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Ammerud W vs Baerum W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-47
17-11 12-8 25-15 24-13
Position#5
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game57.0
Ammerud W 🏆
Norway
vs
Baerum W
Norway
Position#4
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game44.5
Allowed / game75.5
NorwayKvinneligaen W· Apall
Women2023-24
Meetings · Ammerud W v Baerum W
14 Jan 2024
AMME47
BAER62
22 Oct 2023
AMME78
BAER47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ammerud W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baerum W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ammerud WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ulriken W
#3
L
52-73
52
73
-21
no box
A15/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#1
L
55-69
55
69
-14
no box
H20/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
no box
A04/03
Kvinneligaen W
Hoybraten W
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
no box
H06/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
80-51
80
51
+29
no box
H13/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
no box
H20/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#1
L
46-85
46
85
-39
no box
A21/03
Kvinneligaen W
Gimle W
#2
L
51-71
51
71
-20
no box
H22/03
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
70-48
70
48
+22
67avg 57
H08/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
46avg 57
A14/10
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
14-22
10-20
18-13
16-16
13-19
13-20
13-14
12-11
12-8
15-14
12-11
15-10
10-12
16-9
12-10
19-7
20-11
18-15
23-18
–
–
–
–
14-28
6-20
9-29
17-8
14-24
16-17
10-15
11-15
22-10
18-16
18-9
12-13
23-10
11-20
12-21
10-15
116.0Avg total
57.0Scored
59.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)63.057.0120.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)70.048.0118.0+22.0100%
Season away (1)56.066.0122.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)57.059.0116.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)55.862.4118.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)53.471.7125.1-18.36%
vs Similar (1)78.038.0116.0+40.0100%
vs Weaker (12)62.844.9107.7+17.892%
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Baerum WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bergen W
#6
W
58-47
58
47
+11
no box
H05/03
Kvinneligaen W
Midtbyen W
#5
W
66-48
66
48
+18
no box
A11/03
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
100-25
100
25
+75
no box
A18/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
W
58-48
58
48
+10
no box
A19/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
H26/03
Kvinneligaen W
Tromso W
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
no box
H14/04
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H15/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
46-66
46
66
-20
no box
A16/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
30-60
30
60
-30
18avg 32
H06/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
59-91
59
91
-32
47avg 32
H15/10
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
9-7
14-9
25-9
19-15
15-8
18-13
14-12
23-7
16-4
31-1
30-13
10-8
13-11
19-16
16-13
20-16
8-21
23-18
9-19
11-12
15-7
15-14
13-10
25-7
20-23
20-16
19-22
13-15
12-19
10-18
11-14
8-24
5-7
6-15
11-14
12-17
17-20
11-24
19-30
118.5Avg total
61.5Scored
57.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)44.575.5120.0-31.00%
Season at home (2)44.575.5120.0-31.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)61.557.0118.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)54.665.6120.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)52.066.5118.5-14.525%
vs Similar (5)68.470.6139.0-2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)66.445.5111.9+20.994%
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Ammerud WBaerum W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ammerud WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulriken W
#3
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A15/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#1
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H20/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A04/03
Kvinneligaen W
Hoybraten W
#8
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H06/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H13/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#1
L
20-48
20
48
-28
A21/03
Kvinneligaen W
Gimle W
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/03
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H08/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/10
Kvinneligaen W
60.4Avg total
29.4Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)30.230.360.5-0.144%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.626.458.9+6.257%-
Last 30 away (13)27.634.562.2-6.931%-
Last 10 (9)29.431.060.4-1.656%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.665.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)26.837.163.9-10.212%-
vs Similar (1)44.016.060.0+28.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)34.220.955.1+13.390%-
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Baerum WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergen W
#6
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H05/03
Kvinneligaen W
Midtbyen W
#5
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A11/03
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
39-11
39
11
+28
A18/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
W
23-19
23
19
+4
A19/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H26/03
Kvinneligaen W
Tromso W
#7
W
26-19
26
19
+7
H14/04
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H15/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A16/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
13-31
13
31
-18
H06/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H15/10
Kvinneligaen W
55.1Avg total
28.1Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.128.459.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.029.661.6+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)30.127.157.2+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)28.127.055.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)27.630.257.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)24.132.656.8-8.512%-
vs Similar (5)35.234.469.6+0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)33.224.657.9+8.682%-
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ammerud Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ammerud W: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.015.5
37.8%
41.9%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.07.5
25.0%
28.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.08.5
65.4%
68.5%8.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baerum Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum W: 44.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.014.0
35.9%
41.9%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.53.5
15.6%
28.3%10.5
🏀 Free throws10.56.0
57.1%
68.5%6.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ammerud W
LWLLWWWWLL
Baerum W
LLLWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#4
+7.5
Net rating
-35.1
77.3
Offensive rating
53.9
69.8
Defensive rating
89.1
37.7%
Effective FG%
31.3%
32.9%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
22.4%
Turnover %
32.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.17
25.0%
3-point %
15.6%
78.3%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence77.3 · 53.9Defence69.8 · 89.1Shooting37.7% · 31.3%3-point %25.0% · 15.6%Ball care22.4% · 32.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 24.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Ammerud W   ■ Baerum W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ammerud W wins
0
Baerum W wins
No previous meetings.
Ammerud Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AAsker W56-66
08/10/23HBergen W70-48
22/03/15HGimle W51-71
21/03/15AUllern W46-85
20/03/15HAsker W56-42
13/03/15HAsker W80-51
06/03/15HHoybraten W53-41
04/03/15AAsker W51-44
20/02/15HUllern W55-69
15/02/15AUlriken W52-73
Baerum Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HUlriken W59-91
06/10/23HUllern W30-60
16/04/23AUlriken W46-66
15/04/23HAsker W84-68
14/04/23HTromso W54-43
26/03/23HAsker W60-74
19/03/23AUlriken W58-48
18/03/23ABergen W100-25
11/03/23AMidtbyen W66-48
05/03/23HBergen W58-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ammerud W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game63.070.056.0
Allowed / game57.048.066.0
Point differential+6.0+22.0-10.0
Avg total120.0118.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baerum W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game44.544.5-
Allowed / game75.575.5-
Point differential-31.0-31.0-
Avg total120.0120.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ullern W220100%75.056.5+18.5
2 Asker W220100%64.048.0+16.0
3 Ulriken W32167%89.363.0+26.3
4 Ammerud W21150%63.057.0+6.0
5 Baerum W2020%44.575.5-31.0
6 Bergen W3030%42.775.3-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ammerud W1712252478
Baerum W118151347
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