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Aris vs Donetsk Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 66-77
18-24 16-17 11-21 21-15
Position#23
Record5-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Donetsk 🏆
Position#3
Record9-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game73.6
EuropeEurocup
European cup2011
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donetsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#1
L
48-73
48
73
-25
H17/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A21/01
Basket League
Donetsk
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A24/01
Eurocup
Panionios
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H28/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H31/01
Eurocup
Kao Drama
#9
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H04/02
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
52-79
52
79
-27
A07/02
Eurocup
Ikaros
#10
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A11/02
Basket League
Khimki M.
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A21/02
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A25/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-16
26-15
10-22
8-20
21-13
17-22
16-19
10-16
11-24
23-16
19-20
17-21
16-9
18-15
10-27
19-18
22-14
13-20
21-14
21-12
12-19
25-11
17-24
23-16
9-23
9-16
22-16
12-24
9-16
16-16
15-17
14-20
22-22
16-26
16-22
18-18
20-22
19-22
13-16
14-25
138.7Avg total
64.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.270.7138.9-2.545%
Season at home (5)71.068.2139.2+2.860%
Season away (6)65.872.8138.7-7.033%
Last 10 (10)64.374.4138.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)64.278.2142.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)65.675.9141.5-10.39%
vs Similar (8)72.173.2145.4-1.138%
vs Weaker (10)75.269.6144.8+5.670%
This opponent (Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DonetskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A17/01
Eurocup
Budivelnyk
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A21/01
FBU Superleague
Aris
#23
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H24/01
Eurocup
Odessa
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H27/01
FBU Superleague
Khimki M.
#1
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A31/01
Eurocup
Ferro-ZNTU
#4
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H02/02
FBU Superleague
Dnipro-Azot
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/02
FBU Superleague
Khimki M.
#1
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H07/02
Eurocup
BC Kiev
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H14/02
FBU Superleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H21/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-21
22-16
21-18
18-20
17-18
19-20
12-15
24-11
16-23
20-19
21-17
23-18
19-27
23-17
20-21
11-17
21-19
12-18
11-14
25-9
17-31
21-25
18-26
18-29
18-18
18-24
19-21
19-18
24-17
16-17
26-15
33-30
17-27
23-17
17-4
16-21
16-19
26-23
35-24
157.9Avg total
79.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.573.6152.1+4.882%
Season at home (6)86.274.2160.3+12.0100%
Season away (5)69.273.0142.2-3.860%
Last 10 (10)79.578.4157.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)84.483.0167.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.067.5137.5+2.550%
vs Similar (5)79.276.6155.8+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)81.273.2154.4+8.083%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
ArisDonetsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
Basket League
Donetsk
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A24/01
Eurocup
Panionios
#5
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H28/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H31/01
Eurocup
Kao Drama
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/02
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A07/02
Eurocup
Ikaros
#10
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A11/02
Basket League
Khimki M.
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/02
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/02
Basket League
68.5Avg total
32.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.570.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.735.271.9+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)32.435.768.1-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.768.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.670.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.938.571.4-5.518%-
vs Similar (8)36.134.070.1+2.162%-
vs Weaker (10)36.032.768.7+3.360%-
This opponent (Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DonetskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/01
Eurocup
Budivelnyk
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A21/01
FBU Superleague
Aris
#23
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H24/01
Eurocup
Odessa
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H27/01
FBU Superleague
Khimki M.
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A31/01
Eurocup
Ferro-ZNTU
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/02
FBU Superleague
Dnipro-Azot
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/02
FBU Superleague
Khimki M.
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/02
Eurocup
BC Kiev
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H14/02
FBU Superleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
Eurocup
80.8Avg total
39.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.778.6+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.881.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.776.0+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.380.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.535.573.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (5)37.435.673.0+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.938.480.3+3.565%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
1
Donetsk wins
DateGameScore
24/01/12Donetsk v Aris81-70
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/12AOlympiacos66-85
21/02/12AKhimki M.72-88
11/02/12AIkaros54-69
07/02/12ALyon-Villeurbanne52-79
04/02/12HKao Drama77-70
31/01/12HLyon-Villeurbanne77-60
28/01/12HPanionios63-69
24/01/12ADonetsk70-81
21/01/12AKolossos Rhodes64-70
17/01/12HKhimki M.48-73
Donetsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/12HLyon-Villeurbanne93-87
14/02/12HBC Kiev90-78
07/02/12HKhimki M.85-67
03/02/12HDnipro-Azot73-92
02/02/12HFerro-ZNTU81-91
31/01/12AKhimki M.55-68
27/01/12HOdessa85-83
24/01/12HAris81-70
21/01/12ABudivelnyk66-73
17/01/12ALyon-Villeurbanne86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2011
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game68.271.065.8
Allowed / game70.768.272.8
Point differential-2.5+2.8-7.0
Avg total138.9139.2138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%20%0%
Donetsk
Eurocup 2011
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game78.586.269.2
Allowed / game73.674.273.0
Point differential+4.8+12.0-3.8
Avg total152.1160.3142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak St. Petersburg1413193%74.964.9+9.9
2 Khimki M.1110191%78.467.1+11.3
3 Valencia1210283%79.269.5+9.7
4 Rytas119282%78.767.2+11.5
5 Donetsk119282%78.573.6+4.8
6 Gran Canaria86275%71.165.8+5.4
7 Nymburk128467%81.872.1+9.8
8 Lokomotiv Kuban117464%74.971.0+3.9
9 Banvit127558%70.968.8+2.2
10 Alba Berlin116555%77.174.2+2.9
11 Treviso116555%77.477.0+0.4
12 Skycop63350%81.280.8+0.3
13 Buducnost126650%67.868.6-0.8
14 Oostende84450%71.672.9-1.2
15 Besiktas21150%70.572.0-1.5
16 Academic84450%69.672.0-2.4
17 VEF Riga126650%72.375.0-2.7
18 Chalon/Saone21150%73.578.5-5.0
19 Ventspils21150%70.076.5-6.5
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne115645%76.474.5+1.8
21 Aris115645%68.270.7-2.5
22 Gravelines-Dunkerque125742%73.974.6-0.7
23 KK Krka Novo mesto125742%68.771.2-2.6
24 Belfius Mons83538%73.675.5-1.9
25 Le Mans83538%69.076.9-7.9
26 Hapoel M. Jerusalem62433%77.282.2-5.0
27 Bayern62433%67.372.7-5.3
28 Turow Zgorzelec62433%74.380.5-6.2
29 Cholet62433%64.871.3-6.5
30 Azovmash Mariupol82625%69.674.1-4.5
31 Cedevita82625%71.275.8-4.5
32 PAOK61517%69.575.3-5.8
33 Karsiyaka2020%75.580.0-4.5
34 Olomoucko2020%71.078.5-7.5
35 ETHA Engomi2020%61.571.5-10.0
36 Frankfurt6060%60.371.5-11.2
37 Cibona6060%76.088.8-12.8
38 Norrkoping2020%64.579.0-14.5
39 Artland2020%60.576.5-16.0
40 Donar Groningen6060%65.283.5-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1816112166
Donetsk2417211577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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