On 7 November 2026 the TBL will see Ankara Kolejliler host Buyukcekmece in a contest that the Pythia model expects to tilt in favour of the visitors, who hold a 4-4 record and a 66% chance of winning. Ankara Kolejliler have struggled all season, posting a 3-6 record with 75.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed per game, and a 1-3 home record of 78.5 points for and 77.2 against; their last five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a 65-100 loss away to Mersin SK, a 66-72 defeat at home to Harem Spor and a 72-63 win away over CO Basket. Buyukcekmece, positioned seventh in the league, have matched that 4-4 record with 80.4 points per game and 78.9 points allowed; on the road they are 1-2 with 77.7 points for and 81.0 against, and their last five games produced only one win, a 70-78 loss at home to Kahramanmaras, a 85-90 loss away to Darussafaka and a 85-87 loss at home to Fenerbahce. Historically the visitors have dominated, winning both of the two meetings and besting Ankara Kolejliler 96-73 in their most recent encounter on 2 April 2017. The model projects a 80-84 scoreline, a total of 163.7 points, a -1.0 spread that the home team covers with a 33% probability, an over on the 158.5 line with a 62% chance, and a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Ankara Kolejliler can reverse their recent slump and keep the score close enough to challenge Buyukcekmece's 84-point output.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 75.8 | 81.1 | 156.9 | -5.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (4) | 78.5 | 77.2 | 155.8 | +1.2 | 25% |
| Season away (5) | 73.6 | 84.2 | 157.8 | -10.6 | 40% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.6 | 81.5 | 155.1 | -7.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.6 | 80.4 | 155.0 | -5.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 71.8 | 86.9 | 158.7 | -15.2 | 8% |
| vs Similar (17) | 86.5 | 84.2 | 170.7 | +2.4 | 59% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 20.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | +20.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 80.4 | 78.9 | 159.2 | +1.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (5) | 82.0 | 77.6 | 159.6 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Season away (3) | 77.7 | 81.0 | 158.7 | -3.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.9 | 84.2 | 165.1 | -3.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.6 | 83.2 | 161.8 | -4.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 79.4 | 88.6 | 168.1 | -9.2 | 11% |
| vs Similar (8) | 84.1 | 86.6 | 170.8 | -2.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 84.2 | 79.2 | 163.5 | +5.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 41.8 | 42.9 | 84.7 | -1.0 | 34% | 72% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.8 | 41.8 | 84.6 | +1.0 | 36% | 79% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.9 | 43.9 | 84.8 | -2.9 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 41.9 | 82.0 | -1.8 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.2 | 43.0 | 84.2 | -1.8 | 20% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 37.6 | 45.0 | 82.6 | -7.4 | 8% | 67% |
| vs Similar (17) | 44.8 | 41.4 | 86.2 | +3.5 | 53% | 76% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 44.1 | 85.7 | -2.5 | 40% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.8 | 41.9 | 83.6 | -0.1 | 44% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.4 | 46.6 | 88.1 | -5.2 | 36% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.7 | 45.3 | 86.0 | -4.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.0 | 43.4 | 81.4 | -5.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 40.9 | 44.7 | 85.6 | -3.8 | 28% | 67% |
| vs Similar (8) | 41.9 | 44.1 | 86.0 | -2.2 | 50% | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 44.2 | 41.2 | 85.5 | +3.0 | 75% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyukcekmece over 78 | 73.2% | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | - | - | +21.9pp | Lost |
| Buyukcekmece over 77.5 | 74.1% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Lost |
| Buyukcekmece +2 | 70.7% | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | - | - | +20.7pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece over 76.5 | 77.1% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +20.6pp | Lost |
| Buyukcekmece +5.5 | 80.0% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +20.2pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece over 78.5 | 70.8% | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.72 | - | +20.1pp | Lost |
| Buyukcekmece over 75.5 | 80.0% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +20.0pp | Lost |
| Buyukcekmece +2.5 | 71.8% | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.76 | +19.7pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +3 | 73.7% | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | - | - | +19.4pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece over 74.5 | 82.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +19.3pp | Lost |
| Buyukcekmece +6.5 | 82.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +19.1pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +4 | 76.7% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +18.8pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece over 73.5 | 85.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +18.7pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +5 | 79.5% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +18.3pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +3.5 | 74.4% | 1.65 | 1.67 | 1.62 | - | - | - | +18.2pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +7.5 | 84.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +17.8pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece over 72.5 | 87.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +17.7pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +4.5 | 77.3% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +17.7pp | Won |
| Buyukcekmece +8.5 | 86.6% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +15.9pp | Won |
| Ankara Kolejliler under 86.5 | 74.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Ankara Kolejliler under 85.5 | 71.8% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.5 | 23.2 | 53.0% | 46.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 6.0 | 33.0% | 18.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.8 | 9.2 | 71.2% | 9.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 18.8 | 53.0% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 9.1 | 33.0% | 27.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 16.0 | 71.2% | 16.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 02/04/17 | Ankara Kolejliler v Buyukcekmece | 73-96 |
| 03/12/16 | Buyukcekmece v Ankara Kolejliler | 85-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Mersin SK | 65-100 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Harem Spor | 66-72 |
| 17/10/26 | A | CO Basket | 72-63 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Final Spor | 75-77 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Kecioren Baglum | 95-90 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Balikesir | 85-91 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Goztepe | 64-85 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Kahramanmaras | 72-83 |
| 12/09/26 | H | Darussafaka | 88-69 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Bordo Sportif | 54-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Kahramanmaras | 70-78 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Darussafaka | 85-90 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Fenerbahce 2 | 85-87 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Gaziantep | 70-90 |
| 07/10/26 | H | iLab Basketbol | 83-71 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Konya BBSK | 78-63 |
| 26/09/26 | H | MKE Ankaragucu | 89-77 |
| 13/09/26 | H | OGM Ormanspor | 83-75 |
| 08/05/26 | A | Anadolu Efes | 79-113 |
| 03/05/26 | H | Merkezefendi | 87-98 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 33% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | LLWWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 78.5 | 73.6 |
| Allowed / game | 81.1 | 77.2 | 84.2 |
| Point differential | -5.3 | +1.2 | -10.6 |
| Avg total | 156.9 | 155.8 | 157.8 |
| Over 159.75 | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 50% |
| Home | WWWLL | 60% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Points / game | 80.4 | 82.0 | 77.7 |
| Allowed / game | 78.9 | 77.6 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | +1.5 | +4.4 | -3.3 |
| Avg total | 159.2 | 159.6 | 158.7 |
| Over 159.75 | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 90.6 | 74.6 | +16.0 | |
| 2 | Goztepe | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.9 | 77.2 | +8.6 |
| 3 | Harem Spor | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 80.4 | 67.2 | +13.2 |
| 4 | Kahramanmaras | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 83.2 | 74.4 | +8.8 |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 78.6 | 76.6 | +2.0 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 80.1 | 79.3 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.4 | 78.9 | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.2 | 83.0 | +1.2 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 85.0 | 86.2 | -1.2 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 74.4 | 81.8 | -7.3 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 72.9 | 78.8 | -5.9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 79.4 | 90.8 | -11.4 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 75.8 | 81.1 | -5.3 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 76.0 | 83.4 | -7.4 | |
| 15 | Konya BBSK | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 81.0 | 83.9 | -2.9 |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 73.2 | 78.3 | -5.1 | |
| 17 | Kecioren Baglum | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 82.8 | 87.4 | -4.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 67 | |
| 18 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 74 |
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