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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-78
24-21 16-20 15-20 15-17
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game92.0
Bayern
Germany
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game68.0
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
62-72
62
72
-10
86avg 105
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-74
89
74
+15
117avg 105
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
71-95
71
95
-24
93avg 105
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
95avg 105
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
114avg 105
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
103avg 105
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
94avg 105
H21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
12-16
16-14
19-27
21-17
25-25
15-20
28-12
21-16
25-24
21-25
27-14
17-27
12-20
26-20
16-28
16-16
15-12
23-22
18-15
25-22
26-13
10-15
21-16
18-12
28-26
17-23
25-23
23-19
22-24
24-14
14-24
15-16
26-24
17-17
22-21
16-27
15-19
28-19
13-17
156.9Avg total
79.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.092.0198.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)106.092.0198.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.377.6156.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)81.078.2159.2+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.588.2164.8-11.80%
vs Similar (14)80.276.7156.9+3.571%
vs Weaker (11)90.772.1162.8+18.6100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A10/11
BBL
Cedevita
#18
L
102-109
102
109
-7
134avg 120
H14/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H18/11
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H21/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A24/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H07/12
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
76-64
76
64
+12
113avg 120
A11/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A16/12
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
107avg 120
H19/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
28-15
16-32
24-28
15-27
15-16
14-17
25-20
11-32
27-29
25-18
39-30
31-25
21-24
24-27
16-12
18-21
16-23
24-13
26-19
30-20
26-19
22-23
16-13
24-18
25-21
12-10
26-25
19-12
25-21
17-19
15-12
19-23
24-22
14-24
24-14
21-17
19-22
19-31
23-22
171.5Avg total
87.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.068.0156.0+20.0100%
Season at home (1)88.068.0156.0+20.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.384.2171.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)84.077.6161.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.285.1170.3+0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.278.6170.8+13.683%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.9+3.9
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/11
Euroleague
Giessen
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A29/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A09/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/12
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/12
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
39.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.180.6+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.237.580.6+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)41.738.880.5+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.078.3+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.049.288.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (14)40.136.276.4+3.971%-
vs Weaker (11)45.336.882.1+8.591%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/11
BBL
Cedevita
#18
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/11
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H18/11
BBL
Limoges
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H21/11
Eurocup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A24/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/12
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A11/12
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/12
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/12
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
43.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.384.5+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.640.485.0+4.365%-
Last 30 away (13)43.540.383.8+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.486.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.085.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)40.542.683.1-2.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.139.385.4+6.872%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.8
54.3%
51.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.7
38.9%
34.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.711.8
80.3%
72.2%11.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.3
50.1%
51.2%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.9
41.8%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.6%
72.2%14.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWWWLWWL
Alba Berlin
LLWWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+6.8
115.1
Offensive rating
111.7
112.8
Defensive rating
104.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.9%
3-point %
41.8%
57.0%
Assist %
74.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 111.7Defence112.8 · 104.9Shooting55.6% · 54.6%3-point %38.9% · 41.8%Ball care15.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
16/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin83-81
16/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin106-85
13/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern72-68
10/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin72-66
07/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern69-96
03/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin95-106 OT
25/03/18Bayern v Alba Berlin72-91
05/11/17Alba Berlin v Bayern70-80
16/05/17Alba Berlin v Bayern82-87
13/05/17Bayern v Alba Berlin80-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/18HReal Madrid72-82
19/12/18AOlimpia Milano80-78
16/12/18HAlba Berlin83-81
14/12/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-84
09/12/18AJena82-66
06/12/18HKhimki M.72-65
29/11/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv71-95
25/11/18HGiessen94-79
22/11/18AGran Canaria89-74
20/11/18HOlympiacos62-72
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18HLokomotiv Kuban82-92
16/12/18ABayern81-83
11/12/18AGdynia76-64
07/12/18HFrankfurt87-74
24/11/18As.Oliver Wurzburg94-75
21/11/18HLimoges84-76
18/11/18HBamberg92-88
14/11/18HCedevita102-109
10/11/18AVechta69-80
07/11/18ATofas106-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
German Cup 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total198.0198.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Alba Berlin
German Cup 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+20.0+20.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin110100%88.068.0+20.0
2 Bamberg220100%87.569.0+18.5
3 Bayern110100%106.092.0+14.0
4 Bonn220100%89.077.5+11.5
5 Frankfurt220100%79.072.0+7.0
6 Jena21150%90.090.0+0.0
7 Basketball Braunschweig21150%76.577.5-1.0
8 Gottingen21150%68.075.0-7.0
9 Oldenburg1010%91.094.0-3.0
10 Ulm1010%74.078.0-4.0
11 Ludwigsburg1010%67.072.0-5.0
12 Mitteldeutscher1010%75.083.0-8.0
13 Giessen1010%92.0106.0-14.0
14 s.Oliver Wurzburg1010%74.092.0-18.0
15 Bayreuth1010%68.088.0-20.0
16 Bremerhaven1010%69.089.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2416151570
Alba Berlin2120201778
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