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Alicante vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 81-105
15-35 23-21 20-25 23-24
Position#6
Record11-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#11
Record5-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game75.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17
Other2020-21
Meetings · Alicante v Real Murcia
28 Feb 2021
ALI81
REAL105
23 Nov 2018
ALI79
REAL83
15 Dec 2017
ALI95
REAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alicante winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlicanteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/12
Primera FEB
Real Murcia
#11
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/12
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H18/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A30/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A10/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H16/01
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A29/01
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H02/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H06/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A13/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
14-18
21-16
15-16
16-16
15-12
19-19
21-18
25-15
11-27
20-20
26-15
23-16
22-18
19-14
23-19
16-20
13-17
19-20
21-23
19-15
20-23
20-26
22-23
18-20
20-12
19-19
7-25
20-20
24-19
16-12
14-11
16-21
19-16
29-14
15-25
17-15
21-18
17-26
22-25
149.5Avg total
75.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.073.8153.8+6.269%
Season at home (8)80.672.0152.6+8.675%
Season away (8)79.475.5154.9+3.962%
Last 10 (10)75.174.4149.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)75.077.0152.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.271.1145.2+3.162%
vs Weaker (17)82.173.4155.5+8.782%
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#9
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A05/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A18/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
A22/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H30/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H23/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-20
15-20
9-16
16-16
12-15
19-19
18-21
19-18
17-18
20-24
16-17
21-17
19-19
7-17
28-22
11-17
21-17
19-17
17-14
12-13
17-20
15-17
13-16
17-8
21-13
12-26
14-22
16-22
14-21
25-14
24-29
18-15
10-25
26-18
23-19
19-20
11-26
17-16
21-18
147.6Avg total
71.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.775.0144.7-5.331%
Season at home (8)68.873.1141.9-4.450%
Season away (8)70.676.9147.5-6.212%
Last 10 (10)71.276.4147.6-5.220%
Last 5 (5)72.277.6149.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.573.6144.1-3.143%
vs Weaker (14)79.071.6150.6+7.471%
This opponent (Alicante) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
AlicanteReal Murcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H06/12
Primera FEB
Real Murcia
#11
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/12
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A30/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/01
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/01
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H02/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/02
Primera FEB
72.4Avg total
36.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.075.1+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.174.7+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.636.875.4+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.872.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.533.970.4+2.562%-
vs Weaker (17)41.137.578.6+3.653%-
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H23/02
Primera FEB
68.9Avg total
33.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.935.671.6+0.341%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.636.372.9+0.350%-
Last 30 away (15)35.335.070.3+0.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.968.9-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.667.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.572.0-9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.537.971.4-4.421%-
vs Weaker (13)39.232.571.7+6.862%-
This opponent (Alicante) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alicante wins
1
Real Murcia wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Real Murcia v Alicante65-71
09/02/19Real Murcia v Alicante62-64
23/11/18Alicante v Real Murcia79-83
06/04/18Real Murcia v Alicante71-76 OT
15/12/17Alicante v Real Murcia95-73
Alicantelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21AGranada77-84
06/02/21HAlmansa79-76
02/02/21HBasquet Girona74-62
29/01/21AHuesca64-76
16/01/21HCastello81-87
10/01/21AFibwi Palma69-80
30/12/20AForca Lleida87-67
18/12/20HReal Canoe82-77
12/12/20AReal Murcia71-65
06/12/20HGranada67-70
Real Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/21HGranada68-80
14/02/21HBasquet Girona93-87 OT
10/02/21AAlmansa79-86
05/02/21AReal Canoe64-69
30/01/21HForca Lleida57-66
03/01/21HHuesca68-65
22/12/20ACastello83-88 OT
18/12/20AFibwi Palma72-77
12/12/20HAlicante65-71
05/12/20ABasquet Girona63-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alicante
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game80.080.679.4
Allowed / game73.872.075.5
Point differential+6.2+8.6+3.9
Avg total153.8152.6154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Murcia
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game69.768.870.6
Allowed / game75.073.176.9
Point differential-5.3-4.4-6.2
Avg total144.7141.9147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Castello1512380%80.373.5+6.8
2 Breogan1411379%77.469.1+8.3
3 Leyma Coruna1511473%75.368.2+7.1
4 Alicante1611569%80.073.8+6.2
5 Granada1510567%80.374.3+6.0
6 Oviedo159660%78.776.5+2.2
7 Fibwi Palma159660%78.878.7+0.1
8 Real Valladolid148657%81.678.9+2.6
9 Palencia158753%73.570.5+2.9
10 Almansa158753%76.775.5+1.3
11 Forca Lleida158753%74.273.5+0.7
12 Basquet Girona157847%76.776.7+0.0
13 Melilla145936%75.280.1-4.9
14 Ourense1551033%75.078.9-3.9
15 Caceres1551033%71.477.1-5.7
16 Real Murcia1651131%69.775.0-5.3
17 Tizona Burgos1541127%76.284.5-8.3
18 Huesca1641225%68.275.1-6.9
19 Real Canoe1421214%72.781.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alicante1523202381
Real Murcia35212524105
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