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Argentino vs Lanus Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 80-80
Projected total 159.2
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.5
Vs
50%
50%
■ ARGE 50%■ LANU 50%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
ArgentinaLiga A· El Fortín de las Morochas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Argentino v Lanus
15 Nov 2026
ARGE v LANU
upcoming
05 Mar 2016
ARGE93
LANU83
11 Apr 2015
ARGE104
LANU92
01 Dec 2014
ARGE80
LANU78
14 Feb 2014
ARGE81
LANU74
03 Nov 2013
ARGE55
LANU71
01 Mar 2013
ARGE72
LANU73
18 Sep 2012
ARGE79
LANU62
25 Feb 2011
ARGE75
LANU83
24 Nov 2010
ARGE61
LANU71
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Argentino will host Lanus on 15 November 2026 in the Liga A, and the matchup feels almost evenly matched, with no clear favourite emerging from the data. Argentino sits 12th with a 3-5 record, averaging 76.5 points and conceding 81.2, while Lanus is 17th, 3-7, 77.1 points for and 81.5 against; both teams have struggled to win on the road, as shown by Argentino's 3-3 home record and Lanus's 0-5 away record. In the last five outings Argentino has won only once, losing to Regatas 68-83, Obera TC 84-98, and La Union 57-75, whereas Lanus has won twice, dropping to Quimsa 71-88 and Olimpico 94-95 but beating San Martin 81-72. Their head-to-head history favours Argentino 6-4, though Lanus last bested them 86-67 in 2016. Pythia gives Argentino a 52% chance to win versus Lanus's 48%, projecting a close 80-79 finish and 159.3 total points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model sees Argentino as the slight favourite, and the game will likely hinge on the final minutes.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Argentino win
49.8%fair 2.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lanus win
50.2%fair 1.99
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArgentinoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArgentino
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
61-53
61
53
+8
51avg 64
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 64
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
59avg 64
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
82-79
82
79
+3
70avg 64
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 64
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 64
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 64
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
57-75
57
75
-18
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-23
12-8
16-9
17-25
26-20
21-14
24-18
21-17
23-20
14-22
21-9
28-24
17-16
15-16
22-23
21-19
24-18
23-29
14-21
25-24
21-19
12-17
26-22
23-20
15-26
20-14
18-18
12-23
18-15
14-22
13-15
15-20
29-30
21-23
19-25
21-21
25-22
15-14
18-12
153.8Avg total
77.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
Season at home (6)80.377.2157.5+3.267%
Season away (2)70.586.5157.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)77.276.6153.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.985.9162.8-9.032%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.877.5152.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLanus
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
67-58
67
58
+9
51avg 63
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 63
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
93-108
93
108
-15
89avg 63
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
50avg 63
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
52avg 63
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
61avg 63
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
81-72
81
72
+9
67avg 63
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
94-95
94
95
-1
no box
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
93-57
93
57
+36
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
25-15
12-14
18-15
26-18
17-27
23-26
11-13
18-26
22-34
25-25
28-23
22-18
18-20
13-21
20-16
20-25
19-8
16-27
14-20
18-22
19-21
12-8
23-12
20-23
19-13
21-10
21-26
22-21
30-22
16-21
26-31
19-18
22-27
11-29
19-14
29-13
26-14
24-13
14-17
157.0Avg total
79.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.579.3157.8-0.736%
Season at home (6)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
Season away (5)80.089.2169.2-9.20%
Last 10 (10)79.078.0157.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)82.275.0157.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.087.2168.2-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.376.7155.0+1.747%
vs Weaker (7)84.773.4158.1+11.386%
This opponent (Argentino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153
Over 153
64.1%
Under 153
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158
Over 158
52.0%
Under 158
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
39.8%
Under 163
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Argentino total 76.5
Over 76.5
61.3%
Under 76.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Argentino total 80.5
Over 80.5
46.0%
Under 80.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Argentino total 84.5
Over 84.5
31.4%
Under 84.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lanus total 73
Over 73
74.5%
Under 73
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lanus total 77
Over 77
60.0%
Under 77
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lanus total 81
Over 81
44.1%
Under 81
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Argentino -3
ARGE -3
40.7%
LANU +3
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
ARGE
No market prices yet.
LANU
No market prices yet.
Spread Argentino 0
ARGE 0
49.8%
LANU 0
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
ARGE
No market prices yet.
LANU
No market prices yet.
Spread Argentino +3
ARGE +3
59.0%
LANU -3
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
ARGE
No market prices yet.
LANU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
ArgentinoLanus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArgentinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/11
Liga A
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.284.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.242.183.3-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)39.947.387.2-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)40.444.785.2-4.332%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Lanus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LanusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A20/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H11/11
Liga A
82.2Avg total
42.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.079.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.479.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.979.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.644.285.9-2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.238.777.9+0.553%-
vs Weaker (7)40.433.774.1+6.757%-
This opponent (Argentino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Argentinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Argentino: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.4
47.0%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.0
71.4%
72.7%17.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lanustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lanus: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.5%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.4
27.8%
32.6%25.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.9
69.2%
72.7%16.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Argentino
WLLLWLWWWW
Lanus
WLLWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#12
-1.2
Net rating
-4.5
108.5
Offensive rating
104.8
109.7
Defensive rating
109.3
49.4%
Effective FG%
45.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.2%
3-point %
27.8%
35.9%
Assist %
48.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 104.8Defence109.7 · 109.3Shooting49.4% · 45.8%3-point %35.2% · 27.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Argentino   ■ Lanus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Argentino wins
4
Lanus wins
DateGameScore
15/03/16Lanus v Argentino86-67
06/03/16Argentino v Lanus93-83
08/10/15Lanus v Argentino84-76
12/04/15Argentino v Lanus104-92
20/03/15Lanus v Argentino116-85
02/12/14Argentino v Lanus80-78
30/10/14Lanus v Argentino83-85
15/02/14Argentino v Lanus81-74
30/11/13Lanus v Argentino69-70
04/11/13Argentino v Lanus55-71
Argentinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRegatas79-69
06/11/26AObera TC84-98
04/11/26ALa Union57-75
24/10/26HQuimsa76-78
22/10/26HBoca Juniors84-82
12/10/26HGimnasia82-87
11/10/26HSan Martin82-79
01/10/26HFerro79-68
13/05/26HAtenas88-77
10/05/26HAtenas61-53
Lanuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLa Union93-57
07/11/26AQuimsa71-88
05/11/26AOlimpico94-95
30/10/26HSan Martin81-72
26/10/26HRegatas72-63
24/10/26AAtenas69-80
22/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba73-75
20/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva93-108
14/10/26HPenarol77-84
09/10/26HObera TC67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Argentino
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.980.370.5
Allowed / game79.577.286.5
Point differential-1.6+3.2-16.0
Avg total157.4157.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lanus
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game78.577.380.0
Allowed / game79.371.089.2
Point differential-0.7+6.3-9.2
Avg total157.8148.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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