Alges vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 73-77

13-19 17-24 27-9 16-25

Position#10

Record2-12

FormWLLLL

Points / game71.1

Allowed / game79.4

Alges

Lusitania 🏆

Position#8

Record4-10

FormWLWLL

Points / game66.1

Allowed / game72.6

LPBRound 17

Other2012-13

Meetings · Alges v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alges winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alges

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

94-91 OT

A24/11

LPB

Barcelos

92-96 OT

-4

H01/12

LPB

Sampaense

72-75

-3

A08/12

LPB

Vitoria

68-80

-12

H15/12

LPB

Torres Vedras

76-79

-3

A22/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

71-64

H05/01

LPB

Ovarense

69-70

-1

H12/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

69-72

-3

H13/01

LPB

Benfica

51-99

-48

H02/02

LPB

Academica

76-80

-4

A16/02

LPB

11-12

26-18

19-19

16-23

17-26

19-15

18-16

22-19

17-27

19-15

16-24

20-9

17-27

23-17

13-22

15-14

19-21

15-17

21-18

21-23

19-16

10-16

16-18

26-14

13-21

20-12

13-20

23-17

19-20

18-22

9-17

23-13

11-25

19-20

11-27

10-27

18-30

20-11

20-18

18-21

154.4Avg total

73.8Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	71.1	79.4	150.5	-8.2	14%
Season at home (7)	68.7	79.9	148.6	-11.1	14%
Season away (7)	73.6	78.9	152.4	-5.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	80.6	154.4	-6.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	77.0	144.2	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	65.7	78.4	144.1	-12.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	81.0	81.0	162.0	+0.0	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alges

#10

91-94 OT

-3

H24/11

LPB

Academica

55-66

-11

A01/12

LPB

Barcelos

80-81 OT

-1

H15/12

LPB

Sampaense

74-77

-3

A22/12

LPB

Vitoria

71-64

H05/01

LPB

Torres Vedras

67-54

+13

H12/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

64-90

-26

A18/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

75-73

A20/01

LPB

Ovarense

45-55

-10

H02/02

LPB

Benfica

61-70

-9

H16/02

LPB

12-11

18-26

19-19

23-16

14-14

17-19

14-11

10-22

14-18

16-20

16-9

26-25

12-20

17-13

20-15

25-29

18-18

12-16

21-13

20-17

15-12

14-17

22-13

16-12

16-17

10-17

19-22

19-34

19-15

13-15

18-13

25-30

17-9

10-10

9-18

12-11

21-21

14-22

14-16

140.7Avg total

68.3Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	66.1	72.6	138.6	-6.5	29%
Season at home (7)	67.9	69.1	137.0	-1.3	29%
Season away (7)	64.3	76.0	140.3	-11.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	68.3	72.4	140.7	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	62.4	68.4	130.8	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	65.0	74.8	139.8	-9.9	35%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	71.8	74.1	145.9	-2.3	33%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	67.0	146.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Alges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlgesLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.7	15%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (6)	15.2	21.8	37.0	-6.7	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.5	38.6	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	22.8	38.6	-6.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	15.2	17.7	32.9	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	14.3	15.3	29.7	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.7	19.0	34.7	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	14.5	29.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	12.8	28.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	14.9	18.7	33.5	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.4	16.8	32.2	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	11.0	29.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	19.6	16.8	36.5	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (6)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.3	35.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	14.9	17.4	32.3	-2.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	15.6	17.8	33.3	-2.2	11%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.6	17.1	31.7	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.8	17.4	32.2	-2.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	16.0	29.6	-2.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	14.3	17.1	31.4	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.1	17.3	32.4	-2.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

AlgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

37-30

A24/11

LPB

Barcelos

36-41

-5

H01/12

LPB

Sampaense

36-42

-6

A08/12

LPB

Vitoria

40-44

-4

H15/12

LPB

Torres Vedras

34-38

-4

A22/12

LPB

Barreirense

#11

29-32

-3

H05/01

LPB

Ovarense

33-33

H12/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

37-42

-5

H13/01

LPB

Benfica

30-45

-15

H02/02

LPB

Academica

38-41

-3

A16/02

LPB

73.8Avg total

35.0Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	35.8	38.7	74.5	-2.9	15%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	35.4	38.7	74.1	-3.3	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	36.2	38.7	74.8	-2.5	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	38.8	73.8	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	38.6	72.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	34.4	36.6	71.0	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alges

#10

30-37

-7

H24/11

LPB

Academica

31-33

-2

A01/12

LPB

Barcelos

30-38

-8

H15/12

LPB

Sampaense

29-33

-4

A22/12

LPB

Vitoria

30-34

-4

H05/01

LPB

Torres Vedras

29-29

H12/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

26-34

-8

A18/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

32-30

A20/01

LPB

Ovarense

27-19

H02/02

LPB

Benfica

33-32

H16/02

LPB

61.6Avg total

29.7Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	30.1	35.0	65.2	-4.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	29.9	33.1	63.0	-3.2	22%	-
Last 30 away (16)	30.2	36.1	66.4	-5.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.7	31.9	61.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	28.8	58.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	29.1	35.8	64.9	-6.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	30.6	34.1	64.7	-3.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	32.0	73.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Alges) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	16.2	19.5	35.7	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	13.0	20.4	33.4	-7.4	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	19.9	35.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	20.0	33.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.0	19.9	34.9	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	16.6	18.3	35.0	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	15.2	17.4	32.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	15.5	32.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.6	15.8	33.3	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (6)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	14.0	19.6	33.6	-5.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.2	20.3	39.4	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	22.4	42.1	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	20.8	41.4	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	12.0	32.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	32.8	38.4	71.2	-5.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	31.0	38.3	69.3	-7.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (6)	35.0	38.5	73.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	37.9	72.9	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	38.4	72.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	29.0	39.5	68.5	-10.5	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	39.0	36.6	75.6	+2.4	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	35.8	38.6	74.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	33.3	34.0	67.3	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	41.2	78.4	-4.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	37.4	73.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	39.6	72.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.2	40.1	74.3	-5.9	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alges wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/12	Lusitania v Alges	91-94 OT

Algeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/13	A	Academica	76-80
02/02/13	H	Benfica	51-99
13/01/13	H	CAB Madeira	69-72
12/01/13	H	Ovarense	69-70
05/01/13	H	Barreirense	71-64
22/12/12	A	Torres Vedras	76-79
15/12/12	H	Vitoria	68-80
08/12/12	A	Sampaense	72-75
01/12/12	H	Barcelos	92-96 OT
24/11/12	A	Lusitania	94-91 OT

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/13	H	Benfica	61-70
02/02/13	H	Ovarense	45-55
20/01/13	A	Barreirense	75-73
18/01/13	A	CAB Madeira	64-90
12/01/13	H	Torres Vedras	67-54
05/01/13	H	Vitoria	71-64
22/12/12	A	Sampaense	74-77
15/12/12	H	Barcelos	80-81 OT
01/12/12	A	Academica	55-66
24/11/12	H	Alges	91-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alges

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	14%
Home	LWLLL	14%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	14%	14%	14%
Points / game	71.1	68.7	73.6
Allowed / game	79.4	79.9	78.9
Point differential	-8.2	-11.1	-5.3
Avg total	150.5	148.6	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	11% (9)	0% (3)	17% (6)
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

Lusitania

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	29%
Home	LWWLL	29%
Away	LLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	29%	29%
Points / game	66.1	67.9	64.3
Allowed / game	72.6	69.1	76.0
Point differential	-6.5	-1.3	-11.7
Avg total	138.6	137.0	140.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	29%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	15	14	1	93%	85.9	67.3	+18.5
2	CAB Madeira	15	12	3	80%	82.0	69.9	+12.1
3	Ovarense	15	10	5	67%	72.2	68.5	+3.7
4	Academica	15	10	5	67%	71.4	68.1	+3.3
5	Vitoria	16	9	7	56%	80.6	78.6	+2.0
6	Sampaense	15	8	7	53%	73.6	80.3	-6.7
7	Barcelos	14	6	8	43%	78.3	83.9	-5.6
8	Lusitania	14	4	10	29%	66.1	72.6	-6.5
9	Torres Vedras	14	4	10	29%	64.1	71.2	-7.1
10	Alges	14	2	12	14%	71.1	79.4	-8.2
11	Barreirense	15	2	13	13%	70.3	77.9	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alges	13	17	27	16	73
Lusitania	19	24	9	25	77

← all games of the day

Alges vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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