PythiaBasketballBETA
A2Round 8
Anagennisi hosts Sofadon in the A2 on 14 November 2026, a clash that pits a team on a 1-6 run against a 4-3 squad that sits fourth in the standings. Anagennisi has scored 72.9 points per game while conceding 80.3, and at home they average 81.2 points for and 83.5 against, having lost their last five outings with a 0-5 record and recent defeats to Chalkida, Lavrio and Papagou. Sofadon, meanwhile, averages 75.6 points scored and 71.3 allowed across all games, with a road record of 1-2 and a 3-2 run in their last five, highlighted by a 70-55 win over Komotini and a 72-62 victory over Glafkos Esperos. The model gives Sofadon a 61% chance to win against Anagennisi's 39%, projecting a 73-76 score for a total of 149.5 points; the home line of 3.0 gives a 48% chance of covering, while the over on 153.5 carries a 40% probability. With a 5% chance of overtime, Sofadon's recent form and higher scoring average suggest they will edge the game.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 72.9 | 80.3 | 153.1 | -7.4 | 14% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.2 | 83.5 | 164.8 | -2.2 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 61.7 | 76.0 | 137.7 | -14.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (7) | 72.9 | 80.3 | 153.1 | -7.4 | 14% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 81.6 | 155.2 | -8.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 68.0 | 79.5 | 147.5 | -11.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 79.3 | 81.3 | 160.7 | -2.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 75.6 | 71.3 | 146.9 | +4.3 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 73.0 | 64.8 | 137.8 | +8.2 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 79.0 | 80.0 | 159.0 | -1.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.3 | 67.6 | 144.9 | +9.7 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 69.2 | 142.8 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 71.6 | 80.8 | 152.4 | -9.2 | 20% |
| vs Similar (12) | 80.0 | 80.6 | 160.6 | -0.6 | 42% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 81.8 | 69.8 | 151.5 | +12.0 | 77% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (7) | 35.9 | 41.0 | 76.9 | -5.1 | 29% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (4) | 38.8 | 44.2 | 83.0 | -5.5 | 25% | 100% |
| Last 30 away (3) | 32.0 | 36.7 | 68.7 | -4.7 | 33% | 0% |
| Last 10 (7) | 35.9 | 41.0 | 76.9 | -5.1 | 29% | 57% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 40.6 | 75.6 | -5.6 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 31.2 | 43.2 | 74.5 | -12.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (3) | 42.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | +4.0 | 67% | 67% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 38.4 | 79.4 | +2.6 | 60% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.7 | 35.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 | 67% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.4 | 41.4 | 83.8 | +1.0 | 53% | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.4 | 37.0 | 75.4 | +1.4 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.4 | 37.6 | 74.0 | -1.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 38.4 | 41.2 | 79.6 | -2.8 | 20% | 60% |
| vs Similar (12) | 41.2 | 39.1 | 80.3 | +2.2 | 58% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 41.8 | 36.7 | 78.5 | +5.2 | 77% | 46% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Chalkida | 61-78 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Lavrio | 79-84 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Papagou | 69-75 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Panionios | 77-81 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Komotini | 82-90 OT |
| 10/10/26 | A | Proteas Voulas | 55-75 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Glafkos Esperos | 87-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Komotini | 70-55 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Proteas Voulas | 50-63 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Glafkos Esperos | 72-62 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Panerythraikos | 96-85 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Psychikou | 80-81 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Peiramatiko Machites | 91-92 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Amyntas | 70-61 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Volos | 76-65 |
| 08/04/26 | H | Volos | 86-47 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Volos | 82-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 14% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Points / game | 72.9 | 81.2 | 61.7 |
| Allowed / game | 80.3 | 83.5 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | -7.4 | -2.2 | -14.3 |
| Avg total | 153.1 | 164.8 | 137.7 |
| Over 153.5 | 57% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLW | 57% |
| Home | WLWW | 75% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Points / game | 75.6 | 73.0 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 71.3 | 64.8 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | +4.3 | +8.2 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 146.9 | 137.8 | 159.0 |
| Over 153.5 | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panionios | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 85.6 | 71.4 | +14.1 |
| 2 |  Lavrio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 83.6 | 69.0 | +14.6 |
| 3 |  NE Megaridas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 77.3 | 68.9 | +8.4 |
| 4 | Sofadon | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 75.6 | 71.3 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Chalkida | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.3 | 79.0 | +2.3 |
| 6 |  Proteas Voulas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 72.3 | 70.0 | +2.3 |
| 7 |  Peiramatiko Machites | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.4 | 81.0 | -0.6 |
| 8 |  Psychikou | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 74.9 | 75.6 | -0.7 |
| 9 |  Panerythraikos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.6 | 89.1 | -2.6 |
| 10 |  Papagou | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 75.7 | 79.1 | -3.4 |
| 11 |  Komotini | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 72.3 | 77.7 | -5.4 |
| 12 |  Amyntas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 67.0 | 77.4 | -10.4 |
| 13 |  Koroivos | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 77.5 | 81.0 | -3.5 |
| 14 |  Kronos Agiou Dimitriou | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 72.6 | 73.4 | -0.9 |
| 15 | Anagennisi | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 72.9 | 80.3 | -7.4 |
| 16 | Glafkos Esperos | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 71.5 | 80.8 | -9.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anagennisi | 21 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 74 |
| Sofadon | 11 | 19 | 9 | 26 | 65 |
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