PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astros vs Libertadores Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 70-93
14-16 11-25 26-28 19-24
Position#3
Record14-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#2
Record14-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game80.5
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros (Guadalajara)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Astros v Libertadores
30 Nov 2023
ASTR94
LIBE85
28 Nov 2023
ASTR83
LIBE89
27 Nov 2023
ASTR86
LIBE96
17 Oct 2023
ASTR80
LIBE69
16 Oct 2023
ASTR70
LIBE93
03 Sep 2022
ASTR98
LIBE91
02 Sep 2022
ASTR113
LIBE89
09 Sep 2021
ASTR89
LIBE92
08 Sep 2021
ASTR100
LIBE97
18 Oct 2020
ASTR96
LIBE106
17 Oct 2020
ASTR89
LIBE82
13 Oct 2019
ASTR77
LIBE74
10 Oct 2019
ASTR85
LIBE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertadores winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#5
L
87-104
87
104
-17
A18/09
LNBP
Santos
#5
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A19/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H24/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H24/09
LNBP
Soles
#12
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A05/10
LNBP
Soles
#12
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A06/10
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
85-102
85
102
-17
H08/10
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H10/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
99-75
99
75
+24
A13/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
15-21
27-25
24-29
25-24
27-19
18-16
20-14
26-17
32-20
24-17
9-22
19-15
18-15
33-23
26-29
20-9
18-16
9-23
21-11
24-28
18-29
25-19
29-23
24-22
21-28
21-29
19-23
23-22
20-19
23-24
21-25
24-17
26-25
18-16
31-17
28-31
27-24
34-23
17-13
175.6Avg total
90.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.584.5175.9+7.070%
Season at home (8)91.185.2176.4+5.962%
Season away (12)91.783.9175.6+7.875%
Last 10 (10)90.585.1175.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)94.691.4186.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.991.1184.0+1.858%
vs Weaker (18)92.984.2177.1+8.778%
This opponent (Libertadores) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadoresMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#11
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H19/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A23/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A24/09
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H05/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H06/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A08/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
115-76
115
76
+39
A10/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H13/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
21-21
22-12
23-29
19-22
28-24
18-27
24-25
5-18
24-24
18-22
22-17
30-16
14-31
28-22
25-13
23-12
29-21
20-24
17-18
28-16
16-21
27-11
18-17
25-24
22-16
21-27
27-25
24-11
32-22
32-23
27-20
21-19
26-15
27-16
25-20
15-27
24-18
18-13
15-14
171.4Avg total
91.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.580.5171.1+10.070%
Season at home (12)90.678.8169.4+11.883%
Season away (8)90.483.1173.5+7.250%
Last 10 (10)91.779.7171.4+12.080%
Last 5 (5)95.876.2172.0+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.594.0173.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.581.2164.8+2.250%
vs Weaker (22)94.182.7176.9+11.477%
This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
AstrosLibertadores
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santos
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/09
LNBP
Santos
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A19/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H24/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/09
LNBP
Soles
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A05/10
LNBP
Soles
#12
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A06/10
LNBP
Plateros
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H08/10
LNBP
Plateros
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/10
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A14/10
LNBP
88.6Avg total
45.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.087.1+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.242.886.0+0.558%-
Last 30 away (18)46.241.687.8+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.088.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.096.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.341.885.1+1.667%-
vs Weaker (18)46.242.288.4+3.961%-
This opponent (Libertadores) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadoresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A24/09
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H05/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A08/10
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A10/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H13/10
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/10
LNBP
85.0Avg total
45.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.186.0+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.639.285.8+7.482%-
Last 30 away (13)45.041.286.2+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)45.439.685.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.637.884.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.048.087.0-9.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.542.879.2-6.225%-
vs Weaker (22)48.938.287.0+10.791%-
This opponent (Astros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Astros wins
3
Libertadores wins
DateGameScore
03/09/22Astros v Libertadores98-91
03/09/22Astros v Libertadores113-89
10/10/21Libertadores v Astros89-102
09/10/21Libertadores v Astros99-84
10/09/21Astros v Libertadores89-92
09/09/21Astros v Libertadores100-97
18/10/20Astros v Libertadores96-106
17/10/20Astros v Libertadores89-82
24/09/20Libertadores v Astros96-115
23/09/20Libertadores v Astros99-107
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ACorrecaminos106-91
13/10/23ACorrecaminos99-75
10/10/23HPlateros87-90
08/10/23HPlateros85-102
06/10/23ASoles96-99
05/10/23ASoles68-59
24/09/23HHalcones Rojos96-82
24/09/23HHalcones Rojos91-76
19/09/23ASantos90-73
18/09/23ASantos87-104
Libertadoreslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HPanteras81-78 OT
13/10/23HPanteras99-70
10/10/23AFreseros115-76
08/10/23AFreseros95-92
06/10/23HDorados89-65
05/10/23HDorados89-75
24/09/23AFuerza Regia97-82
23/09/23AFuerza Regia69-81
19/09/23HMineros89-98
17/09/23HMineros94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW70%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %70%62%75%
Points / game91.591.191.7
Allowed / game84.585.283.9
Point differential+7.0+5.9+7.8
Avg total175.9176.4175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertadores
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game90.590.690.4
Allowed / game80.578.883.1
Point differential+9.9+11.8+7.2
Avg total171.1169.4173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Abejas2015575%88.080.7+7.3
2 Fuerza Regia2115671%84.177.1+7.0
3 Libertadores2014670%90.580.5+9.9
4 Astros2014670%91.584.5+7.0
5 Santos2113862%84.981.0+3.8
6 Halcones de Xalapa2112957%84.985.0-0.1
7 Panteras2011955%87.484.3+3.0
8 Plateros2011955%85.487.7-2.2
9 Dorados21101148%82.882.1+0.7
10 Mineros21101148%86.887.2-0.4
11 Halcones Rojos2081240%80.283.3-3.0
12 Soles2051525%75.583.1-7.5
13 Freseros2141719%84.092.8-8.9
14 Correcaminos201195%83.6100.3-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1411261970
Libertadores1625282493
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.