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Astana vs Donetsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Feb 2013
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 96-90 (OT)
17-16 17-20 20-20 23-21 19-13
Position#9
Record7-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.2
Astana 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#13
Record5-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game69.1
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2012-13
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donetsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krasnye Krylya
#6
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A22/10
VTB United League
Turow Zgorzelec
#16
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A11/11
VTB United League
Donetsk
#13
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A25/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A09/12
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H16/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#3
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H07/01
VTB United League
Azovmash Mariupol
#17
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A13/01
VTB United League
Krasnye Krylya
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H19/01
VTB United League
Turow Zgorzelec
#16
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H31/01
VTB United League
Rytas
#11
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A03/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
22-13
15-14
18-14
14-31
18-19
16-25
18-18
11-19
12-22
16-18
17-17
9-17
16-24
15-14
14-15
33-18
17-21
24-23
19-16
19-27
20-10
27-22
26-18
23-21
23-19
20-23
23-19
23-20
14-14
19-18
19-26
25-23
23-15
19-15
14-8
17-20
11-29
15-25
17-19
150.1Avg total
73.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.478.2151.5-4.854%
Season at home (6)81.372.8154.2+8.583%
Season away (7)66.682.7149.3-16.129%
Last 10 (10)73.276.9150.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)79.478.2157.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.879.8150.6-9.033%
vs Similar (9)77.177.7154.8-0.667%
vs Weaker (3)86.774.3161.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DonetskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dnipro-Azot
#13
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H10/01
FBU Superleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#18
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A13/01
VTB United League
Azovmash Mariupol
#2
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A20/01
FBU Superleague
Khimki M.
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H28/01
VTB United League
Azovmash Mariupol
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A01/02
FBU Superleague
Azovmash Mariupol
#17
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H03/02
VTB United League
Kryvbasbasket
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/02
FBU Superleague
Ferro-ZNTU
#3
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H10/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A14/02
FBU Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
18-11
28-15
16-18
17-16
8-13
20-10
15-22
26-21
14-20
18-13
17-21
13-21
14-34
27-16
13-11
14-15
10-23
27-23
15-23
24-30
20-19
22-18
19-21
16-19
18-13
23-15
26-19
20-20
15-4
22-18
21-28
21-15
25-18
33-14
18-29
21-22
15-21
16-14
19-21
153.1Avg total
77.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.969.1138.0-0.238%
Season at home (5)71.065.2136.2+5.860%
Season away (8)67.671.5139.1-3.925%
Last 10 (10)77.475.7153.1+1.740%
Last 5 (5)82.875.6158.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.870.2136.0-4.550%
vs Similar (13)78.981.8160.8-2.931%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.770.8149.5+7.969%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
AstanaDonetsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krasnye Krylya
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A22/10
VTB United League
Turow Zgorzelec
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
VTB United League
Donetsk
#13
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A25/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A09/12
VTB United League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H16/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H07/01
VTB United League
Azovmash Mariupol
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A13/01
VTB United League
Krasnye Krylya
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/01
VTB United League
Turow Zgorzelec
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/01
VTB United League
Rytas
#11
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A03/02
VTB United League
76.3Avg total
36.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.077.9-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.978.5+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)35.442.077.4-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.276.3-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.679.2+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.340.675.9-5.222%-
vs Similar (9)40.838.779.4+2.156%-
vs Weaker (3)45.340.385.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Donetsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DonetskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dnipro-Azot
#13
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/01
FBU Superleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#18
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A13/01
VTB United League
Azovmash Mariupol
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/01
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A20/01
FBU Superleague
Khimki M.
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H28/01
VTB United League
Azovmash Mariupol
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/02
FBU Superleague
Azovmash Mariupol
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H03/02
VTB United League
Kryvbasbasket
#9
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H08/02
FBU Superleague
Ferro-ZNTU
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H10/02
FBU Superleague
Cherkaski Mavpy
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A14/02
FBU Superleague
71.6Avg total
34.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.972.0-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.232.366.5+1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)35.840.476.2-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)34.437.271.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.833.562.2-4.825%-
vs Similar (13)36.241.277.3-5.031%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.133.769.8+2.462%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Astana wins
1
Donetsk wins
DateGameScore
25/11/12Donetsk v Astana76-56
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/13ARytas60-93
31/01/13HTurow Zgorzelec81-61
19/01/13HKrasnye Krylya75-78
13/01/13AAzovmash Mariupol89-82
07/01/13HKhimki M.92-77
16/12/12HBC Kalev/Cramo93-78
09/12/12AUnics Kazan54-70
25/11/12ADonetsk56-76
11/11/12ATurow Zgorzelec66-93
22/10/12AKrasnye Krylya66-61
Donetsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/13ACherkaski Mavpy71-78
10/02/13HFerro-ZNTU97-76
08/02/13HKryvbasbasket78-70
03/02/13HAzovmash Mariupol83-66
01/02/13AAzovmash Mariupol85-88
28/01/13HKhimki M.66-84
20/01/13ACherkaski Mavpy67-82
18/01/13HAzovmash Mariupol90-91 OT
13/01/13ABC Kalev/Cramo60-61
10/01/13HDnipro-Azot77-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game73.481.366.6
Allowed / game78.272.882.7
Point differential-4.8+8.5-16.1
Avg total151.5154.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donetsk
VTB United League 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game68.971.067.6
Allowed / game69.165.271.5
Point differential-0.2+5.8-3.9
Avg total138.0136.2139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)-20% (5)
Overtime %15%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1413193%83.769.7+14.0
2 CSKA Moscow1311285%77.965.5+12.4
3 Krasnye Krylya1411379%74.069.9+4.1
4 Khimki M.1410471%80.472.2+8.1
5 Spartak St. Petersburg1410471%70.562.6+7.9
6 Unics Kazan1410471%72.665.9+6.7
7 Lokomotiv Kuban1410471%78.572.2+6.3
8 VEF Riga159660%83.579.2+4.3
9 Rytas148657%77.976.6+1.4
10 Astana137654%73.478.2-4.8
11 Zenit Petersburg147750%78.473.5+4.9
12 Nizhny Novgorod147750%72.168.6+3.5
13 Donetsk135838%68.969.1-0.2
14 Nymburk145936%72.480.7-8.4
15 Enisey145936%70.681.3-10.6
16 Turow Zgorzelec1431121%73.276.4-3.2
17 BC Kalev/Cramo1431121%65.677.1-11.5
18 Azovmash Mariupol1421214%71.980.7-8.9
19 Neptunas1421214%78.390.2-11.9
20 Minsk141137%68.482.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Astana171720231996
Donetsk162020211390
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