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Astros vs El Calor de Cancun Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 95-85
19-24 21-31 25-15 30-15
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game74.6
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
El Calor de Cancun
Mexico
Position#9
Record4-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game86.6
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v El Calor de Cancun
03 Aug 2025
ASTR95
EL C85
02 Aug 2025
ASTR94
EL C78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
El Calor de Cancun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 86
H01/07
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
84avg 86
H02/07
CIBACOPA
Soles
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
H20/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H24/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H25/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
no box
A29/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
A30/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H03/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
19-18
22-17
15-16
19-19
26-14
21-25
24-19
15-22
15-20
20-21
21-12
30-26
16-13
21-19
23-14
19-19
28-23
23-15
20-26
27-10
15-22
22-16
27-16
19-15
18-27
23-18
24-16
26-23
19-17
21-22
24-18
22-20
28-7
21-14
20-28
20-15
29-21
19-21
26-21
160.4Avg total
86.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.674.6162.2+13.088%
Season at home (5)89.874.6164.4+15.2100%
Season away (3)84.074.7158.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)86.074.4160.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)90.073.4163.4+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.077.7164.7+9.283%
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCancun
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A06/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
A12/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A13/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
H18/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H19/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
84-66
84
66
+18
no box
A22/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
no box
A22/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
H29/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H30/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A03/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
24-23
22-27
17-24
14-26
15-22
16-26
29-21
20-11
20-26
23-23
19-15
19-17
19-24
16-23
18-17
21-22
18-16
13-28
17-16
17-16
20-21
25-17
22-12
19-19
28-26
22-14
26-28
22-21
23-13
14-29
30-24
15-28
14-26
20-15
16-17
15-20
21-29
21-19
21-26
164.2Avg total
79.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.686.6166.3-7.036%
Season at home (4)73.884.0157.8-10.225%
Season away (7)83.088.1171.1-5.143%
Last 10 (10)79.484.8164.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)82.284.0166.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.488.9166.3-11.422%
vs Similar (13)73.372.4145.7+0.962%
vs Weaker (8)85.173.8158.9+11.4100%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
AstrosEl Calor de Cancun
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H01/07
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/07
CIBACOPA
Soles
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H24/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A30/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/08
LNBP
79.3Avg total
42.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.277.5+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.937.279.1+4.878%-
Last 30 away (12)40.334.875.2+5.575%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.079.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.480.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.736.077.7+5.779%-
This opponent (El Calor de Cancun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
El Calor de CancunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A06/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A12/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H19/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A22/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H30/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/08
LNBP
81.4Avg total
38.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.476.6+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.834.872.6+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.539.680.1+0.962%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.781.4-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.882.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.644.483.0-5.944%-
vs Similar (13)38.234.272.3+4.062%-
vs Weaker (8)41.834.676.4+7.175%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
36.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
74.6%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
El Calor de Cancuntheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Astros wins
0
El Calor de Cancun wins
DateGameScore
03/08/25Astros v El Calor de Cancun94-78
01/08/24El Calor de Cancun v Astros70-77
31/07/24El Calor de Cancun v Astros89-99
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/25HEl Calor de Cancun94-78
30/07/25ACorrecaminos91-69
29/07/25ACorrecaminos90-80
25/07/25HPanteras84-76
24/07/25HPanteras91-64
20/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-83
19/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-72
11/07/25ASoles71-75
02/07/25HZonkeys de Tijuana90-77
01/07/25HZonkeys de Tijuana69-70
El Calor de Cancunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/25AAstros78-94
30/07/25HSoles65-86
29/07/25HSoles89-87
22/07/25AAbejas95-87
22/07/25AAbejas84-66
19/07/25HMineros69-82
18/07/25HMineros72-81
13/07/25AFuerza Regia82-75
12/07/25AFuerza Regia74-95
06/07/25ADiablos Rojos86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game87.689.884.0
Allowed / game74.674.674.7
Point differential+13.0+15.2+9.3
Avg total162.2164.4158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
El Calor de Cancun
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL36%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%25%43%
Points / game79.673.883.0
Allowed / game86.684.088.1
Point differential-7.0-10.2-5.1
Avg total166.3157.8171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles1110191%90.074.8+15.2
2 Astros87188%87.674.6+13.0
3 Fuerza Regia129375%92.378.4+13.9
4 Diablos Rojos118373%98.181.3+16.8
5 Mineros118373%91.983.5+8.5
6 Dorados106460%84.782.0+2.7
7 Gambusinos125742%81.786.2-4.6
8 Abejas83538%82.888.2-5.5
9 Halcones de Xalapa114736%80.383.1-2.8
10 Panteras114736%90.894.4-3.5
11 El Calor de Cancun114736%79.686.6-7.0
12 Correcaminos113827%81.892.2-10.4
13 Freseros123925%71.291.2-20.1
14 Santos111109%80.393.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1921253095
El Calor de Cancun2431151585
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