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Apollon vs AEL Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.0
CyprusDivision ARound 17· Apollon Limassol Basketball Stadium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Apollon v AEL
07 Jan 2027
APOL v AEL
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
APOL77
AEL89
06 Mar 2026
APOL85
AEL76
23 Apr 2025
APOL66
AEL96
12 Feb 2025
APOL81
AEL91
08 Apr 2024
APOL74
AEL99
27 Oct 2023
APOL90
AEL94
07 Apr 2023
APOL92
AEL68
31 Mar 2023
APOL96
AEL77
28 Jan 2023
APOL99
AEL71
16 Dec 2021
APOL95
AEL90
01 Nov 2020
APOL86
AEL68
06 Feb 2020
APOL81
AEL67
18 Jan 2020
APOL81
AEL75
28 Dec 2018
APOL80
AEL73
29 Nov 2014
APOL20
AEL0
02 Feb 2014
APOL78
AEL72
04 Jan 2014
APOL104
AEL45
08 Feb 2013
APOL93
AEL76
17 Nov 2012
APOL75
AEL74
16 Jan 2012
APOL129
AEL63
11 Mar 2011
APOL83
AEL85
11 Feb 2011
APOL95
AEL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apollon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Apollon
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.1
75.8▼ 3.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.0
88.0▲ 1.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
48%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.4
14.4▼ 1.0
🔥 Form · AEL
3.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.8
76.6▼ 4.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.5
66.8▼ 10.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
56%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.5
18.2▼ 0.3
ApollonCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/02
Division A
AEL
#3
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H06/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A20/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
56-90
56
90
-34
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H24/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
18-24
17-21
23-15
20-24
12-18
17-15
36-19
25-31
18-28
17-17
17-15
20-24
29-13
14-27
14-25
19-19
17-24
22-15
17-26
15-15
22-19
20-21
19-21
22-25
13-28
21-21
15-18
14-26
12-23
13-18
17-23
24-21
14-30
17-16
24-12
19-19
18-21
15-32
23-18
163.2Avg total
76.7Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.789.3163.0-15.733%
Season at home (2)65.590.0155.5-24.50%
Season away (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.786.5163.2-9.830%
Last 5 (5)75.888.0163.8-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.893.5165.4-21.70%
vs Similar (12)84.285.1169.3-0.842%
vs Weaker (7)91.479.7171.1+11.786%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A25/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H29/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#15
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
H30/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-18
20-21
15-28
19-30
8-18
24-22
15-16
23-21
19-19
17-24
28-18
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
149.6Avg total
75.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.869.0145.8+7.875%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)73.575.0148.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.674.0149.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.666.8143.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (10)84.979.9164.8+5.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.570.5153.9+13.0100%
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
ApollonAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A13/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H06/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A20/03
Division A
AEL
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
Division A
82.4Avg total
36.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.783.2-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.142.481.6-3.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.844.884.6-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.745.782.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.480.0-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.149.584.6-14.59%-
vs Similar (12)38.941.580.4-2.633%-
vs Weaker (7)47.338.385.6+9.086%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A25/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
75.8Avg total
39.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.177.5+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.236.278.3+6.085%-
Last 30 away (17)39.037.876.8+1.259%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.575.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.073.2+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (10)42.238.780.9+3.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.432.875.2+9.591%-
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.9
47.0%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
33.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
72.4%12.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
33.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.4%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apollon
LWLLWLLLWL
AEL
WWWWLWLWLL
#7
League position
#3
-11.4
Net rating
+2.4
87.8
Offensive rating
92.1
99.2
Defensive rating
89.7
48.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.6%
3-point %
28.8%
54.5%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 92.1Defence99.2 · 89.7Shooting48.3% · 50.3%3-point %33.6% · 28.8%Ball care13.1% · 14.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Apollon   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Apollon wins
8
AEL wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Apollon v AEL77-89
06/03/26Apollon v AEL85-76
03/10/25AEL v Apollon80-62
23/04/25Apollon v AEL66-96
12/02/25Apollon v AEL81-91
11/10/24AEL v Apollon105-79
08/04/24Apollon v AEL74-99
15/01/24AEL v Apollon98-64
27/10/23Apollon v AEL90-94
07/04/23Apollon v AEL92-68
Apollonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HKeravnos75-90
16/10/26AAchilleas K.90-88 OT
11/10/26HAEK Larnaca56-90
07/04/26AKeravnos71-92
05/04/26AParalimni87-80 OT
01/04/26AApoel BC75-84
27/03/26HAEL77-89
20/03/26AAEK Larnaca77-91
06/03/26HAEL85-76
13/02/26AAEK Larnaca74-85
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
29/04/26HKeravnos87-82
25/04/26AKeravnos66-86
22/04/26HKeravnos81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apollon
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game73.765.590.0
Allowed / game89.390.088.0
Point differential-15.7-24.5+2.0
Avg total163.0155.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%100%
AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game76.880.073.5
Allowed / game69.063.075.0
Point differential+7.8+17.0-1.5
Avg total145.8143.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos330100%92.073.0+19.0
2 AEK Larnaca330100%86.069.7+16.3
3 AEL43175%76.869.0+7.8
4 Apoel BC32167%81.072.7+8.3
5 ETHA Engomi32167%71.067.7+3.3
6 Paralimni31233%81.084.3-3.3
7 Apollon31233%73.789.3-15.7
8 Morphou41325%68.078.0-10.0
9 Anorthosis3030%72.378.3-6.0
10 Achilleas K.3030%70.789.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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