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Arkansas vs Winthrop Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-83
43-41 41-42
Position#36
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#62
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Winthrop winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H08/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A22/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A28/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H04/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A09/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
93-56
93
56
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-44
48-48
47-30
25-38
34-42
46-41
47-44
32-28
35-32
40-34
38-31
34-41
57-32
52-45
39-36
27-33
43-34
50-22
45-35
34-40
157.2Avg total
82.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.869.2156.0+17.575%
Season at home (3)93.769.3163.0+24.3100%
Season away (1)66.069.0135.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)82.974.3157.2+8.670%
Last 5 (5)86.072.4158.4+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.477.2148.6-5.925%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.873.2150.9+4.662%
vs Weaker (9)80.768.2148.9+12.478%
This opponent (Winthrop) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WinthropUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#253
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A28/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H08/03
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A08/03
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A03/11
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A12/11
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
105-69
105
69
+36
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-37
35-40
45-24
40-35
51-44
52-46
45-24
43-55
46-30
40-37
39-29
30-52
40-35
41-39
47-43
43-53
30-37
36-35
50-39
55-30
161.8Avg total
85.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.577.8163.2+7.850%
Season at home (1)105.069.0174.0+36.0100%
Season away (3)79.080.7159.7-1.733%
Last 10 (10)85.476.4161.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)82.278.4160.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.784.3150.0-18.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.577.8164.3+8.775%
vs Weaker (14)87.981.4169.2+6.571%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -0.7-0.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +9.7+9.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -0.7-0.7
ArkansasWinthrop
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H08/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A20/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H04/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
NCAA
79.0Avg total
43.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.973.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.935.575.4+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)35.336.371.7-1.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.079.0+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)44.433.678.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.838.271.0-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.836.574.4+1.362%-
vs Weaker (9)41.732.974.6+8.878%-
This opponent (Winthrop) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WinthropLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#253
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A28/02
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A08/03
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/11
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/11
NCAA
78.1Avg total
43.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.576.7+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.278.6+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)37.637.675.1+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.278.1+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.677.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.739.771.3-8.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.434.877.2+7.675%-
vs Weaker (14)39.637.376.9+2.471%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
0
Winthrop wins
No previous meetings.
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HSamford79-75
12/11/25HCentral Arkansas93-56
09/11/25AMichigan State66-69
04/11/25HSouthern Univ.109-77
28/03/25ATexas Tech83-85 OT
22/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)75-66
20/03/25AKansas79-72
13/03/25AOle Miss80-83
12/03/25HSouth Carolina72-68
08/03/25HMississippi St.93-92
Winthroplast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HMercer105-69
12/11/25ACoastal Carolina66-72
08/11/25AGeorge Mason90-96
03/11/25AQueens Royals81-74
09/03/25AHigh Point69-81
08/03/25AUNC Asheville86-67
08/03/25HLongwood88-79
01/03/25HUNC Asheville103-90
28/02/25ALongwood85-59
20/02/25APresbyterian81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game86.893.766.0
Allowed / game69.269.369.0
Point differential+17.5+24.3-3.0
Avg total156.0163.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Winthrop
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game85.5105.079.0
Allowed / game77.869.080.7
Point differential+7.8+36.0-1.7
Avg total163.2174.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia550100%99.462.6+36.8
2 LSU330100%95.766.3+29.3
3 Vanderbilt440100%101.572.8+28.8
4 Tennessee440100%90.262.2+28.0
5 Missouri550100%91.470.4+21.0
6 Ole Miss440100%84.865.0+19.8
7 South Carolina440100%85.567.5+18.0
8 Mississippi St.330100%85.770.0+15.7
9 Auburn43175%88.870.5+18.2
10 Texas43175%80.262.0+18.2
11 Arkansas43175%86.869.2+17.5
12 Florida43175%87.875.2+12.5
13 Alabama32167%91.381.7+9.7
14 Kentucky53260%87.468.4+19.0
15 Oklahoma42250%91.080.8+10.2
16 Texas A&M42250%84.877.8+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point54180%95.265.6+29.6
2 USC Upstate53260%84.265.0+19.2
3 Longwood53260%81.274.0+7.2
4 Winthrop42250%85.577.8+7.8
5 UNC Asheville42250%77.271.5+5.8
6 Radford63350%80.876.3+4.5
7 Charleston Southern63350%85.582.8+2.7
8 Presbyterian63350%69.070.3-1.3
9 Gardner Webb4040%71.092.8-21.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas434184
Winthrop414283
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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