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Alcorn State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-39
44-16 42-23
Position#321
Record6-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#370
Record3-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game53.7
Allowed / game82.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alcorn State v Miss. Valley St.
03 Mar 2026
ALCO67
MISS64
10 Feb 2025
ALCO86
MISS39
07 Mar 2024
ALCO74
MISS67
06 Feb 2023
ALCO81
MISS70
03 Mar 2022
ALCO72
MISS69
16 Jan 2021
ALCO71
MISS59
15 Feb 2020
ALCO92
MISS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alcorn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A20/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
43-37
25-30
37-22
32-30
35-35
12-34
45-32
41-31
37-39
37-25
27-40
34-32
36-29
39-37
30-37
34-24
26-29
37-27
42-33
131.3Avg total
67.5Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)63.174.4137.5-11.326%
Season at home (6)68.562.5131.0+6.067%
Season away (17)61.278.6139.8-17.512%
Last 10 (10)67.563.8131.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)68.462.6131.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.878.5140.3-16.618%
vs Similar (10)73.070.5143.5+2.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.365.0142.3+12.3100%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#156
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A04/01
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H12/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
53-82
53
82
-29
H14/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A18/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
53-83
53
83
-30
A21/01
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
L
42-63
42
63
-21
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
44-92
44
92
-48
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
26-45
28-38
39-41
26-39
39-35
28-27
25-55
21-42
37-41
15-30
38-53
27-23
27-42
22-32
20-31
33-29
46-47
21-40
23-52
135.1Avg total
57.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)53.782.4136.1-28.713%
Season at home (6)61.867.3129.2-5.533%
Season away (17)50.887.7138.5-36.96%
Last 10 (10)57.078.1135.1-21.110%
Last 5 (5)54.475.8130.2-21.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)53.380.7134.0-27.47%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)78.560.0138.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -8.9-8.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -12.2-12.2
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -8.9-8.92nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -12.2-12.2
Alcorn StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#221
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
12-34
12
34
-22
A18/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A04/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H08/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
31.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.667.8-5.340%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.632.567.2+2.164%-
Last 30 away (19)29.338.968.2-9.626%-
Last 10 (10)31.730.562.2+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.065.2+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.539.467.8-10.929%-
vs Similar (10)34.233.267.4+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)37.332.069.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#156
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A07/01
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H12/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H14/01
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A18/01
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
L
15-30
15
30
-15
A21/01
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A01/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A08/02
NCAA
58.9Avg total
25.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)24.835.860.7-11.023%-
Last 30 at home (8)28.928.557.4+0.462%-
Last 30 away (22)23.438.561.9-15.19%-
Last 10 (10)25.033.958.9-8.930%-
Last 5 (5)23.630.854.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)23.836.660.4-12.818%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)39.525.064.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Alcorn State wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff79-60
04/02/25AGrambling St.60-53
01/02/25ASouthern Univ.69-74
27/01/25HBethune-Cookman70-61
25/01/25HFlorida A&M64-65
20/01/25APrairie View A&M78-70
18/01/25ATexas Southern57-66
14/01/25HAlabama State67-65
11/01/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs62-52
04/01/25HJackson State69-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AJackson State44-92
01/02/25AArkansas-Pine Bluff79-76
28/01/25HSouthern Univ.42-63
26/01/25HGrambling St.54-65
21/01/25AFlorida A&M53-83
18/01/25ABethune-Cookman58-83
14/01/25HTexas Southern53-82
12/01/25HPrairie View A&M65-74
07/01/25AAlabama A&M Bulldogs67-79
04/01/25AAlabama State55-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alcorn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW26%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23617
Win %26%67%12%
Points / game63.168.561.2
Allowed / game74.462.578.6
Point differential-11.3+6.0-17.5
Avg total137.5131.0139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL13%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23617
Win %13%33%6%
Points / game53.761.850.8
Allowed / game82.467.387.7
Point differential-28.7-5.5-36.9
Avg total136.1129.2138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.2315865%76.669.3+7.3
2 Texas Southern23101343%73.075.2-2.2
3 Bethune-Cookman23101343%67.872.3-4.6
4 Florida A&M2191243%71.576.6-5.1
5 Alabama State2391439%74.276.8-2.6
6 Grambling St.2371630%67.570.0-2.6
7 Alabama A&M Bulldogs2371630%76.681.7-5.1
8 Jackson State2371630%69.378.4-9.2
9 Alcorn State2361726%63.174.4-11.3
10 Prairie View A&M2341917%74.885.7-11.0
11 Arkansas-Pine Bluff2341917%73.787.6-13.9
12 Miss. Valley St.2332013%53.782.4-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alcorn State444286
Miss. Valley St.162339
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