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Alba Fehervar vs DEAC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 96-83
Projected total 179.1
Final 93-74
23-10 23-23 19-23 28-18
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game80.9
Alba Fehervar 🏆
Hungary
Vs
86%
14%
■ AFE 86%■ DEAC 14%
Pythia win probability
DEAC
Hungary
Position#12
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game90.5
HungaryNB I ARound 8· Alba Regia Sportcsarnok
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alba Fehervar v DEAC
06 Nov 2026
AFE93
DEAC74
03 Oct 2025
AFE100
DEAC83
07 May 2025
AFE98
DEAC102
18 Dec 2024
AFE88
DEAC71
16 Mar 2024
AFE101
DEAC81
09 Dec 2022
AFE106
DEAC78
05 Jan 2022
AFE80
DEAC90
26 Apr 2021
AFE90
DEAC97
20 Apr 2021
AFE114
DEAC105
27 Feb 2021
AFE95
DEAC102
23 Nov 2019
AFE99
DEAC87
06 Apr 2019
AFE92
DEAC82
11 Oct 2017
AFE91
DEAC72
24 Nov 2012
AFE89
DEAC59
08 Oct 2011
AFE109
DEAC65
26 Mar 2011
AFE95
DEAC75
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Alba Fehervar will host DEAC on 6 November 2026 in the NB I A, and the Pythia model names Alba Fehervar the favourite with an 86% chance to win, reflecting their 5-2 record, 89.1 points per game and only 80.9 allowed, plus a flawless 4-0 home slate. DEAC, meanwhile, sits 12th with a 1-5 record, 84.8 points per game and 90.5 allowed, and has gone 0-3 on the road. Alba Fehervar's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five, including a 93-64 home victory over Szedeak, while DEAC has only one win in five, a 86-76 home win over KTE-Duna, and three losses. Their head-to-head record is even at 5-5, though DEAC last beat Alba Fehervar 88-75 on 3 January 2026. Pythia projects a 96-83 score, 179.1 total points, and an 86% probability that Alba Fehervar will cover the spread; the model also gives a 14% chance for DEAC to win. The game is expected to stay within a comfortable margin, with a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Fehervar winWon
85.7%fair 1.17
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
DEAC winLost
14.3%fair 6.98
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba FehervarHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFehervar
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 84
H11/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 84
A13/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
87avg 84
H15/05
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 84
H25/09
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
94avg 84
H30/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 84
A11/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 84
H17/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 84
A24/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
90avg 84
H28/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#14
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 84
A31/10
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
27-17
27-17
24-13
18-17
19-22
19-26
17-14
28-17
25-28
17-29
20-24
23-20
20-17
24-18
29-22
29-14
16-24
29-22
24-22
27-20
20-13
23-31
18-31
21-29
32-16
23-22
18-18
19-25
19-18
17-12
12-24
23-25
22-10
27-16
21-13
25-19
23-20
12-19
28-26
171.0Avg total
88.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.180.9170.0+8.371%
Season at home (4)95.277.0172.2+18.2100%
Season away (3)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)88.882.2171.0+6.660%
Last 5 (5)86.081.4167.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.693.4173.0-13.929%
vs Similar (7)91.483.6175.0+7.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.884.8177.5+8.062%
This opponent (DEAC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DEACHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDEAC
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
59avg 75
A06/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#11
W
79-72
79
72
+7
77avg 75
H09/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 75
A12/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 75
H14/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
L
82-100
82
100
-18
74avg 75
A25/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 75
H02/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
L
90-95
90
95
-5
72avg 75
A10/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 75
H17/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 75
A24/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#14
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 75
H28/10
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
18-23
23-21
21-26
19-11
23-21
17-19
20-21
23-21
22-18
15-29
29-25
15-24
25-15
23-27
25-24
19-31
21-19
27-31
15-19
30-23
16-21
20-22
22-27
29-30
19-27
22-14
20-24
18-15
20-28
26-27
17-18
22-15
25-20
23-26
12-30
18-24
18-19
25-17
25-16
172.5Avg total
83.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.890.5175.3-5.717%
Season at home (3)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
Season away (3)84.795.3180.0-10.70%
Last 10 (10)83.589.0172.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)85.488.6174.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.090.0169.0-11.024%
vs Similar (10)85.681.2166.8+4.460%
vs Weaker (3)88.771.3160.0+17.3100%
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
79.1%
Under 166
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Under 171
Over 171
68.9%
Under 171
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
57.1%
Under 176
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Alba Fehervar total 84.5Actual: Alba Fehervar over 84.5
Over 84.5
86.7%
Under 84.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 88.5Actual: Alba Fehervar over 88.5
Over 88.5
76.3%
Under 88.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 92.5Actual: Alba Fehervar over 92.5
Over 92.5
62.3%
Under 92.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
DEAC total 78.5Actual: DEAC under 78.5
Over 78.5
68.2%
Under 78.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
DEAC total 82.5Actual: DEAC under 82.5
Over 82.5
53.0%
Under 82.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
DEAC total 86.5Actual: DEAC under 86.5
Over 86.5
37.5%
Under 86.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alba Fehervar -3Actual: Alba Fehervar -3
AFE -3
80.7%
DEAC +3
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
AFE
No market prices yet.
DEAC
No market prices yet.
Spread Alba Fehervar 0Actual: Alba Fehervar 0
AFE 0
85.7%
DEAC 0
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
AFE
No market prices yet.
DEAC
No market prices yet.
Spread Alba Fehervar +3Actual: Alba Fehervar +3
AFE +3
90.2%
DEAC -3
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
AFE
No market prices yet.
DEAC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
Alba FehervarDEAC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba FehervarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A13/05
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/05
NB I A
Kormend
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/09
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A11/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A31/10
NB I A
86.2Avg total
45.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.343.990.3+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.841.488.2+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)45.946.892.6-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)45.940.386.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.085.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.649.792.3-7.143%-
vs Similar (7)47.444.992.3+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.541.088.5+6.569%-
This opponent (DEAC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DEACLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A06/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A12/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/05
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A25/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H02/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A10/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A24/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H28/10
NB I A
83.5Avg total
40.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.781.6+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.178.1+5.880%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.285.1-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.783.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.487.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.443.483.7-3.047%-
vs Similar (10)41.137.378.4+3.870%-
vs Weaker (3)43.336.780.0+6.767%-
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Fehervartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Fehervar: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.0
55.4%
55.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
32.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
73.6%16.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
DEACtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

DEAC: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.6
54.9%
55.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.5
29.1%
32.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.712.6
64.0%
73.6%12.6
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Fehervar
WWLWLWWLLW
DEAC
WLLLLLLLWL
#4
League position
#12
+6.0
Net rating
-6.2
101.3
Offensive rating
90.7
95.3
Defensive rating
96.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
29.1%
64.9%
Assist %
55.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 90.7Defence95.3 · 96.9Shooting53.6% · 50.2%3-point %34.1% · 29.1%Ball care13.8% · 15.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Alba Fehervar   ■ DEAC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Fehervar wins
5
DEAC wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26DEAC v Alba Fehervar88-75
03/10/25Alba Fehervar v DEAC100-83
07/05/25Alba Fehervar v DEAC98-102 OT
02/05/25DEAC v Alba Fehervar97-84
11/01/25DEAC v Alba Fehervar81-74
18/12/24Alba Fehervar v DEAC88-71
16/03/24Alba Fehervar v DEAC101-81
08/12/23DEAC v Alba Fehervar93-92 OT
18/03/23DEAC v Alba Fehervar77-87
09/12/22Alba Fehervar v DEAC106-78
Alba Fehervarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AKTE-Duna88-84
28/10/26HSzedeak93-64
24/10/26APhoenix-MT Fot67-79
17/10/26HKaposvari94-85
11/10/26ABudapesti Honved Se88-95
30/09/26HSoproni KC98-82
25/09/26HKormend96-77
15/05/26HBudapesti Honved Se90-98
13/05/26ABudapesti Honved Se73-79
11/05/26HBudapesti Honved Se101-79
DEAClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HKTE-Duna86-76
24/10/26ASzedeak82-91
17/10/26HPhoenix-MT Fot81-88
10/10/26AKaposvari90-95
02/10/26HBudapesti Honved Se88-93
25/09/26ASoproni KC82-100
14/05/26HSoproni KC88-90
12/05/26ASoproni KC89-93
09/05/26HSoproni KC79-72
06/05/26ABudapesti Honved Se70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Fehervar
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game89.195.281.0
Allowed / game80.977.086.0
Point differential+8.3+18.2-5.0
Avg total170.0172.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
DEAC
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game84.885.084.7
Allowed / game90.585.795.3
Point differential-5.7-0.7-10.7
Avg total175.3170.7180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Szombathely660100%97.372.7+24.7
2 Atomeromu Paks770100%102.778.9+23.9
3 Alba Fehervar75271%89.180.9+8.3
4 Szolnoki Olaj75271%87.179.6+7.6
5 Kaposvari75271%91.390.4+0.9
6 Budapesti Honved Se74357%92.994.6-1.7
7 Soproni KC73443%83.382.3+1.0
8 Phoenix-MT Fot73443%78.980.1-1.3
9 OSE Lions73443%89.193.7-4.6
10 Szedeak73443%78.686.0-7.4
11 Kormend72529%81.092.4-11.4
12 DEAC61517%84.890.5-5.7
13 NKA Pecs71614%78.692.6-14.0
14 KTE-Duna7070%70.688.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Fehervar2323192893
DEAC1023231874
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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