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Arges Pitesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 89-80
Projected total 168.4
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game86.7
Arges Pitesti
Romania
Vs
79%
21%
■ ARGE 79%■ PETR 21%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Petrolul Ploiesti
Romania
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game91.4
RomaniaDivizia ARound 8· Trivale Pitesti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti
20 Nov 2026
ARGE v PETR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
ARGE79
PETR70
02 Nov 2024
ARGE77
PETR48
23 Sep 2023
ARGE78
PETR75
20 Nov 2022
ARGE62
PETR73
03 Oct 2022
ARGE96
PETR58
12 Apr 2022
ARGE80
PETR57
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 20 November 2026 the Divizia A clash between Arges Pitesti and Petrolul Ploiesti sees Arges Pitesti as the clear favourite, with the model rating them 79% to win, a reflection of their 2-4 record, 85.3 points scored and 86.7 allowed per game, and a league position of 8, compared with Petrolul's 2-5 record, 78.0 points scored and 91.4 allowed per game and a 13th place finish. Arges Pitesti's home form is stronger, going 2-1 at home with 83.0 points per game and 82.3 allowed, while their last five games were 1-4, including losses to Valcea 74-75 away, Voluntari 64-77 at home and SCM Timisoara 97-100 away. Petrolul's road record is 1-2, with 80.0 points per game and 89.3 allowed, and their last five were 2-3, highlighted by a win over Municipal Galati 86-81 at home and defeats to Corona Brasov 80-97 away and CSM Targu Mures 81-110 at home. Historically Arges Pitesti has dominated the rivalry, winning 9 of 10 meetings and most recently 85-83 on 29 March 2026. Pythia projects a 89-80 score, 168.4 total points, a 79% chance for Arges Pitesti to win, a 21% chance for Petrolul, and a 4% overtime probability. The home team's line is 89-80, with a 79% probability of covering. The game will likely end with Arges Pitesti securing a comfortable win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arges Pitesti win
79.3%fair 1.26
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Petrolul Ploiesti win
20.7%fair 4.82
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arges PitestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPitesti
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 78
H15/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
107-100
107
100
+7
105avg 78
H21/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
88avg 78
A24/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
109avg 78
H27/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
63avg 78
H03/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
88avg 78
A10/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 78
H17/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
83avg 78
A26/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
54avg 78
H31/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
A06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
17-26
22-19
21-16
27-23
31-30
26-26
23-21
23-20
29-24
23-24
18-32
37-24
21-32
25-25
22-25
27-23
17-13
28-22
18-28
24-25
19-31
30-22
19-20
20-28
26-22
23-22
26-12
17-26
25-23
23-15
21-22
10-17
23-26
19-19
12-15
14-22
21-16
21-14
18-23
180.4Avg total
89.5Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.386.7172.0-1.333%
Season at home (3)83.082.3165.3+0.767%
Season away (3)87.791.0178.7-3.30%
Last 10 (10)89.590.9180.4-1.430%
Last 5 (5)84.486.8171.2-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.685.5165.1-5.912%
vs Similar (18)87.188.7175.8-1.639%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.882.5174.2+9.275%
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul PloiestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPloiesti
Date
Competition
Valcea
#6
L
95-104
95
104
-9
89avg 78
H13/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
100-83
100
83
+17
106avg 78
A20/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
103-71
103
71
+32
97avg 78
H22/05
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
84-103
84
103
-19
77avg 78
A03/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
67-93
67
93
-26
56avg 78
H10/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 78
A17/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
L
72-88
72
88
-16
64avg 78
H24/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
81-110
81
110
-29
72avg 78
H31/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A07/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H14/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
29-25
22-22
27-26
28-16
24-26
25-19
23-22
24-18
25-17
26-16
28-20
22-26
15-26
20-27
27-24
21-13
20-27
8-28
18-25
27-24
21-10
13-19
15-15
21-18
22-17
12-27
17-26
18-27
18-21
18-35
27-27
23-26
23-20
16-34
18-17
24-13
22-26
16-23
24-19
174.2Avg total
84.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.091.4169.4-13.429%
Season at home (4)76.593.0169.5-16.525%
Season away (3)80.089.3169.3-9.333%
Last 10 (10)84.489.8174.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)79.088.8167.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)85.391.9177.2-6.529%
vs Similar (3)77.093.3170.3-16.333%
vs Weaker (3)87.077.7164.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
51.5%
Under 167.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
39.5%
Under 172.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 177.5
Over 177.5
28.5%
Under 177.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Arges Pitesti total 83
Over 83
72.6%
Under 83
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arges Pitesti total 87
Over 87
57.5%
Under 87
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arges Pitesti total 91
Over 91
41.0%
Under 91
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti total 81.5
Over 81.5
41.8%
Under 81.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti total 85.5
Over 85.5
27.8%
Under 85.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrolul Ploiesti total 89.5
Over 89.5
16.8%
Under 89.5
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Arges Pitesti -3
ARGE -3
72.9%
PETR +3
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
ARGE
No market prices yet.
PETR
No market prices yet.
Spread Arges Pitesti 0
ARGE 0
79.3%
PETR 0
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
ARGE
No market prices yet.
PETR
No market prices yet.
Spread Arges Pitesti +3
ARGE +3
85.3%
PETR -3
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
ARGE
No market prices yet.
PETR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Arges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arges PitestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H15/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H21/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A24/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H27/05
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/10
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H17/10
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A26/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H31/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/11
Divizia A
91.9Avg total
44.6Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.387.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.586.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)44.544.088.5+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)44.647.391.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.287.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.143.683.8-3.525%-
vs Similar (18)46.243.589.7+2.761%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.241.887.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul PloiestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valcea
#6
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H13/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H22/05
Divizia A
Voluntari
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A17/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H24/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H31/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/11
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H14/11
Divizia A
87.1Avg total
44.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.188.6-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.585.9-1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.748.791.3-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.787.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.846.689.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (3)42.044.786.7-2.767%-
vs Weaker (3)41.343.384.7-2.067%-
This opponent (Arges Pitesti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arges Pitestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arges Pitesti: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.025.1
59.8%
56.7%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.3
29.9%
32.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
75.1%15.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrolul Ploiestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrolul Ploiesti: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.125.4
55.1%
56.7%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.5
30.6%
32.6%16.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.6
75.1%
75.1%16.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arges Pitesti
LLLWLWLLWL
Petrolul Ploiesti
WLLLWLLWWL
#8
League position
#13
-5.0
Net rating
-4.4
99.9
Offensive rating
96.8
104.9
Defensive rating
101.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.9%
3-point %
30.6%
59.0%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 96.8Defence104.9 · 101.2Shooting54.3% · 52.5%3-point %29.9% · 30.6%Ball care14.2% · 15.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Arges Pitesti   ■ Petrolul Ploiesti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Arges Pitesti wins
1
Petrolul Ploiesti wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26Petrolul Ploiesti v Arges Pitesti83-85
06/12/25Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti79-70
08/03/25Petrolul Ploiesti v Arges Pitesti67-86
02/11/24Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti77-48
24/11/23Petrolul Ploiesti v Arges Pitesti82-90
23/09/23Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti78-75
15/01/23Petrolul Ploiesti v Arges Pitesti81-83
20/11/22Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti62-73
03/10/22Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti96-58
12/04/22Arges Pitesti v Petrolul Ploiesti80-57
Arges Pitestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AValcea74-75
31/10/26HVoluntari64-77
26/10/26ASCM Timisoara97-100 OT
17/10/26HSCM Craiova95-84
10/10/26ACSM Oradea92-98
03/10/26HCSU Sibiu90-86
27/05/26HCSU Sibiu105-106
24/05/26ACSU Sibiu93-100
21/05/26HCSU Sibiu107-100
15/05/26HRapid Bucuresti78-83
Petrolul Ploiestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMunicipal Galati86-81
07/11/26ACorona Brasov80-97
31/10/26HCSM Targu Mures81-110
24/10/26HRapid Bucuresti72-88
17/10/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti76-68
10/10/26HValcea67-93
03/10/26AVoluntari84-103
22/05/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti103-71
20/05/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti100-83
13/05/26HValcea95-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arges Pitesti
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game85.383.087.7
Allowed / game86.782.391.0
Point differential-1.3+0.7-3.3
Avg total172.0165.3178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Petrolul Ploiesti
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game78.076.580.0
Allowed / game91.493.089.3
Point differential-13.4-16.5-9.3
Avg total169.4169.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
10 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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