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Arizona State vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 76-74
36-40 40-34
Position#267
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Position#99
Record6-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#16
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A11/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H16/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A18/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H11/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H17/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
49-77
49
77
-28
H24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H30/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
31-43
53-26
45-47
44-37
26-35
18-39
38-32
28-20
35-32
22-31
49-38
17-32
32-45
44-29
38-38
38-25
40-36
36-28
36-33
137.9Avg total
69.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.365.4132.7+1.971%
Season at home (6)69.264.5133.7+4.783%
Season away (1)56.071.0127.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)69.868.1137.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)70.467.0137.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)65.570.8136.3-5.445%
vs Similar (13)73.270.3143.5+2.854%
vs Weaker (6)69.063.2132.2+5.883%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A09/03
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H09/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A21/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H30/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
34-48
43-39
39-24
48-22
42-31
31-19
47-48
32-39
34-40
25-36
45-22
32-24
29-45
23-30
47-27
37-35
26-30
46-16
44-31
137.4Avg total
74.0Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.462.0136.4+12.467%
Season at home (7)77.061.6138.6+15.471%
Season away (2)65.563.5129.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.063.4137.4+10.660%
Last 5 (5)70.859.2130.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.679.2147.8-10.618%
vs Similar (5)72.069.6141.6+2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.962.5142.4+17.488%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +4.1+4.1
Arizona StateSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H16/03
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A09/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H11/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H17/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H30/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#49
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/12
NCAA
63.0Avg total
32.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.264.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.430.462.8+2.059%-
Last 30 away (13)32.434.566.8-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.263.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.060.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.833.363.1-3.545%-
vs Similar (13)35.831.467.2+4.454%-
vs Weaker (6)29.831.861.7-2.050%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A09/03
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H30/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H03/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
35.3Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.567.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.631.867.4+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.635.567.1-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)35.328.864.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)32.628.260.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.836.168.9-3.247%-
vs Similar (5)33.429.262.6+4.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.030.866.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arizona State wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22SMU Mustangs v Arizona State57-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HSan Francisco72-61
30/11/23HSam Houston St.78-61
25/11/23HVanderbilt82-67
24/11/23HBrigham Young49-77
17/11/23HUMass Lowell71-69
11/11/23HTexas Southern63-52
09/11/23AMississippi St.56-71
18/03/23ATCU70-72
16/03/23HNevada98-73
11/03/23AArizona59-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HTX A&M Commerce90-47
30/11/23HDayton63-65
26/11/23HLouisiana Monroe70-57
23/11/23AWisconsin61-69
21/11/23AWest Virginia70-58
15/11/23HTexas A&M66-79
10/11/23HLamar78-67
09/11/23HWestern Illinois90-53
07/11/23HSAGU82-63
09/03/23AUCF Knights70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%83%0%
Points / game67.369.256.0
Allowed / game65.464.571.0
Point differential+1.9+4.7-15.0
Avg total132.7133.7127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game74.477.065.5
Allowed / game62.061.663.5
Point differential+12.4+15.4+2.0
Avg total136.4138.6129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brigham Young880100%91.959.0+32.9
2 Arizona770100%93.462.6+30.9
3 Houston990100%75.049.1+25.9
4 TCU770100%91.766.1+25.6
5 Baylor990100%91.167.6+23.6
6 Cincinnati770100%87.365.0+22.3
7 Kansas98189%80.765.2+15.4
8 Kansas State97278%81.673.9+7.7
9 Iowa State86275%82.958.9+24.0
10 Colorado86275%83.869.6+14.1
11 UCF Knights86275%79.267.4+11.9
12 Utah Utes86275%81.672.4+9.2
13 Texas Tech86275%74.865.6+9.1
14 Arizona State75271%67.365.4+1.9
15 Oklahoma State83538%74.168.5+5.6
16 West Virginia83538%64.066.5-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson880100%79.268.5+10.8
2 Virginia98189%68.053.2+14.8
3 Miami (FL)97278%82.369.8+12.6
4 North Carolina97278%85.173.7+11.4
5 NC State86275%80.270.0+10.2
6 Pittsburgh96367%82.665.8+16.8
7 SMU Mustangs96367%74.462.0+12.4
8 Virginia Tech96367%74.468.6+5.9
9 Syracuse96367%76.971.1+5.8
10 Boston College96367%76.370.8+5.6
11 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
12 Wake Forest85362%78.570.8+7.8
13 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
14 Georgia Tech74357%71.173.3-2.1
15 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
16 Louisville84450%75.474.6+0.8
17 Notre Dame84450%64.966.0-1.1
18 California83538%74.672.9+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State364076
SMU Mustangs403474
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