Alvik vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 90-83

26-19 19-21 23-19 22-24

Position#5

Record8-7

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game81.9

Alvik 🏆

Hogsbo

Position#3

Record11-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game78.4

Superettan

Other2019-20

Meetings · Alvik v Hogsbo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hogsbo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AIK Basket

73-63

+10

H07/11

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

85-89

-4

H23/11

Superettan

IK Eos

85-90

-5

H24/11

Superettan

Team4Q

100-97

100

A07/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

#10

109-75

109

+34

A08/12

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

88-96 OT

-8

H12/12

Superettan

Bankeryds

100-64

100

+36

A21/12

Superettan

Bankeryds

68-66

H05/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

93-81

+12

A12/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

78-73

H19/01

Superettan

19-24

20-16

15-10

19-13

15-27

25-22

18-21

27-19

23-26

19-20

24-20

19-24

28-25

18-18

25-27

29-27

22-16

45-21

22-28

20-10

27-24

23-21

13-20

13-11

22-21

28-20

22-16

28-7

12-14

17-17

18-16

21-19

26-21

16-23

26-20

25-17

24-21

17-17

16-12

21-23

167.3Avg total

87.9Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	88.6	81.9	170.5	+6.7	53%
Season at home (9)	84.9	81.6	166.4	+3.3	44%
Season away (6)	94.2	82.3	176.5	+11.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	79.4	167.3	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	76.0	161.4	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	63.3	91.3	154.7	-28.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	84.0	84.1	168.1	-0.1	25%
vs Weaker (19)	88.6	74.3	162.8	+14.3	89%

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hogsbo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team4Q

107-73

107

+34

A27/10

Superettan

Bankeryds

84-66

+18

H31/10

Superettan

Norrort

94-89

H17/11

Superettan

IK Eos

82-89

-7

A30/11

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

69-93

-24

H07/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

98-88

+10

A14/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

#10

104-84

104

+20

H22/12

Superettan

Norrort

74-79

-5

A04/01

Superettan

Trelleborg

83-79 OT

H11/01

Superettan

Bankeryds

90-74

+16

H14/01

Superettan

22-17

25-12

32-15

28-29

22-12

21-17

23-25

18-12

16-20

37-18

22-27

19-24

18-11

16-25

18-19

30-34

23-31

6-11

25-23

15-28

29-23

15-22

27-25

27-18

32-20

28-18

22-24

22-22

10-23

23-17

28-17

13-22

12-14

16-16

23-16

19-24

20-20

22-18

19-17

29-19

169.9Avg total

88.5Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	88.3	78.4	166.7	+9.9	79%
Season at home (8)	87.6	77.2	164.9	+10.4	88%
Season away (6)	89.2	80.0	169.2	+9.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	88.5	81.4	169.9	+7.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	80.8	170.6	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	75.4	93.9	169.3	-18.4	21%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	77.0	84.3	161.3	-7.3	33%
vs Weaker (13)	91.8	77.9	169.8	+13.9	85%

This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvikHogsbo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.6	21.6	45.1	+2.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	31.0	48.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.9	23.0	46.9	+0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	24.1	19.9	44.1	+4.2	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.1	39.1	+1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.9	41.2	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.7	23.1	40.9	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.6	17.1	38.7	+4.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.8	20.4	41.1	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	12.7	17.7	30.3	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.8	18.8	41.5	+4.0	69%	-

AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AIK Basket

39-40

-1

H07/11

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

40-49

-9

H23/11

Superettan

IK Eos

42-46

-4

H24/11

Superettan

Team4Q

46-43

A07/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

#10

67-37

+30

A08/12

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

50-45

H12/12

Superettan

Bankeryds

50-41

A21/12

Superettan

Bankeryds

29-31

-2

H05/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

42-44

-2

A12/01

Superettan

AIK Basket

41-38

H19/01

Superettan

86.0Avg total

44.6Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.0	40.7	85.7	+4.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.9	39.6	84.5	+5.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	45.1	42.2	87.2	+2.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	41.4	86.0	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	53.5	86.0	-21.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	44.6	43.4	88.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	46.5	38.2	84.6	+8.3	79%	-

This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team4Q

47-29

+18

A27/10

Superettan

Bankeryds

43-29

+14

H31/10

Superettan

Norrort

53-38

+15

H17/11

Superettan

IK Eos

34-36

-2

A30/11

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

29-42

-13

H07/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

44-45

-1

A14/12

Superettan

Helsingborg

#10

60-38

+22

H22/12

Superettan

Norrort

33-40

-7

A04/01

Superettan

Trelleborg

28-30

-2

H11/01

Superettan

Bankeryds

42-38

H14/01

Superettan

77.8Avg total

41.3Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.3	79.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	38.2	78.2	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	42.6	81.1	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	36.5	77.8	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.2	79.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	35.8	44.6	80.4	-8.8	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	33.7	39.3	73.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (13)	44.4	35.8	80.2	+8.5	69%	-

This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	18.5	30.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.3	43.3	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.2	42.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	23.5	43.8	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.8	44.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.7	25.4	45.1	-5.6	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.3	20.3	38.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.2	19.4	42.5	+3.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.4	37.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	24.0	45.5	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	23.9	43.9	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	25.0	24.7	49.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.9	35.9	73.8	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.6	38.2	80.8	+4.3	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	36.0	78.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	32.2	72.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	38.5	64.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.9	38.2	76.1	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	42.1	36.1	78.2	+6.0	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	44.9	87.5	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	42.6	85.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	47.5	89.3	-5.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	44.0	89.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	40.8	86.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.6	49.3	88.9	-9.6	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	43.3	45.0	88.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.7	40.1	85.8	+5.6	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvik wins

Hogsbo wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/19	Hogsbo v Alvik	80-71
03/03/19	Alvik v Hogsbo	102-68
27/12/18	Hogsbo v Alvik	66-91
28/10/18	Alvik v Hogsbo	97-73

Alviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/20	H	AIK Basket	78-73
12/01/20	A	AIK Basket	93-81
05/01/20	H	Bankeryds	68-66
21/12/19	A	Bankeryds	100-64
12/12/19	H	KFUM Fryshuset	88-96 OT
08/12/19	A	Helsingborg	109-75
07/12/19	A	Team4Q	100-97
24/11/19	H	IK Eos	85-90
23/11/19	H	KFUM Fryshuset	85-89
07/11/19	H	AIK Basket	73-63

Hogsbolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/20	H	Bankeryds	90-74
11/01/20	H	Trelleborg	83-79 OT
04/01/20	A	Norrort	74-79
22/12/19	H	Helsingborg	104-84
14/12/19	A	AIK Basket	98-88
07/12/19	H	KFUM Fryshuset	69-93
30/11/19	A	IK Eos	82-89
17/11/19	H	Norrort	94-89
31/10/19	H	Bankeryds	84-66
27/10/19	A	Team4Q	107-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik

Superettan 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	53%
Home	LLLWW	44%
Away	LWWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	53%	44%	67%
Points / game	88.6	84.9	94.2
Allowed / game	81.9	81.6	82.3
Point differential	+6.7	+3.3	+11.8
Avg total	170.5	166.4	176.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	22%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	33% (6)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	11%	0%

Hogsbo

Superettan 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	79%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	WWLWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	79%	88%	67%
Points / game	88.3	87.6	89.2
Allowed / game	78.4	77.2	80.0
Point differential	+9.9	+10.4	+9.2
Avg total	166.7	164.9	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KFUM Fryshuset	18	16	2	89%	97.1	87.3	+9.8
2	IK Eos	18	15	3	83%	94.2	89.5	+4.7
3	Hogsbo	14	11	3	79%	88.3	78.4	+9.9
4	Norrort	16	9	7	56%	86.2	80.1	+6.2
5	Alvik	15	8	7	53%	88.6	81.9	+6.7
6	AIK Basket	17	8	9	47%	77.0	77.5	-0.5
7	Team4Q	17	5	12	29%	83.8	91.6	-7.9
8	Trelleborg	16	4	12	25%	80.8	85.4	-4.6
9	Helsingborg	16	3	13	19%	81.4	93.2	-11.9
10	Bankeryds	15	2	13	13%	79.7	92.5	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvik	26	19	23	22	90
Hogsbo	19	21	19	24	83

← all games of the day

Alvik vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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