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Neptunas

Lithuania EuroCup 2-5 · 6/8 Group 3 LKL 5-4 · 5/10
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
LWWLWLLLWW
Points / game
85.2
allowed 84.7
Over 172.5
33%
game total, 9 games
Game total
169.9
both teams per game
Win rate
56%
5-4
Margin / game
+0.6
points
1st half
45.3
points scored / game
Overtime
0%
games to overtime
Sections
Neptunas

Neptunas 2026-27 season has seen a 6-9 record, with a 1-5 showing in the EuroCup where they sit 7th of 8 and a 5-4 mark in the LKL, placing them 5th of 10. Their recent form over the last five games is 2-3, highlighted by a narrow 82-80 home win over Taurage and a 79-94 loss away to Tofas in the EuroCup, followed by a 79-99 defeat to Lietkabelis. In the LKL power rating they hold a net rating of -0.7, ranked 4th of 10 with no change from a few games ago. Home games give them a 5-3 record, averaging 87.5 points for and 83.2 against, while away play is 1-6 with 81.4 points for and 92.3 against. Leading the team is Yannick Franke with 15.8 points per game, Martynas Echodas pulling down 6.1 rebounds, and Elvar Fridriksson dishing out 5.8 assists. Their next outing is an away LKL match against Zalgiris Kaunas on 15 November 2026, where the pythia win percentage sits at 7.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Neptunas stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the LKL (this season) Neptunas score 85.2 points a game and allow 84.7 across 9 games – 33% of their games go over 172.5 and they clear 86.5 team points in 33%. They win 56% (80% at home, 25% away), by +0.6 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

NeptunasLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 82
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 82
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 82
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 82
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 82
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 82
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 82
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 82
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 82
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#13
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 82
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 82
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 82
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 82
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 82
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
168.1Avg total
83.5Scored
84.6Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
23.8
18.9
+4.9
won 78%
Q2
21.6
19.8
+1.8
won 56%
Q3
20.7
22.9
-2.2
won 33%
Q4
19.2
23.1
-3.9
won 33%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 67% of 9 games, the 2nd half in 33%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=5AWAY n=4
89.8
Points / game
79.5
81.4
Allowed / game
88.8
171.2
Game total
168.2
40%
Over 172.5
25%
80%
Win %
25%
+8.4
Margin
-9.2
44.6
1st half scored
46.2
60%
Won the 1st half
75%
60%
Won by 10+
0%
Points scored per game
8%17%25%33%11%70-7433%75-7922%80-8411%85-890%90-9411%95-990%100-10411%105-109
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
8%17%25%33%11%60-640%65-690%70-740%75-7933%80-8433%85-8911%90-9411%95-99
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 84.0 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)86.086.388.483.382.890.247%
vs Stronger (6)82.795.281.393.384.097.00%
vs Similar (11)83.682.587.878.878.686.855%
vs Weaker (13)89.585.591.582.986.489.662%
Over 172.5 (game total)57% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
5thof 1056%
Attack: points scored per game
5thof 1085.2
Defence: points allowed per game
5thof 1084.7
Game total: both teams' points per game
5thof 10169.9
Ranked against the 10 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
4thof 1048.3%
2-point accuracy
6thof 1056.1%
3-point accuracy
7thof 1034.5%
Free-throw accuracy
2ndof 1075.7%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
3 Rytas50.3%
4 Neptunas48.3%
5 Juventus47.7%
6 Jonava47.6%
7 Siauliai47.6%
10 Nevezis42.0%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
2 Rytas61.9%
3 Jonava60.2%
4 Siauliai56.9%
6 Neptunas56.1%
7 Juventus55.0%
9 Nevezis47.5%
10 Taurage47.1%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
3 Rytas36.6%
4 Juventus35.4%
5 Siauliai34.9%
7 Neptunas34.5%
9 Jonava31.8%
10 Nevezis30.7%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
2 Neptunas75.7%
3 Siauliai75.0%
4 Juventus72.1%
7 Rytas70.2%
8 Jonava65.7%
10 Nevezis63.1%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
48.3%+0.6pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#4 of 10 in LKL
✋ 2-pointers
56.1%+0.6pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#6 of 10 in LKL
🌟 3-pointers
34.5%-0.9pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#7 of 10 in LKL
🏹 Free throws
75.7%+4.9pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#2 of 10 in LKL

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeptunasLeague average
101.0
Offensive rating
98.8
100.4
Defensive rating
98.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
35.3%
40.9%
3-point attempt rate
38.2%
63.0%
Assist %
60.5%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 98.8Defence100.4 · 98.8Shooting54.1% · 54.6%3-point %35.4% · 35.3%Ball care14.7% · 15.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.37
■ Neptunas   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 172.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+15444%4-05-0100%WWWWW
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2550%3-13-2100%WLWLW
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+3450%1-24-125%WWLWL
4 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1410%4-11-375%LWLWW
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+533%4-11-3100%LWWLW
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2540%2-22-3-WLLLW
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3233%2-41-20%LLWLL
8 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2550%3-20-40%LWLLL
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5320%2-21-467%LLWWL
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-6911%1-30-425%LLLWL
Playoffs
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 172.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
NeptunasLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#13
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
168.1Avg total
83.5Scored
84.6Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 172.5
Last 30 (30)86.086.3172.3-0.347%57%
Last 30 at home (17)88.483.3171.7+5.165%59%
Last 30 away (13)82.890.2173.1-7.423%54%
Last 10 (10)86.889.9176.7-3.150%60%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%83%
vs Similar (11)83.682.5166.1+1.255%45%
vs Weaker (13)89.585.5175.0+4.162%54%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 172.5 = the league line
Over 172.557%
n=30
Under 172.543%
n=30
Won the game47%
n=30
Lost the game53%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, LKL games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 172.5)Team points (line 86.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (9)169.9171.2168.285.289.879.5+0.6+8.4-9.2
vs Stronger (1)162.0162.0-69.069.0--24.0-24.0-
vs Similar (5)177.4190.5168.788.6104.578.0-0.2+18.5-12.7
vs Weaker (3)160.0156.5167.085.085.584.0+10.0+14.5+1.0
% over line / win33%40%25%33%60%0%56%80%25%
% under line / loss67%60%75%67%40%100%44%20%75%
Scoring dials
Points / game85.2
League avg 84.0 · above by 1.2
Allowed / game84.7
League avg 84.0 · above by 0.7
1st half scored45.3
League avg 42.1 · above by 3.2
3-pointers made7.5
League avg 8.3 · below by 0.8
Free throws made19.5
League avg 16.0 · above by 3.5
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 81.5 pts56%
n=9
Under 81.5 pts44%
n=9
Over 86.5 pts33%
n=9
Under 86.5 pts67%
n=9
Over 91.5 pts22%
n=9
Under 91.5 pts78%
n=9
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 162.567%
n=9
Under 162.533%
n=9
Over 172.533%
n=9
Under 172.567%
n=9
Over 182.522%
n=9
Under 182.578%
n=9
Result markets
Win56%
n=9
Win by 6+ (-5.5)33%
n=9
Cover +5.556%
n=9
Win by 10+33%
n=9
Win the 1st half67%
n=9
Overtime0%
n=9
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Neptunas: 87.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.1
57.3%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
70.8%13.2
Their opponents take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Yannick FrankeLKL EuroCup131225.815.83.22.347.5%47.1%
Henri DrellLKL EuroCup131023.213.14.61.446.4%30.4%
Martynas EchodasLKL EuroCup131322.89.86.11.253.3%-
Elvar FridrikssonLKL EuroCup13922.713.52.15.848.7%39.0%
E. TubutisLKL EuroCup13521.66.76.11.250.8%39.3%
Donatas TarolisLKL EuroCup13720.88.23.60.947.8%15.0%
Kristupas ZemaitisLKL EuroCup13418.14.42.23.535.7%26.1%
Mindaugas GirdziunasLKL EuroCup13117.36.80.70.335.3%30.0%
Lukas KreismontasLKL EuroCup13316.53.61.50.843.6%22.7%
Arnas BeruckaLKL EuroCup5112.64.21.80.640.0%28.6%
R. SomervilleLKL EuroCup1105.71.50.70.346.7%-
S. SarakauskasLKL EuroCup702.61.00.10.342.9%25.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.6
11 rated players
Henri Drell13.1 pts6.9
E. Tubutis6.7 pts5.9
Donatas Tarolis8.2 pts5.6
R. Somerville1.5 pts4.9
Yannick Franke15.8 pts3.7
S. Sarakauskas1.0 pts0.8
Player market rates – share of games
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
68%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
41-19favourite won / lost
Across 60 games of Neptunas, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 68% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Zalgiris Kaunas
v
Neptunas
Sun 15 Nov, 14:50 UTC
Pythia: Zalgiris Kaunas 93%
home 93%away 7%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
2nd half: Zalgiris Kaunas (regulation)81.8%1.45
Betano
1.45
----+19.3pp
2nd half: Zalgiris Kaunas win83.9%1.42
Betano
1.42
----+18.2pp
Zalgiris Kaunas over 90.574.0%1.53
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.49
---+15.7pp
Zalgiris Kaunas -8.580.1%1.42
Betano
1.42
----+15.2pp
HT/FT 1/180.3%1.25
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.25
---+13.0pp
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🔒 131 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=35
2023-24
n=35
2024-25
n=38
2025-26
n=42
2026-27
n=9
Trend
Points scored / game81.285.584.191.085.2
Points allowed / game83.586.288.788.284.7
Game total164.7171.7172.8179.2169.9
Over 162.560%83%84%81%67%
Over 172.537%26%47%71%33%
Over 182.517%14%32%48%22%
Team points over 86.537%40%45%67%33%
Win %46%49%37%55%56%
Home win %50%56%37%67%80%
Away win %41%41%37%43%25%
Margin / game-2.3-0.7-4.7+2.8+0.6
Won by 10+14%23%11%29%33%
Close games won (5 or fewer)50%67%38%20%100%
Overtime %9%9%5%5%0%
1st half total79.983.584.490.984.0
Won the 1st half40%51%45%60%67%
3-point attempt rate41%41%44%44%36%
Effective FG%51%54%53%56%55%
Pace72.774.975.276.6-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
10 NovNeptunas v Slask Wroclaw Eurocup90-82W
07 NovNeptunas v Taurage LKL82-80W
03 NovTofas v Neptunas Eurocup94-79L
31 OctLietkabelis v Neptunas LKL99-79L
28 OctNeptunas v Basket Napoli Eurocup85-94L
25 OctNeptunas v Siauliai LKL110-88W
20 OctBuducnost v Neptunas Eurocup104-89L
17 OctJonava v Neptunas LKL83-84W
13 OctNeptunas v JL Bourg Eurocup93-89W
10 OctRytas v Neptunas LKL86-77L
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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