PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Albania vs Romania Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-87
22-21 20-23 22-25 19-18
Position#39
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Romania 🏆
Position#16
Record6-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Dhimitraq Goga Sports Palace
Other2023
Meetings · Albania v Romania
19 Jul 2023
ALBA83
ROMA87
03 Jul 2022
ALBA62
ROMA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Romania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbania
Date
Competition
Portugal
#38
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A20/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
W
71-64
71
64
+7
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
50-90
50
90
-40
no box
A26/11
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A18/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#38
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
84-101
84
101
-17
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
A27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
no box
H03/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
13-22
16-13
15-26
14-17
13-16
22-15
22-16
16-21
7-24
20-23
7-22
16-22
21-26
25-21
8-19
22-18
12-14
15-26
17-30
24-25
15-19
16-26
17-23
27-26
21-20
20-28
24-15
29-28
27-24
14-25
14-24
26-21
15-27
14-21
20-17
18-21
20-20
8-15
16-20
154.9Avg total
70.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.288.0166.2-9.825%
Season at home (2)77.082.5159.5-5.550%
Season away (2)79.593.5173.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)70.484.5154.9-14.120%
Last 5 (5)77.089.0166.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.986.7150.6-22.80%
vs Similar (2)83.587.5171.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (2)68.576.0144.5-7.550%
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRomania
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
A28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
101-84
101
84
+17
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
H30/06
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
76-62
76
62
+14
no box
A03/07
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
59-75
59
75
-16
53avg 63
H25/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
69avg 63
A28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
69-65
69
65
+4
68avg 63
A10/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
62-92
62
92
-30
54avg 63
A13/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
61-62
61
62
-1
55avg 63
H23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-50
75
50
+25
78avg 63
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
29-15
14-18
15-12
28-29
24-27
25-14
24-14
12-15
19-16
21-15
26-21
21-18
20-20
15-8
20-16
14-17
16-25
19-19
10-14
19-29
15-12
20-23
18-20
19-19
21-16
14-13
15-17
14-27
27-27
10-18
11-20
12-16
13-15
19-13
17-18
24-11
16-20
18-6
17-13
143.7Avg total
72.6Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.671.1143.7+1.560%
Season at home (5)74.867.6142.4+7.260%
Season away (5)70.474.6145.0-4.260%
Last 10 (10)72.671.1143.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)67.870.6138.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.484.2148.6-19.87%
vs Similar (8)75.578.1153.6-2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.866.4147.1+14.4100%
This opponent (Albania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
AlbaniaRomania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlbaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#38
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A20/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H23/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A26/11
World Cup
Portugal
#38
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#74
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A18/02
World Cup
Belarus
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
World Cup
Luxembourg
#38
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/07
EuroBasket
79.4Avg total
37.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)35.743.178.8-7.418%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.542.076.5-7.59%-
Last 30 away (11)36.944.281.1-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.079.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.290.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.343.879.2-8.511%-
vs Similar (2)44.547.091.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (2)30.532.563.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#38
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/06
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/07
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H25/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/02
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
37.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.940.676.5-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.240.174.3-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.078.6-3.447%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.977.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.474.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.143.774.9-12.614%-
vs Similar (8)37.638.075.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.537.680.1+4.975%-
This opponent (Albania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Albaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albania: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.0
47.3%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.8
75.8%
71.4%11.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.4
54.1%
50.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.1
30.3%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
71.4%11.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 19 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Albania
LLLWLLLLWL
Romania
WLLWLLWWWW
#39
League position
#16
-13.9
Net rating
+2.1
104.7
Offensive rating
99.3
118.6
Defensive rating
97.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
21.7%
40.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.7%
3-point %
30.3%
48.2%
Assist %
76.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 99.3Defence118.6 · 97.2Shooting49.1% · 49.8%3-point %34.7% · 30.3%Ball care21.1% · 21.7%Off. rebounds40.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Albania   ■ Romania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Albania wins
2
Romania wins
DateGameScore
03/07/22Albania v Romania62-76
24/02/22Romania v Albania101-84
Albanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/22HRomania62-76
27/02/22ALuxembourg75-86
24/02/22ARomania84-101
25/11/21HLuxembourg92-89
20/02/21HBelarus72-93
18/02/21ACyprus66-88
28/11/20HPortugal70-88
26/11/20ABelarus50-90
23/02/20HCyprus71-64
20/02/20APortugal62-70
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HCyprus75-50
23/02/23HBulgaria61-62
13/11/22APortugal62-92
10/11/22ACyprus69-65
28/08/22ABulgaria72-84
25/08/22HPortugal59-75
03/07/22AAlbania76-62
30/06/22HLuxembourg78-67
24/02/22HAlbania101-84
28/11/21ALuxembourg73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.277.079.5
Allowed / game88.082.593.5
Point differential-9.8-5.5-14.0
Avg total166.2159.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Romania
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game72.674.870.4
Allowed / game71.167.674.6
Point differential+1.5+7.2-4.2
Avg total143.7142.4145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia76186%81.766.1+15.6
2 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
3 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria75271%79.672.9+6.7
6 Slovakia64267%73.272.7+0.5
7 Romania106460%72.671.1+1.5
8 Switzerland126650%69.770.4-0.8
9 Norway115645%70.674.0-3.4
10 Austria125742%74.976.4-1.5
11 Denmark104640%75.273.2+2.0
12 Ireland72529%71.985.3-13.4
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Albania2220221983
Romania2123251887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.