PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aleman vs Quilpue Basquetbol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-63
12-21 23-15 17-13 17-14
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game70.7
Aleman 🏆
Chile
vs
Quilpue Basquetbol
Chile
Position#7
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game66.8
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Quilpue Basquetbol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 65
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
44avg 65
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 65
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
38avg 65
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
72avg 65
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 65
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 65
A01/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H04/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 65
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 65
H18/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
17-18
13-16
22-14
17-15
10-23
17-13
20-21
20-16
24-16
26-17
14-15
14-17
16-14
15-20
7-17
24-14
29-18
19-14
6-9
22-25
26-9
19-30
21-23
22-13
14-19
14-26
15-19
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
23-15
25-16
16-16
12-17
145.0Avg total
74.3Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.370.7145.0+3.660%
Season at home (5)71.862.4134.2+9.480%
Season away (5)76.879.0155.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)74.370.7145.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)78.477.8156.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)56.785.8142.5-29.110%
vs Similar (5)70.673.6144.2-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)76.861.0137.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Quilpue Basquetbol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Quilpue BasquetbolChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasquetbol
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
74-51
74
51
+23
66avg 55
A23/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
70avg 55
H30/03
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 55
A06/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
70-56
70
56
+14
66avg 55
A07/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
59-76
59
76
-17
24avg 55
H13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
27avg 55
A21/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
59avg 55
H21/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 55
A05/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A18/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-12
20-11
15-14
23-17
19-9
16-16
12-28
13-9
19-26
19-27
25-18
16-16
17-12
15-10
22-18
13-26
14-13
10-18
22-19
11-17
10-16
12-16
12-16
23-16
15-12
11-13
12-16
13-27
21-18
22-20
17-17
–
–
–
–
134.7Avg total
67.9Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.966.8134.7+1.156%
Season at home (3)67.368.7136.0-1.367%
Season away (6)68.265.8134.0+2.350%
Last 10 (9)67.966.8134.7+1.156%
Last 5 (5)61.868.2130.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.863.5122.2-4.850%
vs Similar (4)75.574.0149.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (1)74.051.0125.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
AlemanQuilpue Basquetbol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/05
LNB 2
73.8Avg total
39.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)31.341.773.0-10.425%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.939.971.9-8.021%-
Last 30 away (14)30.743.474.1-12.729%-
Last 10 (9)39.334.473.8+4.967%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.079.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)27.645.473.0-17.85%-
vs Similar (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.330.777.0+15.7100%-
This opponent (Quilpue Basquetbol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Quilpue BasquetbolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A23/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/03
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A06/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A07/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A21/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A05/05
LNB 2
65.8Avg total
33.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)33.232.565.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.731.066.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (5)31.833.465.2-1.640%-
Last 10 (8)33.232.565.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.665.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.832.061.8-2.250%-
vs Similar (3)36.035.371.3+0.733%-
vs Weaker (1)39.026.065.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.4
48.3%
44.9%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.67.9
25.8%
28.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.712.0
64.3%
63.6%12.0
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Quilpue Basquetboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quilpue Basquetbol: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.619.7
44.2%
44.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.1
23.8%
28.7%15.4
🏀 Free throws14.49.4
65.3%
63.6%9.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/7 games with a box score before 19 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
WLWLWWLWLW
Quilpue Basquetbol
WLWLLWLWW
#3
League position
#7
+1.9
Net rating
-2.9
89.2
Offensive rating
82.5
87.3
Defensive rating
85.5
44.0%
Effective FG%
41.5%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
25.8%
3-point %
23.8%
65.0%
Assist %
52.9%
60%
Form (last 10/9)
56%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 82.5Defence87.3 · 85.5Shooting44.0% · 41.5%3-point %25.8% · 23.8%Ball care20.5% · 21.3%Off. rebounds27.6% · 26.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/9)60% · 56%
■ Aleman   ■ Quilpue Basquetbol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
0
Quilpue Basquetbol wins
No previous meetings.
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HArabe Valparaiso76-64
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95
04/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-66
01/05/24ATruenos De Talca65-77
28/04/24ABrisas88-87
20/04/24HArturo Prat San Felipe78-55
13/04/24HStadio Italiano52-68
31/03/24ABoston C. C.84-64
30/03/24ASergio Ceppi64-72
23/03/24HMunicipal Chillan73-59
Quilpue Basquetbollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AMunicipal Chillan71-61
05/05/24ASergio Ceppi73-82
21/04/24HTruenos De Talca61-57
21/04/24AColo Colo45-65
13/04/24HBoston C. C.59-76
07/04/24AStadio Italiano70-56
06/04/24ALuis Matte Larrain76-80
30/03/24HBrisas82-73 OT
23/03/24AArturo Prat San Felipe74-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game74.371.876.8
Allowed / game70.762.479.0
Point differential+3.6+9.4-2.2
Avg total145.0134.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Quilpue Basquetbol
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game67.967.368.2
Allowed / game66.868.765.8
Point differential+1.1-1.3+2.3
Avg total134.7136.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo11110100%83.065.8+17.2
2 Stadio Italiano117464%67.962.5+5.4
3 Sergio Ceppi117464%76.372.3+4.0
4 Aleman106460%74.370.7+3.6
5 Quilpue Basquetbol95456%67.966.8+1.1
6 Arabe Valparaiso95456%71.275.7-4.4
7 Truenos De Talca116555%72.770.8+1.9
8 Luis Matte Larrain105550%67.868.7-0.9
9 Boston C. C.105550%68.069.4-1.4
10 Municipal Chillan103730%64.172.4-8.3
11 Brisas101910%66.073.1-7.1
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe100100%69.283.4-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman1223171769
Quilpue Basquetbol2115131463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.