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Araberri vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 67-68
21-9 17-19 17-25 12-15
Position#18
Record7-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Caceres 🏆
Spain
Position#14
Record7-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game76.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 29
Other2018-19
Meetings · Araberri v Caceres
31 Mar 2019
ARAB67
CACE68
07 Apr 2018
ARAB78
CACE91
29 Nov 2016
ARAB80
CACE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Araberri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caceres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AraberriSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valladolid
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H22/01
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A26/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#1
L
55-81
55
81
-26
H02/02
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#15
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A15/02
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H23/02
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#16
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A03/03
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H09/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#6
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A16/03
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H19/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#13
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A22/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-16
12-24
26-20
21-23
17-17
11-22
10-24
18-15
6-20
20-25
11-21
21-18
16-22
20-19
18-5
17-20
18-22
15-18
26-19
17-17
20-21
14-15
20-19
22-15
14-25
16-14
10-17
16-17
13-17
20-18
14-19
7-18
12-23
15-19
18-16
14-21
13-24
18-13
21-21
141.8Avg total
65.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.582.8158.3-7.425%
Season at home (14)75.685.6161.2-9.914%
Season away (14)75.380.1155.4-4.836%
Last 10 (10)65.776.1141.8-10.410%
Last 5 (5)62.873.8136.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.984.6160.5-8.823%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.978.1151.0-5.329%
vs Weaker (1)112.092.0204.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#6
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A23/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#13
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H27/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#11
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A01/02
Primera FEB
Huesca
#10
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H15/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#12
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A22/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A09/03
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H15/03
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A20/03
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
H24/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
10-21
11-24
25-17
22-21
19-23
17-19
23-23
19-23
11-14
12-32
28-24
18-22
20-20
12-18
18-15
16-13
17-24
12-18
10-13
24-19
7-18
15-19
20-18
17-22
21-20
16-16
17-22
20-22
17-23
15-19
28-11
15-29
14-30
14-18
23-18
22-13
14-20
9-13
19-18
149.7Avg total
69.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)68.976.2145.1-7.225%
Season at home (15)72.372.7144.9-0.440%
Season away (13)65.180.2145.3-15.28%
Last 10 (10)69.380.4149.7-11.110%
Last 5 (5)71.480.0151.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.477.4145.8-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.073.9147.9+0.162%
vs Weaker (1)65.063.0128.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Araberri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
AraberriCaceres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AraberriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valladolid
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H22/01
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H02/02
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/02
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/02
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/03
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/03
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H19/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#13
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A22/03
Primera FEB
71.5Avg total
32.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.880.5-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.344.182.5-5.827%-
Last 30 away (15)36.941.578.5-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)32.239.371.5-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)29.639.669.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.143.279.4-7.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.141.480.6-2.314%-
vs Weaker (1)60.044.0104.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Caceres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A23/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H27/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A01/02
Primera FEB
Huesca
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A22/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A09/03
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H15/03
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#17
L
29-59
29
59
-30
A20/03
Primera FEB
Bilbao
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H24/03
Primera FEB
75.6Avg total
33.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.074.0-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.236.072.2+0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.840.276.0-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.941.775.6-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.277.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.939.374.2-4.519%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.036.675.6+2.462%-
vs Weaker (1)36.020.056.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Araberri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Araberri wins
5
Caceres wins
DateGameScore
07/12/18Caceres v Araberri77-64
07/04/18Araberri v Caceres78-91
15/12/17Caceres v Araberri89-85
26/03/17Caceres v Araberri83-82
29/11/16Araberri v Caceres80-86
Araberrilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/19ACastello66-79
19/03/19HBilbao52-76
16/03/19AOviedo63-71
09/03/19HPrat Joventut62-71
03/03/19ABarcelona B71-72
23/02/19HIberojet Palma76-79
15/02/19AReal Canoe75-64
02/02/19HReal Betis55-81
26/01/19AGranada59-86
22/01/19HValladolid78-82
Cacereslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HBilbao74-76 OT
20/03/19APrat Joventut66-95
15/03/19HIberojet Palma80-75
09/03/19AReal Betis71-80
01/03/19HValladolid66-74
22/02/19ALeyma Coruna55-68
15/02/19HHuesca68-75
01/02/19AForca Lleida70-93
27/01/19HCastello81-86
23/01/19AOviedo62-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Araberri
Primera FEB 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%14%36%
Points / game75.575.675.3
Allowed / game82.885.680.1
Point differential-7.4-9.9-4.8
Avg total158.3161.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Caceres
Primera FEB 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %25%40%8%
Points / game68.972.365.1
Allowed / game76.272.780.2
Point differential-7.2-0.4-15.2
Avg total145.1144.9145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)43% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Betis2925486%81.973.5+8.4
2 Bilbao2920969%77.169.5+7.6
3 Oviedo29191066%76.870.1+6.6
4 Melilla28181064%75.374.0+1.3
5 Ourense29181162%75.771.4+4.2
6 Granada29171259%74.471.1+3.3
7 Palencia29171259%80.380.1+0.2
8 Iberojet Palma28161257%77.073.0+4.0
9 Valladolid29161355%78.074.9+3.2
10 Huesca29161355%75.475.6-0.1
11 Forca Lleida29141548%73.272.2+1.0
12 Castello29121741%74.576.1-1.7
13 Leyma Coruna29111838%75.377.1-1.8
14 Real Canoe29101934%68.477.0-8.5
15 Barcelona B2992031%70.674.0-3.4
16 Caceres2872125%68.976.2-7.2
17 Araberri2872125%75.582.8-7.4
18 Prat Joventut2972224%71.181.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Araberri2117171267
Caceres919251568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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