Alvark vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 82-76

19-21 17-19 25-17 21-19

Position#4

Record21-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game75.1

Alvark 🏆

Niigata

Position#11

Record15-13

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game80.0

B League

Other2016-17

Meetings · Alvark v Niigata

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Niigata winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sendai

#18

100-70

100

+30

A23/11

B League

NeoPhoenix

101-96 OT

101

A03/12

B League

NeoPhoenix

94-78

+16

A04/12

B League

Kyoto

#12

78-75

H10/12

B League

Kyoto

#12

67-71

-4

H11/12

B League

Hokkaido

#13

82-73

H16/12

B League

Hokkaido

#13

90-88

H17/12

B League

Brave Thunders

81-93

-12

A23/12

B League

Brave Thunders

106-92

106

+14

A24/12

B League

Niigata

#11

77-68

H01/01

B League

21-11

21-20

22-16

36-23

24-22

23-18

21-24

18-22

19-23

26-12

28-14

21-29

18-15

18-11

28-21

14-28

19-18

15-16

19-18

14-19

21-12

14-19

18-22

29-20

18-20

27-12

22-21

23-35

14-29

30-16

15-20

22-28

27-25

30-21

25-19

24-27

20-20

23-15

20-14

14-19

168.0Avg total

87.6Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.8	75.1	158.9	+8.7	81%
Season at home (13)	79.4	70.8	150.2	+8.5	77%
Season away (13)	88.2	79.4	167.5	+8.8	85%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	80.4	168.0	+7.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	82.8	170.0	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	80.5	81.9	162.4	-1.4	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	84.1	71.7	155.8	+12.4	89%

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Niigata

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

75-83

-8

A27/11

B League

Shiga

#14

92-91

A03/12

B League

Shiga

#14

75-85

-10

A04/12

B League

Sendai

#18

92-88

H10/12

B League

Sendai

#18

77-76

H11/12

B League

Akita

#17

78-74

A17/12

B League

Akita

#17

87-74

+13

A18/12

B League

Chiba

91-90

H23/12

B League

Chiba

69-106

106

-37

H24/12

B League

Alvark

68-77

-9

A01/01

B League

20-14

11-18

18-23

26-28

29-23

21-22

19-18

23-28

18-33

18-17

17-16

22-19

21-25

24-15

23-24

24-24

17-21

17-20

25-24

18-11

25-11

19-17

9-27

25-19

22-16

19-14

23-27

23-17

19-25

22-15

29-23

21-27

17-17

11-27

23-27

18-35

20-20

15-23

14-20

19-14

164.8Avg total

80.4Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.4	80.0	159.4	-0.7	54%
Season at home (13)	80.5	78.8	159.2	+1.7	62%
Season away (15)	78.4	81.1	159.5	-2.7	47%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	84.4	164.8	-4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	84.2	162.8	-5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	70.5	79.2	149.7	-8.8	23%
vs Similar (15)	82.3	76.0	158.3	+6.3	73%
vs Weaker (2)	84.5	82.0	166.5	+2.5	100%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkNiigata

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.4	38.8	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.4	16.1	36.5	+4.4	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	19.4	38.7	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.4	35.7	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	16.2	33.9	+1.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	16.0	38.7	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	16.6	41.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	19.4	19.2	38.7	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.2	14.6	33.7	+4.6	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.6	18.8	35.3	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.8	17.9	34.7	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	19.5	35.9	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	14.3	20.1	34.4	-5.7	8%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	50%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sendai

#18

42-31

+11

A23/11

B League

NeoPhoenix

47-40

A03/12

B League

NeoPhoenix

45-35

+10

A04/12

B League

Kyoto

#12

36-26

+10

H10/12

B League

Kyoto

#12

34-34

H11/12

B League

Hokkaido

#13

35-31

H16/12

B League

Hokkaido

#13

45-32

+13

H17/12

B League

Brave Thunders

44-45

-1

A23/12

B League

Brave Thunders

57-46

+11

A24/12

B League

Niigata

#11

43-35

H01/01

B League

78.3Avg total

42.8Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	34.8	74.5	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.5	32.5	70.9	+6.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.5	78.3	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.8	82.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	39.9	41.1	81.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.6	30.6	70.2	+9.0	78%	-

This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

31-32

-1

A27/11

B League

Shiga

#14

50-45

A03/12

B League

Shiga

#14

36-50

-14

A04/12

B League

Sendai

#18

45-40

H10/12

B League

Sendai

#18

34-41

-7

H11/12

B League

Akita

#17

44-28

+16

A17/12

B League

Akita

#17

41-30

+11

A18/12

B League

Chiba

41-40

H23/12

B League

Chiba

28-44

-16

H24/12

B League

Alvark

35-43

-8

A01/01

B League

77.8Avg total

38.5Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.8	37.8	74.5	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	37.0	73.8	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	38.4	75.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.6	39.5	73.1	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.9	36.0	74.9	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	40.5	80.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+2.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.8	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	22.8	41.1	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.8	44.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	23.1	41.8	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	21.6	41.2	-2.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.5	22.5	47.0	+1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	25.0	46.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.8	48.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.3	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	19.6	42.9	+3.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.5	21.7	44.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.1	17.6	39.7	+4.5	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.7	83.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.6	40.8	86.4	+4.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	43.9	87.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.0	87.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.7	40.6	84.2	+3.1	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	41.7	83.7	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.3	40.9	83.2	+1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	42.3	84.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	45.1	87.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	47.2	88.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.2	44.8	86.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.1	39.3	81.4	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	41.5	86.5	+3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Niigata wins

Date	Game	Score
01/01/17	Alvark v Niigata	77-68

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/01/17	H	Niigata	77-68
24/12/16	A	Brave Thunders	106-92
23/12/16	A	Brave Thunders	81-93
17/12/16	H	Hokkaido	90-88
16/12/16	H	Hokkaido	82-73
11/12/16	H	Kyoto	67-71
10/12/16	H	Kyoto	78-75
04/12/16	A	NeoPhoenix	94-78
03/12/16	A	NeoPhoenix	101-96 OT
23/11/16	A	Sendai	100-70

Niigatalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/01/17	A	Alvark	68-77
24/12/16	H	Chiba	69-106
23/12/16	H	Chiba	91-90
18/12/16	A	Akita	87-74
17/12/16	A	Akita	78-74
11/12/16	H	Sendai	77-76
10/12/16	H	Sendai	92-88
04/12/16	A	Shiga	75-85
03/12/16	A	Shiga	92-91
27/11/16	A	Sun Rockers	75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

B League 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	81%
Home	WLWWW	77%
Away	WWWLW	85%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	81%	77%	85%
Points / game	83.8	79.4	88.2
Allowed / game	75.1	70.8	79.4
Point differential	+8.7	+8.5	+8.8
Avg total	158.9	150.2	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	31%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	67% (6)	100% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Niigata

B League 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	54%
Home	WWWWL	62%
Away	WLWWL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	54%	62%	47%
Points / game	79.4	80.5	78.4
Allowed / game	80.0	78.8	81.1
Point differential	-0.7	+1.7	-2.7
Avg total	159.4	159.2	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	31%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	50% (6)	80% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	29	25	4	86%	86.2	75.4	+10.8
2	Alvark	26	21	5	81%	83.8	75.1	+8.7
3	Tochigi Brex	27	21	6	78%	81.1	68.2	+12.9
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	27	21	6	78%	82.6	73.7	+8.9
5	Chiba	29	19	10	66%	81.6	75.0	+6.6
6	Diamond Dolphins	29	18	11	62%	76.6	72.6	+4.0
7	NeoPhoenix	29	16	13	55%	76.2	76.0	+0.2
8	Osaka	29	16	13	55%	75.1	74.9	+0.2
9	Niigata	28	15	13	54%	79.4	80.0	-0.7
10	Sun Rockers	27	14	13	52%	73.7	73.5	+0.2
11	Kyoto	27	13	14	48%	71.7	73.5	-1.8
12	Ryukyu	29	13	16	45%	75.0	76.7	-1.8
13	Yokohama	27	9	18	33%	75.4	79.0	-3.5
14	Sendai	29	8	21	28%	69.3	80.6	-11.2
15	Akita	29	7	22	24%	69.5	74.5	-5.0
16	Hokkaido	29	7	22	24%	70.4	80.1	-9.7
17	Shiga	29	6	23	21%	70.7	78.0	-7.3
18	Toyama	29	5	24	17%	73.0	82.5	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	19	17	25	21	82
Niigata	21	19	17	19	76

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Niigata Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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