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Alvik vs Malbas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 59-72
16-14 17-22 11-18 15-18
Position#7
Record11-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Malbas 🏆
Sweden
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game74.1
SwedenSuperettan· Akeshovshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvik v Malbas
25 Oct 2026
ALVI86
MALB65
15 Feb 2026
ALVI73
MALB86
09 Mar 2025
ALVI59
MALB72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvikSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvik
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
71-95
71
95
-24
54avg 75
A01/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
H05/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
89-67
89
67
+22
82avg 75
A14/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
100-92
100
92
+8
92avg 75
H21/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
A12/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 75
H18/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 75
H25/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
no box
H01/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 75
A08/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
100-94
100
94
+6
92avg 75
A15/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
14-28
21-22
16-24
17-23
15-19
19-21
23-18
27-17
21-13
23-15
18-22
23-16
23-34
21-13
33-29
25-21
23-14
20-21
11-18
17-30
19-15
18-12
32-24
12-22
23-18
17-19
24-23
22-27
28-25
19-18
18-17
27-16
19-28
19-16
9-18
31-12
29-32
15-19
25-31
168.2Avg total
84.1Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.080.5164.6+3.555%
Season at home (8)86.683.9170.5+2.862%
Season away (12)82.378.2160.6+4.150%
Last 10 (10)84.184.1168.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)85.686.4172.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.390.3167.6-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.484.4167.8-1.033%
vs Weaker (11)85.470.8156.2+14.591%
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
55avg 75
A15/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
72-73
72
73
-1
62avg 75
H22/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
95-74
95
74
+21
54avg 75
A11/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
98-107 OT
98
107
-9
91avg 75
A12/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 75
H18/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
97-70
97
70
+27
99avg 75
H26/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
127avg 75
H02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
81-53
81
53
+28
78avg 75
A19/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 75
H02/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
62avg 75
A08/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
16-26
9-10
19-26
13-11
22-26
16-20
21-16
24-17
21-16
17-22
33-19
30-25
25-18
16-26
20-22
18-20
20-21
26-24
22-12
28-12
24-19
28-17
17-22
28-16
33-16
34-26
21-20
27-10
13-16
21-13
20-14
21-22
21-17
18-14
29-19
13-15
22-19
16-11
15-19
161.0Avg total
86.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.274.1158.4+10.162%
Season at home (11)93.674.6168.3+19.082%
Season away (10)73.973.6147.5+0.340%
Last 10 (10)86.574.5161.0+12.070%
Last 5 (5)89.867.4157.2+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.281.6151.8-11.40%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.572.5152.0+6.945%
vs Weaker (14)86.274.1160.4+12.171%
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
AlvikMalbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A01/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H05/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A14/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H21/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H25/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H01/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A15/02
Superettan
86.6Avg total
43.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.442.184.5+0.345%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.844.385.1-3.625%-
Last 30 away (17)43.640.584.1+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.186.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.645.182.7-7.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.242.084.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)46.140.086.1+6.160%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A12/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H26/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A19/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A08/03
Superettan
79.7Avg total
44.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.078.2+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.880.5+8.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.375.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.035.779.7+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.032.478.4+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.241.478.6-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.435.572.9+1.836%-
vs Weaker (14)45.536.682.1+8.979%-
This opponent (Alvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.0
47.1%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.8
34.6%
30.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws15.611.6
74.4%
67.1%11.6
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
49.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.0
33.7%
30.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.3
66.5%
67.1%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik
WLLLWWWWLL
Malbas
WWWWWWLWLL
#7
League position
#5
+5.5
Net rating
+15.5
104.5
Offensive rating
108.8
99.0
Defensive rating
93.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
33.7%
67.5%
Assist %
66.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 108.8Defence99.0 · 93.3Shooting49.3% · 54.8%3-point %34.6% · 33.7%Ball care17.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alvik   ■ Malbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alvik wins
1
Malbas wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Malbas v Alvik95-71
Alviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AAIK Basket100-94
08/02/25ABlackeberg74-78
01/02/25HAros Basket92-97 OT
25/01/25HSloga Uppsala76-82
18/01/25HHuddinge86-81
12/01/25ADjurgarden79-74
21/12/24HAIK Basket100-92
14/12/24ATureberg89-67
05/12/24HKFUM Fryshuset74-81
01/12/24AMalbas71-95
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AHuddinge66-64
02/03/25HHuddinge89-72
19/02/25AIK Eos81-53
02/02/25HAIK Basket116-78
26/01/25HOckelbo97-70
18/01/25HWetterbygden Stars86-77
12/01/25AWetterbygden Stars98-107 OT
11/01/25AKFUM Fryshuset95-74
22/12/24HKFUM Fryshuset72-73
15/12/24ASloga Uppsala65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %55%62%50%
Points / game84.086.682.3
Allowed / game80.583.978.2
Point differential+3.5+2.8+4.1
Avg total164.6170.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Malbas
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%82%40%
Points / game84.293.673.9
Allowed / game74.174.673.6
Point differential+10.1+19.0+0.3
Avg total158.4168.3147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2219386%86.876.0+10.9
2 Wetterbygden Stars2217577%84.781.4+3.3
3 KFUM Fryshuset2116576%83.475.8+7.7
4 Malbas2113862%84.274.1+10.1
5 Ockelbo2112957%77.574.4+3.1
6 Alvik2011955%84.080.5+3.5
7 Aros Basket1991047%79.579.9-0.5
8 Djurgarden2091145%80.779.3+1.4
9 Huddinge2291341%77.382.2-4.9
10 Blackeberg2171433%74.779.3-4.7
11 AIK Basket2271532%80.287.1-7.0
12 Akersberga2061430%78.583.7-5.2
13 Tureberg2161529%71.084.0-12.9
14 IK Eos2261627%81.586.3-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvik1617111559
Malbas1422181872
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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