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Aros Basket vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-92
15-23 16-22 27-22 25-25
Position#6
Record1-3
FormLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.0
Aros Basket
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game84.0
SwedenSuperettan· Kristiansborgshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aros Basket v AIK Basket
24 Jan 2026
AROS76
AIK 91
20 Oct 2024
AROS83
AIK 92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
66-70
66
70
-4
58avg 73
H21/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
100-58
100
58
+42
107avg 73
H28/09
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 73
A06/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 73
H12/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-14
21-20
10-20
29-19
29-13
21-16
21-10
16-26
31-20
17-19
19-29
16-22
23-18
13-15
11-19
152.0Avg total
78.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.074.0152.0+4.025%
Season at home (3)76.367.3143.7+9.033%
Season away (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
Last 10 (4)78.074.0152.0+4.025%
Last 5 (4)78.074.0152.0+4.025%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.779.3150.0-8.70%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)100.058.0158.0+42.0100%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
77avg 71
H23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
68avg 71
A27/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
69-84
69
84
-15
58avg 71
H03/04
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
90avg 71
H06/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 71
A12/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 71
H14/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 71
A19/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 71
H21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
66-97
66
97
-31
36avg 71
H22/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 71
A07/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
23-22
20-21
22-12
19-24
17-22
17-23
29-33
19-15
23-22
7-23
20-24
18-23
27-19
20-19
24-23
18-16
19-23
18-16
17-26
16-21
21-11
30-19
20-19
22-23
19-25
13-26
27-23
24-19
17-18
22-28
21-17
20-26
10-19
14-28
22-24
22-17
13-13
23-19
22-22
162.6Avg total
79.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.084.0157.0-11.050%
Season at home (1)66.097.0163.0-31.00%
Season away (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.183.5162.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)79.683.4163.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.589.5159.0-20.00%
vs Similar (15)85.983.6169.5+2.360%
vs Weaker (13)78.875.1153.8+3.769%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +8.8+8.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +8.8+8.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Aros BasketAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H21/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H28/09
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/10
Superettan
81.8Avg total
44.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)44.837.081.8+7.875%-
Last 30 at home (3)44.034.078.0+10.067%-
Last 30 away (1)47.046.093.0+1.0100%-
Last 10 (4)44.837.081.8+7.875%-
Last 5 (4)44.837.081.8+7.875%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.338.779.0+1.767%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)58.032.090.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A27/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/04
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/04
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H22/09
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/10
Superettan
77.3Avg total
38.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.879.6+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.736.976.6+2.871%-
Last 30 away (16)41.740.482.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.077.3-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.039.073.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (15)44.240.384.5+3.953%-
vs Weaker (13)37.837.174.9+0.854%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.5
50.8%
49.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
30.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.88.2
60.0%
67.1%8.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.422.4
48.3%
49.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
30.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.710.4
55.6%
67.1%10.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aros Basket
LLWL
AIK Basket
WLWLWLWLLW
#6
League position
#12
+7.3
Net rating
-5.5
99.8
Offensive rating
97.2
92.5
Defensive rating
102.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.1%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.6%
3-point %
31.8%
67.7%
Assist %
65.1%
25%
Form (last 4/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 97.2Defence92.5 · 102.6Shooting52.2% · 48.1%3-point %36.6% · 31.8%Ball care18.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds23.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.26Form (last 4/10)25% · 50%
■ Aros Basket   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aros Basket wins
0
AIK Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HKFUM Fryshuset63-74
06/10/24ASloga Uppsala83-94
28/09/24HTureberg100-58
21/09/24HMalbas66-70
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/24ATureberg80-71
22/09/24HKFUM Fryshuset66-97
21/04/24HSloga Uppsala84-82
19/04/24ASloga Uppsala81-97
14/04/24HTureberg87-70
12/04/24ATureberg72-81
06/04/24HMalbas89-84
03/04/24HEskilstuna69-84
27/03/24ASloga Uppsala82-102
23/03/24HIK Eos81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aros Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game78.076.383.0
Allowed / game74.067.394.0
Point differential+4.0+9.0-11.0
Avg total152.0143.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game73.066.080.0
Allowed / game84.097.071.0
Point differential-11.0-31.0+9.0
Avg total157.0163.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KFUM Fryshuset440100%88.262.5+25.8
2 Sloga Uppsala330100%93.076.3+16.7
3 Wetterbygden Stars65183%80.582.7-2.2
4 Ockelbo53260%79.672.4+7.2
5 Malbas63350%79.871.3+8.5
6 Djurgarden42250%71.870.8+1.0
7 Alvik42250%82.082.5-0.5
8 AIK Basket21150%73.084.0-11.0
9 Huddinge52340%75.678.6-3.0
10 Blackeberg52340%77.883.8-6.0
11 Aros Basket41325%78.074.0+4.0
12 Akersberga41325%75.884.5-8.8
13 IK Eos41325%76.586.2-9.8
14 Tureberg4040%58.884.8-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aros Basket1516272583
AIK Basket2322222592
← all games of the day
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