01
BBL
Rytas
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
W
57-29
57
29
+28
A20/01
German Cup
82.8Avg total
43.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.484.8+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.840.887.6+6.079%-
Last 30 away (16)44.338.182.4+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.182.8+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.480.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)45.040.885.8+4.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.439.384.7+6.171%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#22
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H19/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H27/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H29/12
LKL
Partizan
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H02/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A05/01
LKL
Monaco
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/01
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H16/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H19/01
LKL
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.479.7+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.379.4+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.638.480.1+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.038.677.6+0.457%-
vs Similar (7)40.641.682.1-1.057%-
vs Weaker (16)42.836.979.6+5.969%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.6
49.5%
51.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.0
39.8%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
74.9%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.2
48.8%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.2
31.8%
36.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
74.9%15.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWLLWWWWL
Rytas
LLWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#11
+3.8
Net rating
-2.1
108.1
Offensive rating
104.0
104.3
Defensive rating
106.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.8%
3-point %
31.8%
75.0%
Assist %
56.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 104.0Defence104.3 · 106.1Shooting53.1% · 48.4%3-point %39.8% · 31.8%Ball care18.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
3
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
16/01/19Rytas v Alba Berlin86-94 OT
20/12/17Rytas v Alba Berlin94-73
01/11/17Alba Berlin v Rytas93-86
07/12/16Rytas v Alba Berlin97-99
02/11/16Alba Berlin v Rytas124-115 OT
07/02/12Alba Berlin v Rytas62-79
31/01/12Rytas v Alba Berlin86-75
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19AFrankfurt105-70
16/01/19ARytas94-86 OT
13/01/19AOldenburg93-84
09/01/19APartizan66-78
05/01/19ABasketball Braunschweig79-83
03/01/19HMonaco83-74
29/12/18ABremerhaven94-86
27/12/18HGiessen108-96
23/12/18ABayern78-70
19/12/18HLokomotiv Kuban82-92
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19HLietkabelis75-96
16/01/19HAlba Berlin86-94 OT
12/01/19ASiauliai82-75
09/01/19AMonaco70-75
05/01/19AJuventus79-68
02/01/19HPartizan80-74
29/12/18HPieno Zvaigzdes89-82
27/12/18HAlytaus Dzukija89-79
23/12/18ALietkabelis95-73
19/12/18HMornar Bar71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game87.790.085.7
Allowed / game83.285.081.7
Point differential+4.5+5.0+4.0
Avg total170.9175.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %15%0%29%
Rytas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game78.577.979.2
Allowed / game79.277.681.0
Point differential-0.7+0.3-1.8
Avg total157.6155.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1311285%85.375.8+9.5
2 Lokomotiv Kuban1311285%84.875.6+9.2
3 Valencia1311285%84.875.6+9.2
4 Unicaja1310377%87.879.2+8.6
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1310377%78.573.2+5.4
6 Alba Berlin139469%87.783.2+4.5
7 MoraBanc Andorra139469%86.482.8+3.6
8 Monaco149564%77.574.9+2.6
9 Crvena zvezda137654%81.477.7+3.7
10 Ulm136746%83.883.2+0.6
11 Rytas136746%78.579.2-0.7
12 Frankfurt136746%74.677.2-2.6
13 Partizan146843%74.875.5-0.7
14 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
15 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
16 Zenit Petersburg135838%84.182.9+1.2
17 Cedevita135838%83.786.2-2.5
18 Limoges134931%79.683.6-4.0
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2514272187
Rytas2730131585
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