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Aleman vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-66
Position#3
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.9
Aleman 🏆
Chile
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game68.7
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#5
L
56-85
56
85
-29
no box
A01/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#3
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
H08/07
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#9
L
66-108
66
108
-42
no box
A22/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 62
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
44avg 62
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 62
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
38avg 62
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
72avg 62
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 62
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 62
A01/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
14-25
10-25
20-18
20-20
15-23
22-24
10-20
21-36
18-27
12-30
15-15
21-11
17-18
13-16
22-14
17-15
10-23
17-13
20-21
20-16
24-16
26-17
14-15
14-17
16-14
15-20
7-17
24-14
29-18
19-14
6-9
22-25
26-9
19-30
21-23
22-13
14-19
14-26
15-19
145.5Avg total
69.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.068.9140.9+3.157%
Season at home (3)67.760.7128.3+7.067%
Season away (4)75.275.0150.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)69.376.2145.5-6.940%
Last 5 (5)73.470.2143.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)55.085.1140.1-30.110%
vs Similar (6)69.375.2144.5-5.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)73.358.7132.0+14.7100%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Brisas
#13
W
61-35
61
35
+26
no box
H15/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
52-106
52
106
-54
no box
H16/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
53-74
53
74
-21
no box
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
44avg 62
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
72avg 62
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 62
H06/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
71avg 62
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 62
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
53-76
53
76
-23
42avg 62
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
74-53
74
53
+21
74avg 62
H28/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
9-25
20-21
15-10
9-18
16-22
20-12
16-15
5-7
25-17
14-18
19-10
15-17
9-13
26-19
27-19
18-25
18-18
13-18
23-20
22-24
22-20
13-25
14-16
16-17
16-13
12-26
11-18
14-19
13-10
11-15
23-11
27-17
134.0Avg total
64.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.368.7137.0-0.457%
Season at home (4)73.067.2140.2+5.875%
Season away (3)62.070.7132.7-8.733%
Last 10 (10)64.469.6134.0-5.250%
Last 5 (5)69.672.6142.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)58.176.0134.1-17.927%
vs Similar (11)68.066.5134.5+1.545%
vs Weaker (4)62.260.0122.2+2.250%
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
AlemanLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#5
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A01/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/07
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#9
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A22/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/05
LNB 2
75.2Avg total
37.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)30.641.371.9-10.824%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.639.269.9-8.621%-
Last 30 away (15)30.543.373.8-12.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.675.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.274.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)27.245.072.2-17.85%-
vs Similar (6)36.736.272.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.327.367.7+13.0100%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H28/04
LNB 2
68.6Avg total
32.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)29.137.666.7-8.526%-
Last 30 at home (10)30.833.664.4-2.840%-
Last 30 away (9)27.242.169.3-14.911%-
Last 10 (8)32.136.568.6-4.438%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.466.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.237.967.2-8.731%-
vs Similar (5)28.835.264.0-6.420%-
vs Weaker (1)29.046.075.0-17.00%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.3
45.5%
44.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.67.9
25.7%
28.7%23.6
🏀 Free throws20.012.7
63.6%
63.6%12.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.1
46.9%
44.9%38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.6
31.5%
28.7%19.7
🏀 Free throws16.710.4
62.4%
63.6%10.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
LWWLWLWLLL
Luis Matte Larrain
WLLLWWWLLW
#3
League position
#9
+2.4
Net rating
-0.8
86.8
Offensive rating
90.1
84.3
Defensive rating
90.9
42.4%
Effective FG%
47.0%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
20.2%
Turnover %
21.5%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.7%
3-point %
31.5%
64.2%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.8 · 90.1Defence84.3 · 90.9Shooting42.4% · 47.0%3-point %25.7% · 31.5%Ball care20.2% · 21.5%Off. rebounds27.0% · 24.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Aleman   ■ Luis Matte Larrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
0
Luis Matte Larrain wins
No previous meetings.
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24ATruenos De Talca65-77
28/04/24ABrisas88-87
20/04/24HArturo Prat San Felipe78-55
13/04/24HStadio Italiano52-68
31/03/24ABoston C. C.84-64
30/03/24ASergio Ceppi64-72
23/03/24HMunicipal Chillan73-59
22/07/23ALiceo Curico66-108
08/07/23HColo Colo67-87
01/07/23ATruenos De Talca56-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HSergio Ceppi74-53
20/04/24AMunicipal Chillan53-76
15/04/24HColo Colo65-78
13/04/24AArabe Valparaiso76-80
06/04/24HQuilpue Basquetbol80-76
29/03/24HBoston C. C.73-62
24/03/24ABrisas57-56
23/07/23AStadio Italiano53-74
16/07/23HSportiva Italiana52-106
15/07/23HBrisas61-35

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game72.067.775.2
Allowed / game68.960.775.0
Point differential+3.1+7.0+0.2
Avg total140.9128.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game68.373.062.0
Allowed / game68.767.270.7
Point differential-0.4+5.8-8.7
Avg total137.0140.2132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo770100%82.063.4+18.6
2 Sergio Ceppi86275%75.968.9+7.0
3 Arabe Valparaiso64267%72.871.3+1.5
4 Stadio Italiano85362%66.863.8+3.0
5 Aleman74357%72.068.9+3.1
6 Quilpue Basquetbol74357%66.765.4+1.3
7 Luis Matte Larrain74357%68.368.7-0.4
8 Boston C. C.84450%68.068.0+0.0
9 Truenos De Talca83538%72.170.5+1.6
10 Municipal Chillan83538%63.571.4-7.9
11 Brisas7070%66.477.4-11.0
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe7070%67.384.4-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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