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Arad W vs Targu Mures W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-43
29-9 21-13 16-15 24-6
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game72.7
Arad W 🏆
Romania
vs
Targu Mures W
Romania
Position#8
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game85.7
RomaniaLiga National WRound 7· Sala Sporturilor Victoria
Women2023-24
Meetings · Arad W v Targu Mures W
21 Dec 2023
ARAD90
TARG43
23 Dec 2022
ARAD79
TARG44
28 Mar 2022
ARAD84
TARG48
15 Dec 2021
ARAD74
TARG54
12 Oct 2019
ARAD76
TARG34
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arad W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Targu Mures W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arad WRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti W
#5
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
A18/04
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#5
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
H21/04
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 60
H24/09
Romanian Cup Women
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
59-89
59
89
-30
48avg 60
A07/10
Romanian Cup Women
Cluj Napoca W
#4
W
71-67
71
67
+4
63avg 60
A14/10
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
73avg 60
H28/10
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
W
68-64
68
64
+4
53avg 60
H18/11
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
W
78-72
78
72
+6
59avg 60
A25/11
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
65avg 60
A04/12
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
56avg 60
A09/12
Liga National W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-13
10-15
18-19
16-16
23-21
8-14
22-17
18-13
17-18
16-18
18-21
20-17
12-28
15-16
20-25
12-20
25-11
9-15
21-17
16-24
19-19
21-17
17-15
12-13
25-22
16-11
16-9
11-22
21-19
25-12
18-25
14-16
15-22
16-19
22-24
26-22
22-13
9-20
22-21
21-28
144.4Avg total
71.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.272.7145.8+0.567%
Season at home (2)68.564.0132.5+4.5100%
Season away (4)75.577.0152.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)71.772.7144.4-1.060%
Last 5 (5)73.673.8147.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.486.1157.5-14.812%
vs Similar (5)66.270.6136.8-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.961.3139.2+16.688%
This opponent (Targu Mures W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Targu Mures WRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Olimpia Brasov W
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
A03/04
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
no box
H06/04
Liga National W
Targu Secuiesc W
#7
L
59-70
59
70
-11
no box
A13/04
Liga National W
Targu Secuiesc W
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H18/04
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
35-114
35
114
-79
12avg 50
H14/10
Liga National W
Cluj Napoca W
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
74avg 50
H27/10
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
L
60-67
60
67
-7
53avg 50
A04/11
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
47avg 50
H16/11
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
L
54-91
54
91
-37
41avg 50
A25/11
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
70avg 50
H09/12
Liga National W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
15-18
17-15
20-20
25-24
20-28
19-18
13-25
13-16
13-15
13-20
20-19
17-19
19-19
18-23
21-18
8-23
9-35
6-28
12-28
34-12
13-24
15-21
15-24
5-19
22-19
18-5
15-24
14-25
18-21
11-22
18-14
14-28
16-20
10-30
14-13
18-20
21-21
12-18
21-20
147.0Avg total
63.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)59.885.7145.5-25.80%
Season at home (4)61.289.0150.2-27.80%
Season away (2)57.079.0136.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)63.683.4147.0-19.80%
Last 5 (5)64.880.0144.8-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)60.282.0142.2-21.812%
vs Similar (2)79.050.0129.0+29.0100%
vs Weaker (2)53.555.5109.0-2.00%
This opponent (Arad W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.6-3.6
Arad WTargu Mures W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arad WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti W
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/04
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H21/04
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/09
Romanian Cup Women
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A07/10
Romanian Cup Women
Cluj Napoca W
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A14/10
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/10
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H18/11
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A25/11
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A04/12
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A09/12
Liga National W
70.0Avg total
35.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.671.0+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.935.274.2+3.769%-
Last 30 away (17)34.534.268.6+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.370.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.872.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.942.176.0-8.212%-
vs Similar (5)32.233.065.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.831.670.4+7.282%-
This opponent (Targu Mures W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Targu Mures WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Brasov W
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A03/04
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H06/04
Liga National W
Targu Secuiesc W
#7
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A13/04
Liga National W
Targu Secuiesc W
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H18/04
Liga National W
Sepsi SIC W
#2
L
17-58
17
58
-41
H14/10
Liga National W
Cluj Napoca W
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/10
Liga National W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A04/11
Liga National W
Phoenix Constanta W
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H16/11
Liga National W
Municipal Targoviste W
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A25/11
Liga National W
Olimpia Brasov W
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/12
Liga National W
75.7Avg total
32.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.240.569.6-11.317%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.541.974.4-9.320%-
Last 30 away (15)25.839.164.9-13.313%-
Last 10 (10)32.842.975.7-10.110%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.876.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.342.171.4-12.812%-
vs Similar (2)39.527.066.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker (2)17.033.050.0-16.00%-
This opponent (Arad W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arad Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arad W: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
55%
29%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.2
48.5%
46.0%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.57.6
26.8%
29.7%22.9
🏀 Free throws14.810.8
72.9%
70.8%10.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Targu Mures Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Targu Mures W: 59.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
55%
29%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.314.5
41.0%
46.0%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.0%
29.7%24.5
🏀 Free throws10.36.0
58.1%
70.8%6.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arad W
LLWWWWLLWW
Targu Mures W
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#8
-5.6
Net rating
-33.6
94.6
Offensive rating
76.9
100.2
Defensive rating
110.4
44.9%
Effective FG%
44.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
22.1%
Turnover %
28.9%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.17
26.8%
3-point %
32.0%
53.1%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 76.9Defence100.2 · 110.4Shooting44.9% · 44.0%3-point %26.8% · 32.0%Ball care22.1% · 28.9%Off. rebounds36.5% · 26.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Arad W   ■ Targu Mures W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Arad W wins
0
Targu Mures W wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Targu Mures W v Arad W52-78
23/12/22Arad W v Targu Mures W79-44
31/03/22Targu Mures W v Arad W56-80
28/03/22Arad W v Targu Mures W84-48
22/01/22Targu Mures W v Arad W62-79
15/12/21Arad W v Targu Mures W74-54
05/12/19Targu Mures W v Arad W38-80
12/10/19Arad W v Targu Mures W76-34
Arad Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASepsi SIC W74-82
04/12/23APhoenix Constanta W79-87
25/11/23AOlimpia Brasov W78-72
18/11/23HMunicipal Targoviste W68-64
28/10/23HRapid Bucuresti W69-64
14/10/23ACluj Napoca W71-67
07/10/23APhoenix Constanta W59-89
24/09/23HPhoenix Constanta W71-74
21/04/23HRapid Bucuresti W71-65
18/04/23ARapid Bucuresti W77-63
Targu Mures Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HOlimpia Brasov W72-79
25/11/23AMunicipal Targoviste W54-91
16/11/23HPhoenix Constanta W61-82
04/11/23ARapid Bucuresti W60-67
27/10/23HCluj Napoca W77-81
14/10/23HSepsi SIC W35-114
18/04/23HTargu Secuiesc W75-79
13/04/23ATargu Secuiesc W59-70
06/04/23HOlimpia Brasov W77-95
03/04/23AOlimpia Brasov W66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arad W
Liga National W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.268.575.5
Allowed / game72.764.077.0
Point differential+0.5+4.5-1.5
Avg total145.8132.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Targu Mures W
Liga National W 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.861.257.0
Allowed / game85.789.079.0
Point differential-25.8-27.8-22.0
Avg total145.5150.2136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sepsi SIC W660100%95.753.3+42.3
2 Phoenix Constanta W660100%77.266.5+10.7
3 Arad W64267%73.272.7+0.5
4 Cluj Napoca W74357%68.366.3+2.0
5 Municipal Targoviste W62433%69.869.0+0.8
6 Rapid Bucuresti W62433%64.777.0-12.3
7 Olimpia Brasov W71614%64.079.9-15.9
8 Targu Mures W6060%59.885.7-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arad W2921162490
Targu Mures W91315643
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