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Michigan State vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-66
36-39 33-27
Position#29
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game69.0
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#36
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan State v Arkansas
26 Nov 2026
MICH v ARKA
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
MICH69
ARKA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
39-28
30-37
61-47
50-28
29-34
42-32
32-32
33-37
41-40
33-28
54-34
29-31
42-32
31-33
42-37
24-33
40-37
37-34
43-35
144.7Avg total
76.4Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.069.0149.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)80.069.0149.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.468.3144.7+8.180%
Last 5 (5)75.066.8141.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.066.1138.1+5.970%
vs Weaker (20)79.566.7146.2+12.890%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H27/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A05/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H08/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A22/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A28/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
27-39
14-32
39-40
43-37
47-40
45-44
48-48
47-30
25-38
34-42
46-41
47-44
32-28
35-32
40-34
38-31
34-41
57-32
52-45
159.3Avg total
82.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.077.0186.0+32.0100%
Season at home (1)109.077.0186.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.077.3159.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)85.276.6161.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.477.2148.6-5.925%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.476.1154.5+2.367%
vs Weaker (10)79.867.2147.0+12.680%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
Michigan StateArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.567.0+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.630.867.4+5.863%-
Last 30 away (11)33.432.866.2+0.536%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.766.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.862.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.632.963.5-2.320%-
vs Weaker (20)37.930.968.7+7.070%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H27/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
14-32
14
32
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H08/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A20/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A22/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H04/11
NCAA
75.6Avg total
40.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.473.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.473.8+3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.537.472.9-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.475.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.278.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.838.271.0-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.937.875.8+0.150%-
vs Weaker (10)38.933.372.2+5.660%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HColgate80-69
30/03/25AAuburn64-70
28/03/25HOle Miss73-70
24/03/25HNew Mexico71-63
22/03/25HBryant University87-62
15/03/25HWisconsin74-77
14/03/25HOregon74-64
09/03/25HMichigan79-62
07/03/25AIowa91-84
02/03/25HWisconsin71-62
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HSouthern Univ.109-77
28/03/25ATexas Tech83-85 OT
22/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)75-66
20/03/25AKansas79-72
13/03/25AOle Miss80-83
12/03/25HSouth Carolina72-68
08/03/25HMississippi St.93-92
05/03/25AVanderbilt90-77
01/03/25ASouth Carolina53-72
27/02/25HTexas86-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game109.0109.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois220100%113.062.5+50.5
2 Indiana110100%98.051.0+47.0
3 Michigan110100%121.078.0+43.0
4 Minnesota220100%91.055.0+36.0
5 Nebraska220100%91.059.5+31.5
6 USC110100%94.064.0+30.0
7 Washington220100%89.060.0+29.0
8 Wisconsin220100%96.568.0+28.5
9 Rutgers110100%81.053.0+28.0
10 Penn State220100%81.555.5+26.0
11 Iowa220100%89.063.5+25.5
12 Northwestern220100%73.049.5+23.5
13 Ohio State220100%106.085.0+21.0
14 Purdue220100%84.564.0+20.5
15 Michigan State110100%80.069.0+11.0
16 UCLA220100%77.068.5+8.5
17 Oregon220100%63.561.0+2.5
18 Maryland21150%71.565.5+6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia220100%99.044.0+55.0
2 Kentucky220100%92.055.0+37.0
3 LSU110100%96.060.0+36.0
4 Oklahoma110100%102.066.0+36.0
5 Arkansas110100%109.077.0+32.0
6 Texas A&M220100%101.069.0+32.0
7 Vanderbilt220100%105.077.0+28.0
8 Tennessee220100%85.558.5+27.0
9 Ole Miss220100%87.061.5+25.5
10 Mississippi St.110100%86.062.0+24.0
11 Auburn220100%95.073.5+21.5
12 South Carolina110100%91.072.0+19.0
13 Alabama220100%97.079.0+18.0
14 Missouri220100%88.575.5+13.0
15 Florida21150%95.578.5+17.0
16 Texas21150%78.567.5+11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State363369
Arkansas392766
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