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ASA vs Fos-sur-Mer Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#19
Record3-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#20
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.0
FrancePro BRound 26· Espace Sport La Forêt
Other2026-27
Meetings · ASA v Fos-sur-Mer
12 Mar 2027
ASA v FSM
upcoming
14 Mar 2025
ASA86
FSM80
30 Jan 2024
ASA52
FSM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fos-sur-Mer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
74avg 77
H15/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 77
A25/09
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
85-74
85
74
+11
81avg 77
H02/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
67-90
67
90
-23
61avg 77
A10/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 77
A16/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 77
H20/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
88avg 77
A23/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
89avg 77
H30/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
103-108
103
108
-5
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
11-22
15-18
23-20
20-33
23-18
23-29
22-15
16-26
25-17
20-20
24-11
21-22
16-22
18-15
12-31
14-18
28-27
13-18
23-26
28-21
15-16
17-25
16-23
23-15
16-32
26-25
25-27
26-28
20-10
18-19
29-13
15-20
23-17
21-19
16-19
21-21
28-27
22-25
32-35
172.3Avg total
84.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.288.3173.6-3.133%
Season at home (4)89.284.2173.5+5.050%
Season away (5)82.091.6173.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)84.787.6172.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)89.889.4179.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.886.5161.2-11.825%
vs Similar (22)85.986.5172.4-0.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.882.0170.8+6.875%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 62
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 62
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 62
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 62
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 62
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
50-72
50
72
-22
38avg 62
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 62
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-14
16-16
10-21
25-22
22-21
16-17
13-22
17-25
14-26
20-18
26-26
20-25
18-25
22-25
19-19
19-22
20-28
24-7
15-19
22-18
11-23
18-20
16-19
14-16
10-15
8-21
18-20
21-18
14-17
22-14
17-14
22-12
17-19
14-26
21-21
22-15
17-22
22-24
12-19
150.8Avg total
71.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.080.0152.0-8.022%
Season at home (5)73.676.2149.8-2.640%
Season away (4)70.084.8154.8-14.80%
Last 10 (10)71.779.1150.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)67.674.6142.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.584.4157.9-11.017%
vs Similar (5)73.474.4147.8-1.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -3.3-3.3
ASAFos-sur-Mer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H15/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A25/09
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H02/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A23/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H13/11
Pro B
83.4Avg total
41.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.784.4-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.586.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.982.7-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.383.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.484.4+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.842.282.0-2.525%-
vs Similar (22)41.542.984.4-1.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.242.286.5+2.075%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/11
Pro B
77.1Avg total
36.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.377.0-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.439.977.4-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)33.642.976.5-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.377.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.542.277.7-6.721%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.8
54.8%
53.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.317.2
73.8%
74.0%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.2
47.1%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.5
29.4%
33.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
74.0%16.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ASA
LWWLLLLWLL
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLLWLLLL
#19
League position
#20
-4.0
Net rating
-7.1
92.8
Offensive rating
87.9
96.8
Defensive rating
95.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
46.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
29.4%
73.4%
Assist %
63.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 87.9Defence96.8 · 95.0Shooting52.0% · 46.0%3-point %32.4% · 29.4%Ball care18.0% · 17.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ ASA   ■ Fos-sur-Mer
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
ASA wins
1
Fos-sur-Mer wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25ASA v Fos-sur-Mer86-80
15/11/24Fos-sur-Mer v ASA83-96
30/01/24ASA v Fos-sur-Mer52-76
19/12/23Fos-sur-Mer v ASA77-89
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HHyeres-Toulon103-108
06/11/26ACaen87-85 OT
30/10/26HAix Maurienne93-70
23/10/26ANantes90-99
20/10/26HSt. Chamond76-85
16/10/26ALevallois78-89
10/10/26AQuimper67-90
02/10/26HAntibes85-74
25/09/26ALa Rochelle88-95
15/05/26HOrleans80-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HChalons-Reims73-80
06/11/26ALevallois74-78
30/10/26HSt. Chamond74-63
24/10/26AQuimper50-72
21/10/26HPoitiers67-80
16/10/26HAntibes78-76
09/10/26ALe Havre79-94
02/10/26AEvreux77-95
25/09/26HHyeres-Toulon76-82
13/09/25HHyeres-Toulon69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ASA
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game85.289.282.0
Allowed / game88.384.291.6
Point differential-3.1+5.0-9.6
Avg total173.6173.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game72.073.670.0
Allowed / game80.076.284.8
Point differential-8.0-2.6-14.8
Avg total152.0149.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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