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Breogan

Spain BCL 2-1 ACB 4-3 · 7/18
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WWLWWWLLWL
Points / game
104.8
allowed 100.1
Over 177.5
100%
game total, 8 games
Game total
204.9
both teams per game
Win rate
62%
5-3
Margin / game
+4.6
points
1st half
50.6
points scored / game
Overtime
0%
games to overtime
Sections
Breogan

Breogan 2026-27 season stands at 6-4 overall, with a 2-1 record in the Basketball Champions League and a 4-3 showing in the Liga ACB that places them seventh of eighteen. Their last five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a 110-90 victory over Obradoiro CAB away on 1 November and a 91-99 loss to Barcelona away on 8 November. At home they are 3-1, averaging 110.2 points for and 94.8 against, while on the road they are 3-3, scoring 103.2 and conceding 98.2. In the ACB power rating they sit at a net rating of 2.0, ranked eighth out of eighteen teams, an improvement from tenth a few games ago. Francisco Alonso leads the team with 20.6 points per game, Danko Brankovic averages 5.1 rebounds, and D. Mavra distributes 7.9 assists. Their next outing is an away clash with Valencia on 22 November, where the Pythia win probability is 14%.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Breogan stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the Liga ACB (this season) Breogan score 104.8 points a game and allow 100.1 across 8 games – 100% of their games go over 177.5 and they clear 88.5 team points in 100%. They win 62% (75% at home, 50% away), by +4.6 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

BreoganLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
97-99
97
99
-2
89avg 90
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
95avg 90
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 90
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
84-112
84
112
-28
74avg 90
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
101-97
101
97
+4
95avg 90
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
114-87
114
87
+27
118avg 90
H13/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 90
H16/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
83-101
83
101
-18
66avg 90
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 90
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 90
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 90
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 90
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 90
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 90
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 90
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 90
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 90
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
107avg 90
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
28-26
29-21
20-33
21-21
29-22
20-26
29-25
22-19
16-19
29-20
26-28
24-27
16-25
22-28
22-32
15-18
28-28
28-21
30-30
35-26
28-12
25-24
26-25
16-9
29-22
25-22
25-23
15-29
23-22
23-26
22-24
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
198.2Avg total
102.0Scored
96.2Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
24.6
24.0
+0.6
won 38%
Q2
26.0
20.0
+6.0
won 75%
Q3
29.0
27.4
+1.6
won 38%
Q4
25.1
28.8
-3.6
won 38%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 88% of 8 games, the 2nd half in 25%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=4AWAY n=4
108.5
Points / game
101.0
102.2
Allowed / game
98.0
210.8
Game total
199.0
100%
Over 177.5
100%
75%
Win %
50%
+6.2
Margin
+3.0
52.8
1st half scored
48.5
75%
Won the 1st half
100%
25%
Won by 10+
25%
Points scored per game
6%12%19%25%25%90-940%95-9925%100-1040%105-10925%110-11425%115-119
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
6%12%19%25%25%90-9425%95-9925%100-10425%105-109
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 92.9 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)97.295.2100.194.994.795.553%
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.687.8101.091.0104.729%
vs Similar (11)91.392.493.289.090.194.345%
vs Weaker (11)105.794.7110.497.6101.892.373%
Over 177.5 (game total)83% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
7thof 1862%
Attack: points scored per game
2ndof 18104.8
Defence: points allowed per game
16thof 18100.1
Game total: both teams' points per game
1stof 18204.9
Ranked against the 18 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
1stof 1853.3%
2-point accuracy
1stof 1861.7%
3-point accuracy
3rdof 1842.7%
Free-throw accuracy
8thof 1878.1%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
53.3%+5.8pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#1 of 18 in ACB
✋ 2-pointers
61.7%+5.9pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#1 of 18 in ACB
🌟 3-pointers
42.7%+6.3pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#3 of 18 in ACB
🏹 Free throws
78.1%+2.1pp v the ACB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the ACB average
#8 of 18 in ACB

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BreoganLeague average
107.4
Offensive rating
101.3
105.2
Defensive rating
101.3
59.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.7%
3-point %
36.4%
42.9%
3-point attempt rate
43.1%
58.0%
Assist %
57.0%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 101.3Defence105.2 · 101.3Shooting59.8% · 55.3%3-point %41.7% · 36.4%Ball care15.8% · 14.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.34
■ Breogan   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 177.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+14757%5-02-0100%WWWWW
2 Valencia75271%99.188.0+7871%2-13-10%LWWWW
3 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2086%4-01-2100%WLWWW
4 Tenerife75271%86.779.0+5425%3-12-150%WWWLW
5 Basket Zaragoza75271%92.687.7+3471%3-12-1100%WWLWW
6 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+7557%3-02-267%WLLWW
7 Breogan74357%102.798.7+28100%2-12-2-WLLWL
8 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-4686%4-00-3100%LWWLW
9 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-471%3-01-333%WLWWL
10 Murcia73443%90.193.3-2243%3-10-3-LLWWL
11 Unicaja73443%88.786.1+1843%1-22-20%WWWLL
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-4471%1-22-267%WWLLL
13 Leyma Coruna73443%91.999.9-5671%3-10-3100%LLLWW
14 Joventut Badalona72529%89.389.9-443%2-10-40%WWLLL
15 San Pablo Burgos72529%88.789.3-462%0-32-20%LLWLL
16 MoraBanc Andorra71614%86.797.4-7538%1-20-40%LWLLL
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-8986%0-31-333%LLLLL
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-11086%1-30-3100%LLLLW
Playoffs Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 177.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
BreoganLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
97-99
97
99
-2
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H26/04
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
84-112
84
112
-28
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A10/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
114-87
114
87
+27
H13/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H16/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#31
W
105-84
105
84
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
110-113
110
113
-3
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#17
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
115-92
115
92
+23
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#10
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
110-90
110
90
+20
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
A08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H14/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
28-26
29-21
20-33
21-21
29-22
20-26
29-25
22-19
16-19
29-20
26-28
24-27
16-25
22-28
22-32
15-18
28-28
28-21
30-30
35-26
28-12
25-24
26-25
16-9
29-22
25-22
25-23
15-29
23-22
23-26
22-24
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
20-23
20-16
30-30
21-30
19-27
28-11
41-42
31-30
198.2Avg total
102.0Scored
96.2Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 177.5
Last 30 (30)97.295.2192.4+2.053%83%
Last 30 at home (14)100.194.9195.0+5.357%86%
Last 30 away (16)94.795.5190.2-0.850%81%
Last 10 (10)105.399.8205.1+5.560%100%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.0204.4+0.440%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%100%
vs Similar (11)91.392.4183.6-1.145%64%
vs Weaker (11)105.794.7200.5+11.073%91%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 177.5 = the league line
Over 177.583%
🔥 70%+n=30
Under 177.517%
n=30
Won the game53%
n=30
Lost the game47%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, ACB games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 177.5)Team points (line 88.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (8)204.9210.8199.0104.8108.5101.0+4.6+6.2+3.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (2)191.5193.0190.090.590.091.0-10.5-13.0-8.0
vs Weaker (6)209.3216.7202.0109.5114.7104.3+9.7+12.7+6.7
% over line / win100%100%100%100%100%100%62%75%50%
% under line / loss0%0%0%0%0%0%38%25%50%
Scoring dials
Points / game104.8
League avg 92.9 · above by 11.9
Allowed / game100.1
League avg 92.9 · above by 7.2
1st half scored50.6
League avg 44.1 · above by 6.5
3-pointers made13.2
League avg 10.6 · above by 2.5
Free throws made17.8
League avg 17.5 · above by 0.3
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 83.5 pts100%
n=8
Under 83.5 pts0%
n=8
Over 88.5 pts100%
n=8
Under 88.5 pts0%
n=8
Over 93.5 pts75%
n=8
Under 93.5 pts25%
n=8
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 167.5100%
n=8
Under 167.50%
n=8
Over 177.5100%
n=8
Under 177.50%
n=8
Over 187.5100%
n=8
Under 187.50%
n=8
Result markets
Win62%
n=8
Win by 6+ (-5.5)62%
n=8
Cover +5.562%
n=8
Win by 10+25%
n=8
Win the 1st half88%
n=8
Overtime0%
n=8
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.4
61.4%
55.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.914.3
44.8%
36.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
76.0%16.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Breogan: 96.1 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.3
56.3%
55.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.8
38.8%
36.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.619.1
77.6%
76.0%19.1
Their opponents take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Tevin BrownBCL ACB9927.215.04.43.446.2%34.4%
Francisco AlonsoBCL ACB9222.820.62.12.652.3%52.4%
Mihajlo AndricBCL ACB9922.68.92.11.751.9%45.2%
Rasir BoltonBCL ACB8621.414.11.54.048.7%36.4%
D. MavraBCL ACB8321.415.11.47.970.0%76.0%
Danko BrankovicBCL ACB9818.111.05.10.667.3%25.0%
Aleksandar AranitovicBCL ACB9017.67.63.20.345.3%42.1%
Aleksa IlicBCL ACB8014.37.44.00.673.0%-
A. MejiaACB6017.45.04.71.261.9%28.6%
Jonathan KasibabuBCL ACB819.63.02.60.250.0%0.0%
J. PerisBCL ACB879.54.40.80.950.0%46.7%
Erik QuintelaBCL ACB709.60.91.72.130.0%0.0%
Edgar VicedoBCL ACB4011.13.51.80.260.0%40.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.7
12 rated players
D. Mavra15.8 pts8.6
Francisco Alonso19.8 pts8.1
Tevin Brown15.3 pts7.3
Mihajlo Andric9.5 pts5.8
Rasir Bolton13.8 pts5.1
A. Mejia5.0 pts3.7
Erik Quintela0.5 pts3.6
Aleksa Ilic6.4 pts3.0
J. Peris3.5 pts2.9
Danko Brankovic10.8 pts2.6
Player market rates – share of games
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
68%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
23-11favourite won / lost
Across 34 games of Breogan, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 68% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Valencia
v
Breogan
Sun 22 Nov, 16:00 UTC
Pythia: Valencia 86%
home 86%away 14%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Valencia v Breogan Sun 22 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=34
2023-24
n=34
2024-25
n=34
2025-26
n=34
2026-27
n=8
Trend
Points scored / game77.174.479.291.0104.8
Points allowed / game79.978.686.793.3100.1
Game total156.9153.1165.9184.3204.9
Over 167.521%26%41%88%100%
Over 177.56%6%18%71%100%
Over 187.53%3%12%47%100%
Team points over 88.524%6%18%59%100%
Win %41%32%38%44%62%
Home win %35%41%47%47%75%
Away win %47%24%29%41%50%
Margin / game-2.8-4.2-7.6-2.3+4.6
Won by 10+21%6%6%24%25%
Close games won (5 or fewer)44%40%71%56%-
Overtime %6%9%0%0%0%
1st half total75.274.280.189.794.6
Won the 1st half35%32%29%26%88%
3-point attempt rate37%43%44%43%45%
Effective FG%49%48%52%56%63%
Pace72.272.875.476.9-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovBreogan v San Pablo Burgos ACB119-110W
08 NovBarcelona v Breogan ACB99-91L
01 NovObradoiro CAB v Breogan ACB90-110W
25 OctBreogan v Unicaja ACB90-103L
17 OctMoraBanc Andorra v Breogan ACB108-102L
10 OctBreogan v Basquet Girona ACB115-92W
03 OctManresa v Breogan ACB95-101W
27 SepBreogan v Joventut Badalona ACB110-104W
19 SepDziki Warszawa v Breogan Champions League113-110L
17 SepManchester Basketball v Breogan Champions League84-105W
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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