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Albacete vs Estudiantes Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game77.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26
Other2026-27
Meetings · Albacete v Estudiantes
20 Mar 2027
ALBA v EST
upcoming
22 Apr 2023
ALBA100
EST95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albacete win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbaceteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbacete
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
47avg 75
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
104-92
104
92
+12
97avg 75
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
81avg 75
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
71avg 75
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
81avg 75
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
56-62
56
62
-6
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
30-19
25-21
9-16
27-22
14-13
17-19
12-10
14-21
21-8
10-13
23-24
20-25
14-27
23-23
12-20
22-30
32-18
22-20
28-24
23-18
20-16
15-15
23-22
25-27
12-28
15-15
23-27
20-23
23-19
19-19
20-20
18-15
24-25
15-29
32-21
14-18
11-16
20-14
11-14
157.5Avg total
78.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.484.0163.4-4.643%
Season at home (4)72.077.2149.2-5.250%
Season away (3)89.393.0182.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)78.179.4157.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.292.2171.5-13.025%
vs Similar (17)75.574.1149.6+1.465%
vs Weaker (9)82.974.7157.6+8.289%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 81
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
92avg 81
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 81
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
106-76
106
76
+30
108avg 81
H11/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 81
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 81
A25/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H01/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
28-16
20-18
13-14
6-12
28-24
31-21
15-23
12-9
18-24
26-16
22-16
24-22
13-29
22-10
21-12
27-24
29-16
25-21
25-15
21-22
14-26
27-12
24-17
18-20
26-26
25-16
25-16
21-30
20-17
30-13
31-20
12-16
17-13
18-27
24-17
22-32
19-12
27-23
20-21
168.4Avg total
89.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.877.4167.1+12.488%
Season at home (4)93.074.5167.5+18.5100%
Season away (4)86.580.2166.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)89.479.0168.4+10.480%
Last 5 (5)90.881.0171.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.597.0179.5-14.50%
vs Similar (6)82.274.7156.8+7.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.977.0163.9+10.075%
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.9+4.9
AlbaceteEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlbaceteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H07/11
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.479.0+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.177.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.680.3-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.881.5-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.079.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.550.088.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (17)39.136.775.8+2.465%-
vs Weaker (9)41.239.780.9+1.656%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H06/06
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/06
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/09
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H11/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A25/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H01/11
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A07/11
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.6Avg total
39.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.682.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.979.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.380.6-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.046.281.2-11.20%-
vs Similar (6)40.043.083.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.340.282.5+2.150%-
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Albacetetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albacete: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
53.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.6
75.0%
74.2%18.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.6
55.0%
53.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.4
38.8%
32.9%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
74.2%15.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Albacete
LLWLWWLWWW
Estudiantes
WLWWWWWWLW
#10
League position
#2
-6.6
Net rating
+17.7
108.9
Offensive rating
121.5
115.5
Defensive rating
103.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.6%
3-point %
38.8%
63.0%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 121.5Defence115.5 · 103.7Shooting52.3% · 56.7%3-point %32.6% · 38.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Albacete   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Albacete wins
1
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Albacete v Estudiantes100-95 OT
20/12/22Estudiantes v Albacete68-63
Albacetelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHestia Menorca56-62
31/10/26AZamora89-90
25/10/26HEstela82-81
17/10/26AGran Canaria75-97
10/10/26HCordoba81-71
02/10/26ATizona Burgos104-92
26/09/26HPalencia69-95
31/05/26ACastello68-66
24/05/26HCastello70-64
17/05/26HIraurgi SB87-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGranada101-97 OT
07/11/26AEstela71-73
01/11/26HGran Canaria102-80
25/10/26AFibwi Palma94-78
18/10/26HPalencia86-77
11/10/26HGipuzkoa106-76
03/10/26AZamora80-73
27/09/26HCaja 8778-65
07/06/26HLeyma Coruna97-100 OT
06/06/26HOviedo79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albacete
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game79.472.089.3
Allowed / game84.077.293.0
Point differential-4.6-5.2-3.7
Avg total163.4149.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.893.086.5
Allowed / game77.474.580.2
Point differential+12.4+18.5+6.2
Avg total167.1167.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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