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Arabe Valparaiso vs Colo Colo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 51-83
9-24 14-16 15-23 13-20
Position#10
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game69.0
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
vs
Colo Colo 🏆
Chile
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game65.5
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colo Colo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
68-55
68
55
+13
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 73
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 73
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
73-51
73
51
+22
74avg 73
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 73
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 73
H20/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
15-15
21-17
14-14
16-17
19-11
11-20
22-7
13-17
17-16
12-20
14-22
24-16
8-21
24-11
14-23
12-13
10-24
19-17
27-18
16-16
17-16
14-17
31-25
23-19
19-16
15-23
22-7
18-5
18-14
22-14
15-18
18-18
18-13
20-23
24-22
24-25
23-13
4-26
25-15
140.1Avg total
71.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.269.0146.2+8.280%
Season at home (3)78.373.3151.7+5.067%
Season away (2)75.562.5138.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.468.7140.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)77.269.0146.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)59.075.7134.7-16.718%
vs Similar (12)69.770.8140.4-1.142%
vs Weaker (7)74.660.3134.9+14.386%
This opponent (Colo Colo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colo ColoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormColo
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#5
W
78-62
78
62
+16
no box
A05/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
A12/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
A15/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
H19/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
82-66
82
66
+16
85avg 79
A24/03
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
73avg 79
H30/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
108-70
108
70
+38
114avg 79
A06/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
63avg 79
H13/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
77avg 79
A15/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
65-45
65
45
+20
62avg 79
H21/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
12-16
25-19
20-15
14-20
16-21
24-24
20-20
16-20
16-26
16-12
12-26
17-22
11-14
18-15
15-25
18-15
21-23
20-13
23-15
20-22
20-25
28-14
13-14
22-15
31-16
23-23
32-16
19-17
15-18
30-20
13-17
20-22
25-13
16-14
17-16
17-11
16-10
16-12
16-12
146.4Avg total
76.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.865.5147.3+16.3100%
Season at home (3)74.364.0138.3+10.3100%
Season away (3)89.367.0156.3+22.3100%
Last 10 (10)76.470.0146.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)81.865.4147.2+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.382.6151.9-13.314%
vs Similar (4)76.587.0163.5-10.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.560.8144.3+22.7100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Arabe ValparaisoColo Colo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/04
LNB 2
67.2Avg total
34.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.833.666.4-0.858%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.933.366.2-0.460%-
Last 30 away (9)32.733.966.6-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.867.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.069.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.734.365.0-3.756%-
vs Similar (9)33.932.766.6+1.256%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Colo Colo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colo ColoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#5
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A05/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A12/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A15/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H19/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/03
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H30/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A06/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H13/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A15/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H21/04
LNB 2
72.5Avg total
36.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.535.373.8+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.733.872.5+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.337.075.3+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.872.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.874.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.141.976.0-7.714%-
vs Similar (4)35.540.876.2-5.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.731.772.5+9.079%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.0
53.8%
44.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.2
31.9%
28.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.213.2
62.3%
63.6%13.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Colo Colotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Colo Colo: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.7
53.4%
44.9%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
28.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.2
68.5%
63.6%10.2
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
LWWWWLLLWL
Colo Colo
WWWWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#1
+9.9
Net rating
+20.5
95.2
Offensive rating
100.0
85.3
Defensive rating
79.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.1%
42.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
24.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.9%
3-point %
33.1%
61.0%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 100.0Defence85.3 · 79.6Shooting51.6% · 52.1%3-point %31.9% · 33.1%Ball care24.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 27.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Colo Colo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
0
Colo Colo wins
No previous meetings.
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HBoston C. C.76-79
13/04/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-76
07/04/24ABrisas73-51
30/03/24HArturo Prat San Felipe79-65
23/03/24ATruenos De Talca78-74
06/08/23HSergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23HSergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi56-75
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi68-55
23/07/23HSergio Ceppi66-69
Colo Cololast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HQuilpue Basquetbol65-45
15/04/24ALuis Matte Larrain78-65
13/04/24HBrisas77-72
06/04/24AArturo Prat San Felipe108-70
30/03/24HTruenos De Talca81-75
24/03/24AStadio Italiano82-66
19/08/23HSportiva Italiana61-76
15/08/23ASportiva Italiana60-84
12/08/23ASportiva Italiana74-85
05/08/23ATruenos De Talca78-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game77.278.375.5
Allowed / game69.073.362.5
Point differential+8.2+5.0+13.0
Avg total146.2151.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Colo Colo
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.874.389.3
Allowed / game65.564.067.0
Point differential+16.3+10.3+22.3
Avg total147.3138.3156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo660100%81.865.5+16.3
2 Sergio Ceppi76186%79.168.1+11.0
3 Arabe Valparaiso54180%77.269.0+8.2
4 Aleman53260%70.263.6+6.6
5 Stadio Italiano74357%66.765.3+1.4
6 Quilpue Basquetbol74357%66.765.4+1.3
7 Boston C. C.63350%69.370.3-1.0
8 Luis Matte Larrain63350%67.371.3-4.0
9 Municipal Chillan73443%65.171.6-6.4
10 Truenos De Talca61517%71.773.5-1.8
11 Brisas6060%63.075.7-12.7
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe6060%69.787.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso914151351
Colo Colo2416232083
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