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Cholet

France BCL 2-2 · 2/5 Group 5 LNB 3-5 · 10/16
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WWWLLLLWLL
Points / game
81.0
allowed 86.0
Over 172.5
22%
game total, 9 games
Game total
167.0
both teams per game
Win rate
44%
4-5
Margin / game
-5.0
points
1st half
40.7
points scored / game
Overtime
11%
games to overtime
Sections
Cholet

Cholet 2026-27 season sees the squad finish 5-7 across all contests, with a 2-2 record in the Basketball Champions League that places them second in a five-team table, and a 3-5 mark in the LNB Elite, sitting tenth of sixteen. Their form over the last five games is 1-4, highlighted by a narrow 73-75 loss to Spartak Subotica away, a 71-97 home defeat to Dijon, and a 94-90 home win over Paris. In the LNB Elite power rating, their net rating of -0.0 places them ninth out of sixteen teams, a drop from seventh a few games ago. Home games yield a 3-4 record with 80.1 points for and 83.4 against, while away play is 2-3 with 81.6 for and 80.8 against. M. Diarra leads in points at 10.9 and rebounds at 7.7, while Jarrod West tops assists at 5.2. The next fixture is a home clash with Boulazac on 21 November 2026, where the Pythia model projects a 68% win probability.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Cholet stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the LNB Elite (this season) Cholet score 81.0 points a game and allow 86.0 across 9 games – 22% of their games go over 172.5 and they clear 86.5 team points in 11%. They win 44% (40% at home, 50% away), by -5.0 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

CholetLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 79
A26/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
77-65
77
65
+12
77avg 79
H28/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
70avg 79
A30/05
LNB
Paris
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 79
A02/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
66avg 79
A04/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
82avg 79
H07/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
91avg 79
H09/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
78avg 79
H27/09
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 79
A03/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 79
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 79
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 79
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 79
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 79
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 79
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
12-25
19-11
18-22
13-17
25-16
15-16
24-16
12-17
19-18
16-15
19-16
26-29
25-20
18-20
21-20
30-20
20-25
18-32
9-23
23-32
18-22
20-22
25-19
25-25
25-26
24-24
17-19
24-27
21-31
23-21
17-18
26-21
23-19
19-14
17-22
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
21-12
14-20
31-20
15-23
163.7Avg total
80.9Scored
82.8Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
21.6
21.1
+0.4
won 44%
Q2
19.1
21.4
-2.3
won 33%
Q3
20.9
23.6
-2.7
won 33%
Q4
17.8
18.7
-0.9
won 33%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 56% of 9 games, the 2nd half in 33%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=5AWAY n=4
82.4
Points / game
79.2
89.8
Allowed / game
81.2
172.2
Game total
160.5
40%
Over 172.5
0%
40%
Win %
50%
-7.4
Margin
-2.0
43.0
1st half scored
37.8
60%
Won the 1st half
50%
0%
Won by 10+
0%
Points scored per game
8%17%25%33%11%65-6911%70-7411%75-7922%80-8433%85-8911%90-94
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
8%17%25%33%33%75-790%80-8433%85-8911%90-9422%95-99
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 86.4 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)84.482.387.483.081.481.653%
vs Stronger (15)81.988.185.289.877.085.733%
vs Similar (10)84.478.587.074.083.380.460%
vs Weaker (5)91.872.494.371.788.073.5100%
Over 172.5 (game total)43% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
9thof 1644%
Attack: points scored per game
13thof 1681.0
Defence: points allowed per game
8thof 1686.0
Game total: both teams' points per game
11thof 16167.0
Ranked against the 16 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
14thof 1642.0%
2-point accuracy
10thof 1654.3%
3-point accuracy
15thof 1628.0%
Free-throw accuracy
1stof 1679.7%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
1 Dijon52.6%
2 Le Mans52.5%
4 Paris48.3%
5 Limoges48.1%
6 JL Bourg47.5%
7 Boulazac46.6%
8 Nanterre46.5%
12 Nancy45.1%
14 Cholet42.0%
15 Roanne40.7%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
1 Le Mans63.1%
2 Paris61.0%
4 Dijon60.2%
5 Limoges59.7%
7 Boulazac57.6%
8 JL Bourg57.1%
10 Cholet54.3%
12 Nanterre52.5%
13 Nancy51.2%
16 Roanne46.7%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
1 Le Mans40.4%
3 Dijon39.0%
4 Nanterre36.2%
5 Nancy36.2%
6 Boulazac35.7%
7 Paris35.4%
9 Roanne33.8%
10 JL Bourg33.1%
14 Limoges31.3%
15 Cholet28.0%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
1 Cholet79.7%
3 Limoges78.1%
4 Roanne77.1%
8 Dijon75.2%
9 Nancy74.8%
10 Paris74.8%
12 Nanterre73.2%
14 Le Mans69.5%
15 JL Bourg69.4%
16 Boulazac64.9%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
42.0%-4.4pp v the LNB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the LNB average
#14 of 16 in LNB
✋ 2-pointers
54.3%-1.2pp v the LNB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the LNB average
#10 of 16 in LNB
🌟 3-pointers
28.0%-6.4pp v the LNB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the LNB average
#15 of 16 in LNB
🏹 Free throws
79.7%+5.3pp v the LNB average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the LNB average
#1 of 16 in LNB

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CholetLeague average
94.6
Offensive rating
97.3
91.5
Defensive rating
97.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.9%
3-point %
34.3%
41.9%
3-point attempt rate
42.9%
67.9%
Assist %
65.0%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 97.3Defence91.5 · 97.3Shooting51.5% · 53.8%3-point %32.9% · 34.3%Ball care16.7% · 16.1%Free throws0.43 · 0.36
■ Cholet   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 172.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Paris87188%97.286.4+8762%4-03-175%WWWLW
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+8043%2-14-0-WWWLW
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+7571%2-14-050%WWWWW
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+4771%3-03-175%WWWLW
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+4957%4-01-2100%WLWWW
6 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-4644%3-12-3100%LWWLW
7 Chalon/Saone74357%93.185.1+5650%3-01-30%WWWLL
8 Roanne74357%80.780.4+225%2-12-250%LLLWW
9 Boulazac73443%81.083.7-1912%2-21-20%WLLWW
10 Cholet83538%81.087.4-5122%2-31-2100%LLLWL
11 Limoges72529%86.489.0-1843%1-21-333%LLLLW
12 JL Bourg72529%88.692.4-2750%2-10-40%LLWLL
13 Nancy72529%79.383.9-3229%1-31-20%LWLWL
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-5450%2-20-450%WWLLL
15 Saint Quentin82625%87.494.8-5956%2-30-367%LLLWL
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-9043%0-40-30%LLLLL
Playoffs Play-in Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 172.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
CholetLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H28/05
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
A30/05
LNB
Paris
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A02/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A04/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H07/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H09/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H27/09
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A03/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
99-79
99
79
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
12-25
19-11
18-22
13-17
25-16
15-16
24-16
12-17
19-18
16-15
19-16
26-29
25-20
18-20
21-20
30-20
20-25
18-32
9-23
23-32
18-22
20-22
25-19
25-25
25-26
24-24
17-19
24-27
21-31
23-21
17-18
26-21
23-19
19-14
17-22
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
21-12
14-20
31-20
15-23
163.7Avg total
80.9Scored
82.8Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 172.5
Last 30 (30)84.482.3166.7+2.153%43%
Last 30 at home (15)87.483.0170.4+4.453%53%
Last 30 away (15)81.481.6163.0-0.253%33%
Last 10 (10)78.181.1159.2-3.040%10%
Last 5 (5)80.285.0165.2-4.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%53%
vs Similar (10)84.478.5162.9+5.960%30%
vs Weaker (5)91.872.4164.2+19.4100%40%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 172.5 = the league line
Over 172.543%
n=30
Under 172.557%
n=30
Won the game53%
n=30
Lost the game47%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, LNB games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 172.5)Team points (line 86.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (9)167.0172.2160.581.082.479.2-5.0-7.4-2.0
vs Stronger (5)170.4174.2155.079.281.869.0-12.0-10.8-17.0
vs Similar (4)162.8164.0162.383.285.082.7+3.8+6.0+3.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line / win22%40%0%11%20%0%44%40%50%
% under line / loss78%60%100%89%80%100%56%60%50%
Scoring dials
Points / game81.0
League avg 86.4 · below by 5.4
Allowed / game86.0
League avg 86.4 · below by 0.4
1st half scored40.7
League avg 43.0 · below by 2.4
3-pointers made8.2
League avg 9.3 · below by 1.2
Free throws made19.7
League avg 17.2 · above by 2.5
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 81.5 pts56%
n=9
Under 81.5 pts44%
n=9
Over 86.5 pts11%
n=9
Under 86.5 pts89%
n=9
Over 91.5 pts11%
n=9
Under 91.5 pts89%
n=9
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 162.567%
n=9
Under 162.533%
n=9
Over 172.522%
n=9
Under 172.578%
n=9
Over 182.511%
n=9
Under 182.589%
n=9
Result markets
Win44%
n=9
Win by 6+ (-5.5)33%
n=9
Cover +5.544%
n=9
Win by 10+0%
n=9
Win the 1st half56%
n=9
Overtime11%
n=9
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game allowed
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.1
53.9%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.417.9
73.4%
74.2%17.9
Their opponents take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
M. DiarraLNB BCL9922.910.97.71.242.5%35.0%
N. LockeLNB BCL9321.49.71.60.938.6%37.2%
A. Towo-NansiLNB BCL9321.310.91.34.137.8%33.3%
M. CazalonLNB BCL9621.18.93.02.235.4%11.9%
Digue DiawaraLNB BCL9320.78.73.20.742.6%50.0%
L. KiddLNB BCL9619.910.84.21.267.8%-
T. SnellLNB BCL8619.54.82.01.148.1%45.5%
S. RaharimanantoaninaLNB BCL9015.34.63.10.838.9%23.1%
Jarrod WestLNB BCL6620.75.31.05.231.0%23.1%
A. FallLNB BCL8010.95.11.51.538.5%25.0%
Jonathan WilliamsLNB BCL4017.23.04.21.545.5%0.0%
Miralem HalilovicLNB BCL3321.08.04.01.756.2%-
Jequan LewisLNB1015.03.03.03.025.0%-
N. Lobry-PathoutBCL101.40.00.00.0--
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.9
11 rated players
L. Kidd10.8 pts7.7
M. Diarra10.9 pts7.0
A. Towo-Nansi10.9 pts6.8
M. Cazalon8.9 pts6.6
Digue Diawara8.7 pts6.1
Jarrod West5.3 pts5.0
A. Fall5.1 pts4.4
T. Snell4.8 pts2.6
N. Locke9.7 pts2.4
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
70%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
32-14favourite won / lost
Across 46 games of Cholet, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 70% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Cholet
v
Boulazac
Sat 21 Nov, 17:30 UTC
Pythia: Cholet 68%
home 68%away 32%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Cholet v Boulazac Sat 21 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=37
2023-24
n=37
2024-25
n=32
2025-26
n=37
2026-27
n=9
Trend
Points scored / game81.779.384.786.581.0
Points allowed / game82.779.982.284.086.0
Game total164.4159.2166.9170.4167.0
Over 162.559%41%62%76%67%
Over 172.530%19%38%57%22%
Over 182.511%8%12%24%11%
Team points over 86.524%30%44%57%11%
Win %51%49%66%59%44%
Home win %72%44%69%67%40%
Away win %32%53%62%53%50%
Margin / game-1.1-0.6+2.5+2.5-5.0
Won by 10+19%14%41%24%0%
Close games won (5 or fewer)62%60%67%58%100%
Overtime %0%8%0%8%11%
1st half total82.280.582.586.783.2
Won the 1st half46%41%59%49%56%
3-point attempt rate41%44%40%41%47%
Effective FG%53%52%54%52%49%
Pace73.072.175.178.3-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovSaint Quentin v Cholet LNB75-81W
10 NovSpartak Subotica v Cholet Champions League75-73L
07 NovCholet v Dijon LNB71-97L
03 NovCholet v Paris LNB94-90 OTW
31 OctStrasbourg v Cholet LNB88-82L
28 OctCholet v Spartak Subotica Champions League65-69L
24 OctNanterre v Cholet LNB86-69L
17 OctCholet v Chalon/Saone LNB77-86L
14 OctCholet v Vechta Champions League84-66W
10 OctCholet v Pau-Orthez LNB85-79W
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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