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Astros vs Halcones de Xalapa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 90-83
19-19 28-23 23-15 20-26
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game73.5
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game81.6
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Halcones de Xalapa
10 Oct 2025
ASTR93
HALC71
09 Oct 2025
ASTR79
HALC74
19 Jul 2025
ASTR90
HALC83
18 Jul 2025
ASTR90
HALC72
27 Oct 2023
ASTR89
HALC78
26 Oct 2023
ASTR102
HALC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Xalapa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 86
H17/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 86
H21/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
93-88
93
88
+5
94avg 86
H22/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 86
A25/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 86
A26/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 86
A28/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 86
H01/07
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
84avg 86
H02/07
CIBACOPA
Soles
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H19/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
15-25
25-25
25-15
21-18
15-14
15-22
24-16
26-23
18-17
27-18
22-30
11-22
26-14
22-32
16-23
15-24
18-17
23-18
22-26
20-16
14-14
16-13
19-21
13-19
19-18
22-17
15-16
19-19
26-14
21-25
24-19
15-22
15-20
20-21
21-12
30-26
16-13
21-19
23-14
156.7Avg total
79.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.573.5154.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)79.777.0156.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)77.871.6149.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)91.091.5182.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.280.1169.4+9.179%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de XalapaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A29/11
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
96-110
96
110
-14
no box
A30/11
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
103-94
103
94
+9
no box
H03/12
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
H04/12
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H06/12
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
no box
A04/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A05/07
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H11/07
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H12/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A19/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
14-21
19-31
19-18
24-24
20-36
26-22
26-28
29-18
28-29
24-20
22-27
27-27
20-21
23-27
25-21
17-16
15-29
28-12
16-25
17-21
13-29
18-21
15-19
18-27
19-18
19-25
27-25
30-20
18-20
18-22
17-10
17-22
19-11
22-12
15-16
26-30
13-16
19-21
14-23
170.3Avg total
82.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.881.6156.4-6.840%
Season at home (2)78.066.5144.5+11.5100%
Season away (3)72.791.7164.3-19.00%
Last 10 (10)82.487.9170.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)74.881.6156.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.791.7164.3-19.00%
vs Similar (19)85.184.9170.0+0.242%
vs Weaker (8)81.171.8152.9+9.488%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
AstrosHalcones de Xalapa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H21/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H22/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A26/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H01/07
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/07
CIBACOPA
Soles
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/07
LNBP
74.2Avg total
37.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.079.4+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.837.780.5+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)42.036.078.0+6.069%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.874.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.546.587.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.636.378.9+6.375%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/11
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A30/11
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/12
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/12
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H06/12
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A04/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/07
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H11/07
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H12/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/07
LNBP
86.6Avg total
41.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.283.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.580.9+1.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.844.585.2-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.486.6-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.347.082.3-11.70%-
vs Similar (19)41.443.484.7-2.047%-
vs Weaker (8)42.437.579.9+4.975%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
36.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
74.6%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.7
56.0%
50.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.7
36.6%
36.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.313.8
71.5%
74.6%13.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WLWLWLLWWW
Halcones de Xalapa
LWWLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#8
+4.2
Net rating
+9.0
108.5
Offensive rating
114.0
104.3
Defensive rating
104.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.4%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.7%
3-point %
36.6%
56.0%
Assist %
67.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 114.0Defence104.3 · 104.9Shooting52.3% · 55.4%3-point %36.7% · 36.6%Ball care15.3% · 15.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Astros   ■ Halcones de Xalapa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Astros wins
0
Halcones de Xalapa wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-72
11/07/25ASoles71-75
02/07/25HZonkeys de Tijuana90-77
01/07/25HZonkeys de Tijuana69-70
28/06/25AZonkeys de Tijuana69-64
26/06/25AZonkeys de Tijuana78-85
25/06/25AZonkeys de Tijuana75-91
22/06/25HZonkeys de Tijuana93-88
21/06/25HZonkeys de Tijuana75-70
17/06/25HHalcones de Obregon87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25AAstros72-90
12/07/25HSantos73-61
11/07/25HSantos83-72
05/07/25ASoles83-95
04/07/25ASoles63-90
06/12/24HDiablos Rojos76-82
04/12/24HDiablos Rojos95-96
03/12/24HDiablos Rojos103-94
30/11/24ADiablos Rojos96-110
29/11/24ADiablos Rojos80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.590.071.0
Allowed / game73.572.075.0
Point differential+7.0+18.0-4.0
Avg total154.0162.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Halcones de Xalapa
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game74.878.072.7
Allowed / game81.666.591.7
Point differential-6.8+11.5-19.0
Avg total156.4144.5164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles550100%91.078.8+12.2
2 Diablos Rojos65183%104.582.0+22.5
3 Mineros65183%94.286.3+7.8
4 Fuerza Regia64267%91.776.7+15.0
5 Dorados64267%86.381.3+5.0
6 Astros21150%80.573.5+7.0
7 Gambusinos63350%82.782.8-0.2
8 Correcaminos63350%85.389.5-4.2
9 Halcones de Xalapa52340%74.881.6-6.8
10 Freseros62433%74.297.5-23.3
11 Abejas41325%88.097.0-9.0
12 Panteras61517%96.5102.3-5.8
13 Santos61517%79.585.8-6.3
14 El Calor de Cancun61517%77.588.8-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1928232090
Halcones de Xalapa1923152683
← all games of the day
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