PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Argentino vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· El Fortín de las Morochas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Argentino v San Lorenzo
16 Dec 2026
ARGE v SAN
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
ARGE80
SAN 70
10 May 2025
ARGE60
SAN 77
28 Apr 2024
ARGE88
SAN 81
22 Oct 2022
ARGE90
SAN 73
28 Jan 2022
ARGE98
SAN 78
07 Nov 2020
ARGE78
SAN 80
29 Jan 2020
ARGE71
SAN 97
24 Apr 2019
ARGE81
SAN 73
11 Apr 2018
ARGE76
SAN 92
16 Apr 2017
ARGE70
SAN 61
25 Sep 2016
ARGE57
SAN 83
16 Feb 2016
ARGE68
SAN 71
02 Oct 2015
ARGE70
SAN 90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Argentino win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArgentinoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArgentino
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
61-53
61
53
+8
51avg 65
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 65
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
79-68
79
68
+11
59avg 65
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
82-79
82
79
+3
70avg 65
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 65
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 65
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 65
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
57-75
57
75
-18
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
18-23
12-8
16-9
17-25
26-20
21-14
24-18
21-17
23-20
14-22
21-9
28-24
17-16
15-16
22-23
21-19
24-18
23-29
14-21
25-24
21-19
12-17
26-22
23-20
15-26
20-14
18-18
12-23
18-15
14-22
13-15
15-20
29-30
21-23
19-25
21-21
25-22
15-14
18-12
153.8Avg total
77.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
Season at home (6)80.377.2157.5+3.267%
Season away (2)70.586.5157.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)77.276.6153.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.985.9162.8-9.032%
vs Similar (4)74.877.5152.2-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.079.0161.0+3.0100%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 68
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 68
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
84avg 68
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
70avg 68
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
58-80
58
80
-22
47avg 68
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
42-75
42
75
-33
no box
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
55-81
55
81
-26
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
89-122
89
122
-33
no box
A15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
14-20
17-11
13-20
26-14
8-20
17-17
8-21
9-17
17-24
9-28
12-14
17-15
27-21
11-32
24-30
27-39
152.3Avg total
70.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.183.2153.4-13.125%
Season at home (6)69.577.2146.7-7.733%
Season away (2)72.0101.5173.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)70.182.2152.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)62.884.6147.4-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.782.4158.0-6.729%
vs Similar (8)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)70.080.0150.0-10.00%
This opponent (Argentino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
ArgentinoSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArgentinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/05
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H01/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H11/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A06/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/11
Liga A
82.9Avg total
41.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.284.9-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.242.183.3-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)39.947.387.2-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.582.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)40.444.785.2-4.332%-
vs Similar (4)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/11
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H08/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A13/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/11
Liga A
78.9Avg total
35.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.880.3-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.242.780.8-4.522%-
Last 30 away (12)36.443.079.4-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.443.578.9-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)31.243.474.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.243.580.7-6.319%-
vs Similar (8)38.240.478.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Argentino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Argentinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Argentino: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.4
47.0%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.0
71.4%
72.7%17.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Argentino
WLLLWLWWWW
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#17
-1.2
Net rating
-6.0
108.5
Offensive rating
110.0
109.7
Defensive rating
116.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.2%
3-point %
30.1%
35.9%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 110.0Defence109.7 · 116.0Shooting49.4% · 50.9%3-point %35.2% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Argentino   ■ San Lorenzo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Argentino wins
5
San Lorenzo wins
Argentinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRegatas79-69
06/11/26AObera TC84-98
04/11/26ALa Union57-75
24/10/26HQuimsa76-78
22/10/26HBoca Juniors84-82
12/10/26HGimnasia82-87
11/10/26HSan Martin82-79
01/10/26HFerro79-68
13/05/26HAtenas88-77
10/05/26HAtenas61-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva89-122
13/11/26AAtenas55-81
08/11/26HSan Martin42-75
07/11/26HRegatas70-65
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Argentino
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.980.370.5
Allowed / game79.577.286.5
Point differential-1.6+3.2-16.0
Avg total157.4157.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.169.572.0
Allowed / game83.277.2101.5
Point differential-13.1-7.7-29.5
Avg total153.4146.7173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.