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Albury W vs Penrith P. W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 104-63
24-20 33-15 18-17 29-11
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#15
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game76.4
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Albury W v Penrith P. W
12 Jul 2025
ALBU104
PENR63
25 May 2024
ALBU99
PENR76
29 Apr 2023
ALBU86
PENR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albury W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Albury WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
H31/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H14/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
103-86
103
86
+17
H21/06
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H28/06
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
111-72
111
72
+39
A05/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A06/07
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
21-14
22-16
27-28
32-20
30-20
30-11
19-16
19-22
31-20
21-10
25-12
21-21
22-18
10-23
13-23
26-22
19-32
15-16
24-14
19-12
18-21
12-10
21-20
27-26
28-16
28-26
20-18
18-21
30-19
28-18
24-24
23-22
26-21
29-20
33-9
27-25
20-35
23-14
16-21
172.1Avg total
93.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)89.980.3170.2+9.671%
Season at home (9)91.280.0171.2+11.278%
Season away (8)88.480.6169.0+7.862%
Last 10 (10)93.079.1172.1+13.970%
Last 5 (5)94.079.6173.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.570.5148.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (3)70.085.7155.7-15.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)97.173.4170.6+23.788%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
69-103
69
103
-34
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H30/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H14/06
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H15/06
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
61-85
61
85
-24
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H28/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A05/07
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
23-20
15-14
20-21
15-23
21-28
13-27
20-25
12-23
17-18
20-10
14-12
20-18
28-33
12-21
16-18
21-16
16-11
19-18
17-13
17-13
10-17
17-22
19-16
12-27
23-8
5-24
25-17
18-21
22-22
7-20
14-22
15-21
33-14
18-17
9-36
17-26
24-25
17-21
17-15
150.2Avg total
70.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.176.4144.5-8.428%
Season at home (9)68.681.0149.6-12.422%
Season away (9)67.671.9139.4-4.333%
Last 10 (10)70.679.6150.2-9.030%
Last 5 (5)67.880.8148.6-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)65.482.4147.8-16.916%
vs Similar (9)73.171.4144.6+1.756%
vs Weaker (2)68.550.0118.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Albury W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Albury WPenrith P. W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Albury WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H31/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H21/06
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H28/06
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A05/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A06/07
NBL1 East Women
91.2Avg total
48.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.038.186.1+10.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.837.685.4+10.287%-
Last 30 away (15)48.338.586.8+9.773%-
Last 10 (10)48.342.991.2+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.690.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.538.082.5+6.5100%-
vs Similar (3)39.336.075.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)49.438.387.7+11.080%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#7
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H14/06
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/06
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H28/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A05/07
NBL1 East Women
79.2Avg total
38.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.474.3-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.841.076.8-5.219%-
Last 30 away (14)36.135.471.5+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.579.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.942.676.5-8.611%-
vs Similar (9)40.133.473.6+6.756%-
vs Weaker (2)36.021.057.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Albury W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Albury W wins
0
Penrith P. W wins
DateGameScore
25/05/24Albury W v Penrith P. W99-76
12/05/24Penrith P. W v Albury W59-117
29/04/23Albury W v Penrith P. W86-68
Albury Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25ASutherland Sharks W86-95
05/07/25AIllawarra Hawks W111-72
28/06/25HHornsby S. W100-82
21/06/25HSydney Comets W103-86
14/06/25HNorths Bears W70-63
31/05/25HInner West Bulls W91-97 OT
25/05/25ABA CoE W66-85
24/05/25ACanberra W96-64
17/05/25HCentral Coast W111-67
11/05/25AHills Hornets W96-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25ABankstown Bruins W75-87
28/06/25HSydney Comets W75-88
22/06/25HNewcastle Falcons W61-85
15/06/25HCanberra W65-76
14/06/25HHornsby S. W63-68
31/05/25ACentral Coast W73-58
30/05/25HBankstown Bruins W76-90
24/05/25AMaitland Mustangs W68-65 OT
17/05/25HInner West Bulls W69-103
11/05/25HIllawarra Hawks W81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albury W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%78%62%
Points / game89.991.288.4
Allowed / game80.380.080.6
Point differential+9.6+11.2+7.8
Avg total170.2171.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%44%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%11%0%
Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%22%33%
Points / game68.168.667.6
Allowed / game76.481.071.9
Point differential-8.4-12.4-4.3
Avg total144.5149.6139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manly W. W1816289%83.263.1+20.1
2 Norths Bears W1815383%90.768.2+22.4
3 Newcastle Falcons W1815383%81.568.4+13.1
4 Albury W1712571%89.980.3+9.6
5 BA CoE W1812667%79.669.2+10.4
6 Bankstown Bruins W1810856%78.777.8+0.8
7 Canberra W189950%74.176.3-2.2
8 Maitland Mustangs W1881044%74.875.5-0.7
9 Inner West Bulls W1881044%81.486.7-5.3
10 Sydney Comets W1771041%73.580.2-6.7
11 Hornsby S. W1871139%74.782.8-8.1
12 Sutherland Sharks W1971237%76.482.3-5.9
13 Hills Hornets W1761135%77.581.8-4.3
14 Penrith P. W1851328%68.176.4-8.4
15 Illawarra Hawks W1851328%69.479.1-9.7
16 Central Coast W181176%58.283.1-24.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Albury W24331829104
Penrith P. W2015171163
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