Alvark vs Hokkaido Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 10:15

Final 77-59

15-17 16-9 23-17 23-16

Position#4

Record13-9

FormWWLWL

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game75.8

Alvark 🏆

Hokkaido

Position#8

Record5-20

FormLLWLL

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game79.9

NBLRound 14

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alvark v Hokkaido

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hokkaido winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

98-107 OT

107

-9

H21/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

76-87

-11

H22/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

87-59

+28

H29/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

70-68

H30/11

NBL

Hokkaido

76-62

+14

A06/12

NBL

Hokkaido

89-75

+14

A07/12

NBL

Chiba

88-75

+13

H20/12

NBL

Chiba

81-82 OT

-1

H21/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

99-76

+23

A27/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

75-83

-8

A28/12

NBL

22-14

25-19

15-28

21-22

19-17

15-24

22-23

20-23

18-12

19-8

24-16

26-23

12-11

23-13

22-26

13-18

19-16

20-11

16-20

21-15

28-19

17-21

26-22

18-13

23-13

8-20

28-12

29-30

15-15

21-14

16-22

17-18

16-17

29-12

30-19

24-28

14-24

18-5

21-30

22-24

161.3Avg total

83.9Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	83.1	75.8	158.9	+7.4	59%
Season at home (12)	81.2	80.8	162.0	+0.5	42%
Season away (10)	85.4	69.8	155.2	+15.6	80%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	77.4	161.3	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	78.2	164.6	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	79.5	83.2	162.7	-3.7	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	84.8	72.2	157.0	+12.5	75%

This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hokkaido

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

79-90

-11

H30/11

NBL

Alvark

62-76

-14

H06/12

NBL

Alvark

75-89

-14

H07/12

NBL

Chiba

73-76

-3

A13/12

NBL

Chiba

70-80

-10

A14/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

56-67

-11

H19/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

72-87

-15

H20/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

94-43

+51

H23/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

70-84

-14

A27/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

73-86

-13

A28/12

NBL

23-23

21-27

21-23

14-17

16-19

11-20

20-16

15-21

19-28

21-17

22-26

13-18

19-9

16-23

19-23

19-21

11-17

25-17

16-20

18-26

16-23

14-14

12-15

14-15

16-22

19-18

21-29

16-18

31-10

22-10

23-12

18-11

14-18

20-17

20-23

16-26

28-25

14-26

12-25

19-10

150.2Avg total

72.4Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	73.5	79.9	153.4	-6.4	20%
Season at home (13)	72.3	76.2	148.5	-3.9	31%
Season away (12)	74.8	83.8	158.7	-9.0	8%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	77.8	150.2	-5.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	73.4	146.4	-0.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	70.8	83.1	153.9	-12.3	10%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	84.0	162.0	-6.0	25%
vs Weaker (5)	78.2	57.4	135.6	+20.8	100%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkHokkaido

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	15.8	34.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.8	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	12.0	33.2	+9.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	15.4	36.1	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	13.0	34.5	+8.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	14.7	34.2	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.4	33.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.1	14.5	33.6	+4.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	15.8	37.4	+5.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	18.7	35.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.0	20.2	37.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	40%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

47-33

+14

H21/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

34-41

-7

H22/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

37-20

+17

H29/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

35-24

+11

H30/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-27

+12

A06/12

NBL

Hokkaido

45-40

A07/12

NBL

Chiba

31-33

-2

H20/12

NBL

Chiba

36-29

H21/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

45-29

+16

A27/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

32-29

A28/12

NBL

68.6Avg total

38.1Scored

30.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	33.3	74.0	+7.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	35.3	75.2	+4.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	30.9	72.6	+10.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	30.5	68.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	32.0	69.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.8	34.4	74.2	+5.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.2	32.7	73.9	+8.5	65%	-

This opponent (Hokkaido) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

44-50

-6

H30/11

NBL

Alvark

27-39

-12

H06/12

NBL

Alvark

40-45

-5

H07/12

NBL

Chiba

35-32

A13/12

NBL

Chiba

36-34

A14/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

30-37

-7

H19/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

35-40

-5

H20/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

53-20

+33

H23/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

34-35

-1

A27/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

42-51

-9

A28/12

NBL

75.9Avg total

37.6Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	38.4	73.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	37.7	73.2	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	39.2	74.3	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.3	75.9	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.2	41.2	75.5	-7.0	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	36.8	73.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	28.0	66.8	+10.8	80%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.3	40.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.2	39.3	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	21.3	38.2	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.9	21.9	39.8	-4.0	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	24.8	43.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.2	15.2	34.4	+4.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	10%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.3	34.5	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.0	32.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	14.2	34.4	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.4	82.8	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	42.1	84.0	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	43.2	86.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	43.6	89.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	38.2	46.4	84.6	-8.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.0	38.9	81.8	+4.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.1	77.6	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	39.3	76.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	40.9	78.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	39.5	74.3	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	36.8	71.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.2	41.3	77.5	-5.0	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.5	47.2	88.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.4	29.4	68.8	+10.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Hokkaido wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/14	Hokkaido v Alvark	75-89
06/12/14	Hokkaido v Alvark	62-76
18/10/14	Alvark v Hokkaido	100-76
17/10/14	Alvark v Hokkaido	73-92
30/03/14	Hokkaido v Alvark	56-76
29/03/14	Hokkaido v Alvark	71-86
17/11/13	Alvark v Hokkaido	84-70
16/11/13	Alvark v Hokkaido	76-62
13/10/13	Hokkaido v Alvark	73-55
12/10/13	Hokkaido v Alvark	65-85

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/14	A	Tochigi Brex	75-83
27/12/14	A	Tochigi Brex	99-76
21/12/14	H	Chiba	81-82 OT
20/12/14	H	Chiba	88-75
07/12/14	A	Hokkaido	89-75
06/12/14	A	Hokkaido	76-62
30/11/14	H	Tsukuba	70-68
29/11/14	H	Tsukuba	87-59
22/11/14	H	Sun Rockers	76-87
21/11/14	H	Sun Rockers	98-107 OT

Hokkaidolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/14	A	Brave Thunders	73-86
27/12/14	A	Brave Thunders	70-84
23/12/14	H	Tsukuba	94-43
20/12/14	H	Tochigi Brex	72-87
19/12/14	H	Tochigi Brex	56-67
14/12/14	A	Chiba	70-80
13/12/14	A	Chiba	73-76
07/12/14	H	Alvark	75-89
06/12/14	H	Alvark	62-76
30/11/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	59%
Home	LWWWL	42%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	59%	42%	80%
Points / game	83.1	81.2	85.4
Allowed / game	75.8	80.8	69.8
Point differential	+7.4	+0.5	+15.6
Avg total	158.9	162.0	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	33%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Hokkaido

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	20%
Home	LLLLW	31%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	20%	31%	8%
Points / game	73.5	72.3	74.8
Allowed / game	79.9	76.2	83.8
Point differential	-6.4	-3.9	-9.0
Avg total	153.4	148.5	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	23%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	22	20	2	91%	86.1	66.1	+20.0
2	Sun Rockers	25	20	5	80%	82.0	71.6	+10.4
3	Diamond Dolphins	24	18	6	75%	83.5	73.9	+9.6
4	Tochigi Brex	25	18	7	72%	83.5	74.7	+8.8
5	Brave Thunders	24	16	8	67%	80.9	73.6	+7.2
6	Alvark	22	13	9	59%	83.1	75.8	+7.4
7	Chiba	25	14	11	56%	74.4	72.6	+1.8
8	Hiroshima D.	22	12	10	55%	71.7	69.0	+2.6
9	Kobe	24	11	13	46%	74.5	76.3	-1.8
10	Hokkaido	25	5	20	20%	73.5	79.9	-6.4
11	Trians	22	4	18	18%	64.3	82.1	-17.9
12	Kumamoto	22	3	19	14%	66.7	83.4	-16.6
13	Tsukuba	26	0	26	0%	62.2	86.3	-24.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	15	16	23	23	77
Hokkaido	17	9	17	16	59

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Hokkaido Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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