PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astros vs Freseros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 95-90
25-21 15-23 14-20 41-26
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game81.7
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#13
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game85.5
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros (Guadalajara)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Astros v Freseros
28 Sep 2024
ASTR100
FRES86
27 Sep 2024
ASTR94
FRES89
08 Sep 2023
ASTR97
FRES84
07 Sep 2023
ASTR95
FRES90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
104-102
104
102
+2
H21/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
H22/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H24/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A27/06
CIBACOPA
Mineros
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
A22/08
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A23/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H27/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
101-78
101
78
+23
H27/08
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A01/09
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A02/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
25-23
25-32
30-26
13-18
13-29
25-32
31-21
22-21
18-27
28-22
32-23
20-17
21-24
29-22
23-23
24-21
23-21
23-14
28-20
21-25
26-9
26-27
14-20
20-15
18-17
18-24
21-24
28-21
20-20
27-19
26-18
26-30
22-21
18-18
28-18
19-22
28-20
24-19
24-27
180.2Avg total
93.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.081.7173.7+10.383%
Season at home (2)89.079.0168.0+10.050%
Season away (4)93.583.0176.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.187.1180.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)90.882.8173.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)93.693.3186.9+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.589.3184.8+6.175%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A20/08
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A20/08
LNBP
Santos
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A25/08
LNBP
Santos
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A26/08
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H01/09
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H02/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
22-26
23-13
15-12
15-24
22-17
21-17
8-22
22-19
16-25
19-14
15-26
25-22
19-23
25-16
5-19
30-24
14-31
28-23
18-15
25-26
31-21
26-21
11-31
163.8Avg total
78.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.385.5163.8-7.20%
Season at home (2)91.596.0187.5-4.50%
Season away (4)71.880.2152.0-8.50%
Last 10 (6)78.385.5163.8-7.20%
Last 5 (5)79.087.2166.2-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.385.5163.8-7.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -8.8-8.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -8.8-8.8
AstrosFreseros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H21/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H22/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H24/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/06
CIBACOPA
Mineros
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A22/08
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H27/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H27/08
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/09
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/09
LNBP
85.3Avg total
43.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.886.9+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.242.684.8-0.450%-
Last 30 away (18)45.343.088.3+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.285.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.085.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)41.842.784.5-0.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.142.988.0+2.245%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A20/08
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A20/08
LNBP
Santos
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/08
LNBP
Santos
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A26/08
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H01/09
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H02/09
LNBP
90.0Avg total
42.7Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)42.747.390.0-4.717%-
Last 30 at home (2)50.051.0101.0-1.050%-
Last 30 away (4)39.045.584.5-6.50%-
Last 10 (6)42.747.390.0-4.717%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.490.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.747.390.0-4.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Astros wins
0
Freseros wins
No previous meetings.
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/23ADorados95-88
01/09/23ADorados94-87
27/08/23HFuerza Regia101-78
27/08/23HFuerza Regia77-80
23/08/23AMineros87-81
22/08/23AMineros98-76
27/06/23ARayos de Hermosillo93-86
24/06/23HRayos de Hermosillo100-93
22/06/23HRayos de Hermosillo82-100
21/06/23HRayos de Hermosillo104-102
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/23HPanteras93-99
01/09/23HPanteras90-93
26/08/23ASantos74-80
25/08/23ASantos72-84
20/08/23ADorados66-80
20/08/23ADorados75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%50%100%
Points / game92.089.093.5
Allowed / game81.779.083.0
Point differential+10.3+10.0+10.5
Avg total173.7168.0176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Freseros
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.391.571.8
Allowed / game85.596.080.2
Point differential-7.2-4.5-8.5
Avg total163.8187.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertadores65183%93.780.8+12.8
2 Astros65183%92.081.7+10.3
3 Fuerza Regia65183%84.277.2+7.0
4 Halcones de Xalapa75271%87.482.6+4.9
5 Abejas64267%85.880.0+5.8
6 Santos74357%87.984.1+3.7
7 Panteras74357%88.089.1-1.1
8 Dorados63350%86.286.0+0.2
9 Mineros63350%82.084.7-2.7
10 Soles62433%77.078.3-1.3
11 Halcones Rojos62433%76.782.3-5.7
12 Plateros61517%78.589.5-11.0
13 Correcaminos71614%84.999.4-14.6
14 Freseros6060%78.385.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2515144195
Freseros2123202690
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.