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Anadolu Efes vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 93-80
23-16 29-27 20-24 21-13
Position#4
Record7-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#13
Record4-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game87.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Anadolu Efes v Mersin SK
04 Jan 2026
EFS93
MES80
30 May 2025
EFS92
MES71
17 Mar 2025
EFS102
MES83
06 Oct 2013
EFS84
MES71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anadolu Efes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Anadolu EfesTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 82
H04/12
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
L
92-96
92
96
-4
80avg 82
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
82-94
82
94
-12
75avg 82
A11/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
88avg 82
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
85avg 82
A17/12
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 82
H19/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
92-84
92
84
+8
92avg 82
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
90avg 82
A23/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
L
70-75
70
75
-5
67avg 82
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
65-87
65
87
-22
54avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
24-20
18-23
16-21
14-29
28-25
20-22
30-20
20-22
19-23
20-26
23-23
15-27
24-20
28-22
16-14
28-17
9-18
26-16
24-13
20-17
17-13
20-22
19-28
25-20
20-14
25-28
22-22
23-24
18-17
21-17
18-22
18-22
20-14
21-18
11-21
14-21
11-22
16-23
24-21
169.3Avg total
83.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.980.6167.5+6.354%
Season at home (6)90.579.7170.2+10.867%
Season away (7)83.981.4165.3+2.443%
Last 10 (10)83.286.1169.3-2.920%
Last 5 (5)80.485.8166.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.283.6159.8-7.527%
vs Similar (12)83.086.0169.0-3.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.081.4174.4+11.671%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 78
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
68avg 78
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 78
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
93avg 78
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 78
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 78
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 78
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 78
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 78
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 78
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
20-25
18-25
28-19
22-31
19-29
15-21
21-19
22-25
14-23
26-27
20-21
22-17
19-23
22-17
29-30
22-24
19-22
19-20
17-22
26-10
20-18
17-18
17-26
21-28
24-16
18-29
20-15
18-16
26-17
23-15
17-28
22-20
23-24
20-23
23-32
33-23
33-18
18-22
26-29
173.5Avg total
85.2Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.787.0171.7-2.331%
Season at home (7)87.989.9177.7-2.043%
Season away (6)81.083.7164.7-2.717%
Last 10 (10)85.288.3173.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)89.085.4174.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.288.2164.4-12.18%
vs Similar (15)88.181.8169.9+6.373%
vs Weaker (2)77.580.5158.0-3.050%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
Anadolu EfesMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A17/12
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H02/01
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
38.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.282.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.539.080.5+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.184.8-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.278.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.874.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.641.781.4-2.136%-
vs Similar (12)40.140.280.3-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.142.089.1+5.157%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H12/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.3Avg total
43.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.184.9-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.843.887.5+0.056%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.382.0-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.586.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.238.087.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.146.883.9-9.815%-
vs Similar (15)45.939.785.7+6.273%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.5
51.9%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.9
36.6%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.916.5
78.9%
76.0%16.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.6
35.6%
35.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
76.0%15.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Anadolu Efes
LLLWLWLLLL
Mersin SK
WLWLWLWLLL
#4
League position
#13
-3.9
Net rating
-3.6
110.3
Offensive rating
113.0
114.2
Defensive rating
116.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.6%
3-point %
35.6%
62.3%
Assist %
76.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 113.0Defence114.2 · 116.6Shooting53.1% · 53.8%3-point %36.6% · 35.6%Ball care18.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Anadolu Efes   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Anadolu Efes wins
0
Mersin SK wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HCrvena zvezda65-87
27/12/25ATurk Telekom70-75
23/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne99-103 OT
21/12/25HGalatasaray92-84
19/12/25HDubai76-80
17/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas87-64
14/12/25AFenerbahce94-97 OT
11/12/25AValencia82-94
07/12/25HPetkim Spor92-96
04/12/25HReal Madrid75-81
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HMerkezefendi110-92
21/12/25ABursaspor88-99
17/12/25HOostende84-76
14/12/25HEsenler Erokspor83-88
09/12/25AAS Karditsas80-72
06/12/25ABuyukcekmece77-88
21/11/25HKarsiyaka92-87
15/11/25HTurk Telekom82-96
12/11/25HUnicaja77-100
09/11/25AGalatasaray79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Anadolu Efes
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game86.990.583.9
Allowed / game80.679.781.4
Point differential+6.3+10.8+2.4
Avg total167.5170.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game84.787.981.0
Allowed / game87.089.983.7
Point differential-2.3-2.0-2.7
Avg total171.7177.7164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas13130100%86.775.7+11.0
2 Fenerbahce1311285%89.381.6+7.7
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1411379%84.378.5+5.8
4 Turk Telekom149564%86.579.1+7.4
5 Trabzonspor149564%87.382.6+4.6
6 Esenler Erokspor148657%83.278.1+5.1
7 Anadolu Efes137654%86.980.6+6.3
8 Galatasaray137654%87.286.1+1.2
9 Tofas147750%83.680.9+2.7
10 Bursaspor145936%79.485.9-6.6
11 Petkim Spor145936%80.287.4-7.1
12 Mersin SK134931%84.787.0-2.3
13 Merkezefendi134931%78.285.2-7.0
14 Manisa1331023%76.985.6-8.7
15 Karsiyaka1431121%79.189.6-10.4
16 Buyukcekmece1321115%79.589.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Anadolu Efes2329202193
Mersin SK1627241380
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