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Arabe Valparaiso vs Brisas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 49-81
19-16 11-15 14-22 5-28
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game70.8
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
vs
Brisas 🏆
Chile
Position#11
Record2-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game72.8
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Brisas
20 Jun 2024
ARAB49
BRIS81
22 Apr 2023
ARAB75
BRIS34
23 Jul 2022
ARAB70
BRIS73
03 Oct 2021
ARAB73
BRIS39
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
51-83
51
83
-32
40avg 61
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 61
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-96
56
96
-40
39avg 61
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
53avg 61
A18/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
no box
A19/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
32avg 61
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
56avg 61
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 61
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
70-66
70
66
+4
69avg 61
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 61
H16/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
14-16
15-23
13-20
18-23
19-24
20-17
27-17
9-15
21-30
10-25
16-26
15-23
16-25
16-16
17-12
–
–
–
–
16-23
13-6
7-12
7-16
17-16
15-14
12-11
16-7
23-8
8-23
19-27
21-22
23-25
11-19
24-12
12-10
20-27
15-18
16-22
17-11
133.3Avg total
61.6Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.870.8137.6-4.047%
Season at home (7)68.774.1142.9-5.443%
Season away (8)65.167.9133.0-2.850%
Last 10 (10)61.671.7133.3-10.130%
Last 5 (5)62.465.8128.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)62.975.6138.5-12.730%
vs Similar (13)64.466.9131.3-2.538%
vs Weaker (7)74.066.9140.9+7.171%
This opponent (Brisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrisasChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrisas
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 53
H15/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
58-91
58
91
-33
40avg 53
A21/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
87-88
87
88
-1
72avg 53
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
60-66
60
66
-6
46avg 53
A04/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
59-61
59
61
-2
48avg 53
H12/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 53
A19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 53
H20/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
68avg 53
A26/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
72-77
72
77
-5
63avg 53
H02/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
47-68
47
68
-21
27avg 53
H16/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
10-24
11-10
23-28
8-27
12-20
18-16
20-28
25-22
9-26
30-19
23-21
13-19
12-14
17-11
18-22
21-9
16-21
12-24
10-7
28-19
19-11
13-14
16-18
16-14
16-22
27-28
12-21
25-17
15-11
19-19
11-11
14-25
15-15
18-23
25-14
9-19
14-21
12-4
12-24
139.8Avg total
66.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)65.772.8138.5-7.114%
Season at home (8)63.972.9136.8-9.00%
Season away (6)68.272.7140.8-4.533%
Last 10 (10)66.873.0139.8-6.220%
Last 5 (5)67.270.0137.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)56.573.0129.6-16.510%
vs Similar (6)69.779.7149.3-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)63.262.5125.8+0.850%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
Arabe ValparaisoBrisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/06
LNB 2
71.2Avg total
31.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.936.269.1-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.437.771.1-4.330%-
Last 30 away (9)32.434.466.9-2.044%-
Last 10 (9)31.339.971.2-8.611%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.868.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.237.270.5-4.038%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.967.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Brisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A21/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A04/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H20/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A26/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H02/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H16/06
LNB 2
68.9Avg total
32.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)30.536.967.5-6.426%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.638.568.2-8.99%-
Last 30 away (8)31.834.866.5-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)32.136.868.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.869.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.236.266.4-6.033%-
vs Similar (6)28.041.069.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.032.567.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 63.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.1
45.0%
44.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.65.9
26.1%
28.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws14.09.4
67.1%
63.6%9.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisas: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.2
46.6%
44.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.97.9
27.3%
28.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.010.4
69.3%
63.6%10.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
LWLWLLLLWL
Brisas
LLWLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-13.4
Net rating
-6.9
80.2
Offensive rating
86.7
93.6
Defensive rating
93.6
42.9%
Effective FG%
44.0%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
25.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
26.1%
3-point %
27.3%
58.3%
Assist %
54.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence80.2 · 86.7Defence93.6 · 93.6Shooting42.9% · 44.0%3-point %26.1% · 27.3%Ball care25.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds26.3% · 18.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Brisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Arabe Valparaiso wins
1
Brisas wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Brisas v Arabe Valparaiso51-73
17/06/23Brisas v Arabe Valparaiso45-72
22/04/23Arabe Valparaiso v Brisas75-34
23/07/22Arabe Valparaiso v Brisas70-73
22/05/22Brisas v Arabe Valparaiso59-70
13/11/21Brisas v Arabe Valparaiso63-75
03/10/21Arabe Valparaiso v Brisas73-39
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol68-78
15/06/24ALuis Matte Larrain70-66
02/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe71-80
26/05/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-48
25/05/24HTruenos De Talca43-57
19/05/24AMunicipal Chillan49-52
18/05/24AAleman64-76
12/05/24AStadio Italiano56-96
11/05/24HSergio Ceppi84-81
27/04/24HColo Colo51-83
Brisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/24HColo Colo47-68
02/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol72-77
26/05/24ALuis Matte Larrain70-58
20/05/24HBoston C. C.71-85
19/05/24AArturo Prat San Felipe76-62
12/05/24HTruenos De Talca59-61
04/05/24AStadio Italiano60-66
28/04/24HAleman87-88
21/04/24ASergio Ceppi58-91
15/04/24HMunicipal Chillan68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game66.868.765.1
Allowed / game70.874.167.9
Point differential-4.0-5.4-2.8
Avg total137.6142.9133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisas
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%0%33%
Points / game65.763.968.2
Allowed / game72.872.972.7
Point differential-7.1-9.0-4.5
Avg total138.5136.8140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo16160100%85.263.6+21.6
2 Sergio Ceppi1711665%74.673.4+1.2
3 Boston C. C.1610662%71.268.1+3.1
4 Truenos De Talca169756%71.868.3+3.5
5 Aleman169756%74.270.9+3.2
6 Stadio Italiano158753%66.564.6+1.9
7 Quilpue Basquetbol157847%67.569.9-2.4
8 Arabe Valparaiso157847%66.870.8-4.0
9 Municipal Chillan1771041%62.467.6-5.2
10 Luis Matte Larrain156940%68.772.8-4.1
11 Brisas1421214%65.772.8-7.1
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1621412%71.784.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso191114549
Brisas1615222881
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