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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 69-70
39-35 30-35
Position#280
Record12-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#372
Record2-27
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game84.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas-Pine Bluff v Miss. Valley St.
30 Jan 2027
ARKA v MISS
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
ARKA69
MISS70
01 Feb 2025
ARKA76
MISS79
02 Mar 2024
ARKA78
MISS69
28 Jan 2023
ARKA88
MISS72
26 Feb 2022
ARKA93
MISS79
02 Jan 2021
ARKA92
MISS52
07 Mar 2020
ARKA71
MISS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas-Pine Bluff winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas-Pine BluffUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H09/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A14/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H20/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
32-37
31-31
44-43
30-24
48-46
32-30
35-34
49-34
35-43
41-31
43-32
33-34
28-45
31-33
39-49
36-40
28-43
45-40
39-42
151.0Avg total
74.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.282.5159.7-5.343%
Season at home (10)90.276.2166.4+14.070%
Season away (18)69.986.0155.9-16.128%
Last 10 (10)74.976.1151.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)72.677.8150.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.188.5158.5-18.420%
vs Similar (10)74.477.7152.1-3.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)99.669.4169.0+30.2100%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H07/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
55-92
55
92
-37
A17/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
17-35
31-27
32-41
37-39
24-30
46-48
38-45
43-52
25-36
41-38
31-29
34-43
25-42
30-50
34-40
28-32
36-34
36-37
36-38
26-45
143.1Avg total
65.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)64.084.2148.2-20.17%
Season at home (11)67.576.5144.1-9.018%
Season away (18)61.988.8150.7-26.90%
Last 10 (10)65.078.1143.1-13.110%
Last 5 (5)63.278.0141.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)62.884.3147.2-21.53%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -7.2-7.22nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -5.9-5.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -7.2-7.22nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -5.9-5.9
Arkansas-Pine BluffMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas-Pine BluffLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.171.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.535.375.8+5.267%-
Last 30 away (18)31.636.668.2-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.969.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.638.770.3-7.127%-
vs Similar (10)34.634.268.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.832.078.8+14.8100%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#198
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
29.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.140.069.1-11.017%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.235.967.2-4.725%-
Last 30 away (18)27.642.870.4-15.211%-
Last 10 (10)29.837.066.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.669.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.740.569.2-11.814%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HPrairie View A&M84-82
20/02/26HTexas Southern64-83
17/02/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs70-82
14/02/26AAlabama State61-79
09/02/26HJackson State84-63
07/02/26HAlcorn State84-77
05/02/26AGrambling St.67-64
31/01/26AMiss. Valley St.78-70
24/01/26ASouthern Univ.75-74
19/01/26HBethune-Cookman82-87 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26AGrambling St.62-83
21/02/26HTexas Southern72-71
20/02/26HPrairie View A&M62-72
17/02/26AAlabama State55-92
14/02/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs65-72
10/02/26HAlcorn State66-74
07/02/26HJackson State81-97
31/01/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff70-78
28/01/26ASouthern Univ.69-80
20/01/26HFlorida A&M48-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas-Pine Bluff
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWWWLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281018
Win %43%70%28%
Points / game77.290.269.9
Allowed / game82.576.286.0
Point differential-5.3+14.0-16.1
Avg total159.7166.4155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL7%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291118
Win %7%18%0%
Points / game64.067.561.9
Allowed / game84.276.588.8
Point differential-20.1-9.0-26.9
Avg total148.2144.1150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman30171357%75.677.0-1.4
2 Alabama A&M Bulldogs29161355%71.672.2-0.6
3 Southern Univ.29131645%80.278.6+1.6
4 Florida A&M27121544%69.275.0-5.8
5 Prairie View A&M30131743%80.378.6+1.7
6 Texas Southern28121643%75.678.0-2.4
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff28121643%77.282.5-5.3
8 Grambling St.29121741%70.770.8-0.1
9 Alabama State29101934%74.177.9-3.8
10 Jackson State2992031%69.885.3-15.5
11 Alcorn State2872125%67.681.8-14.1
12 Miss. Valley St.292277%64.084.2-20.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas-Pine Bluff393069
Miss. Valley St.353570
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