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Arizona State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 46-65
13-36 33-29
Position#267
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#86
Record8-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H11/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
49-77
49
77
-28
H24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H30/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H03/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A10/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
18-39
38-32
28-20
35-32
22-31
49-38
17-32
32-45
44-29
38-38
38-25
40-36
36-28
36-33
36-40
40-34
36-28
48-61
30-26
29-53
139.0Avg total
69.0Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.070.0139.0-1.060%
Season at home (7)70.165.9136.0+4.386%
Season away (3)66.379.7146.0-13.30%
Last 10 (10)69.070.0139.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)73.872.8146.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.271.9138.2-5.750%
vs Similar (13)73.771.7145.4+2.046%
vs Weaker (5)68.262.8131.0+5.480%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#209
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H14/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
36-22
35-25
36-41
35-28
28-31
33-26
39-35
29-27
28-39
41-42
48-25
32-40
44-36
43-33
–
38-37
35-38
25-25
31-21
138.4Avg total
73.6Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.664.8138.4+8.880%
Season at home (8)77.967.0144.9+10.988%
Season away (2)56.556.0112.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)73.664.8138.4+8.880%
Last 5 (5)80.267.0147.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.071.3144.3+1.767%
vs Similar (18)66.567.5134.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.061.3136.3+13.789%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: +4.1+4.1
Arizona StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#130
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A09/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H11/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H17/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H30/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A10/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A17/12
NCAA
60.3Avg total
30.5Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.764.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.630.062.6+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)32.533.565.9-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)30.529.860.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.229.464.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.532.262.8-1.850%-
vs Similar (13)35.330.866.1+4.554%-
vs Weaker (5)30.233.063.2-2.840%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#209
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H18/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/12
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A16/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.7Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.063.8+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.330.264.4+4.167%-
Last 30 away (12)33.029.862.8+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)34.732.266.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.471.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.037.366.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (18)32.627.860.4+4.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.732.069.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arizona State wins
0
Northwestern wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ATCU59-79
10/12/23ASan Diego Toreros84-89
07/12/23HSMU Mustangs76-74
03/12/23HSan Francisco72-61
30/11/23HSam Houston St.78-61
25/11/23HVanderbilt82-67
24/11/23HBrigham Young49-77
17/11/23HUMass Lowell71-69
11/11/23HTexas Southern63-52
09/11/23AMississippi St.56-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ADePaul56-46
14/12/23HChicago State73-75
10/12/23HDetroit91-59
02/12/23HPurdue92-88 OT
28/11/23HNorthern Illinois89-67
19/11/23AMississippi St.57-66
18/11/23HRhode Island72-61
15/11/23HWestern Michigan63-59
11/11/23HDayton71-66
07/11/23HBinghamton72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%86%0%
Points / game69.070.166.3
Allowed / game70.065.979.7
Point differential-1.0+4.3-13.3
Avg total139.0136.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%88%50%
Points / game73.677.956.5
Allowed / game64.867.056.0
Point differential+8.8+10.9+0.5
Avg total138.4144.9112.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %10%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston11110100%75.851.2+24.6
2 Brigham Young1110191%89.161.2+27.9
3 Kansas1110191%79.565.6+13.8
4 Arizona98189%92.967.0+25.9
5 TCU98189%87.466.2+21.2
6 Iowa State119282%86.959.1+27.8
7 Cincinnati119282%82.565.7+16.8
8 Baylor119282%86.770.4+16.4
9 Colorado108280%85.068.8+16.2
10 Texas Tech108280%75.665.5+10.1
11 Utah Utes108280%80.271.0+9.2
12 Kansas State118373%77.771.5+6.2
13 UCF Knights107370%77.666.0+11.6
14 Arizona State106460%69.070.0-1.0
15 Oklahoma State116555%74.766.8+7.9
16 West Virginia114736%65.667.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1110191%86.270.5+15.7
2 Nebraska1210283%76.565.8+10.8
3 Ohio State119282%79.566.6+12.9
4 Illinois108280%79.464.2+15.2
5 Northwestern108280%73.664.8+8.8
6 Minnesota118373%80.567.0+13.5
7 Wisconsin118373%73.666.0+7.6
8 Indiana118373%73.572.8+0.7
9 Washington107370%84.075.3+8.7
10 Rutgers107370%69.160.9+8.2
11 Oregon107370%78.571.0+7.5
12 Maryland117464%73.464.6+8.7
13 Iowa127558%86.677.7+8.9
14 Michigan State116555%74.464.5+9.9
15 USC116555%78.573.1+5.5
16 UCLA105550%68.561.3+7.2
17 Michigan126650%83.878.4+5.3
18 Penn State115645%76.872.4+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State133346
Northwestern362965
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