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Aulnoye AS W vs Graffenstaden W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-69
18-16 24-18 29-16 13-19
Position#1
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game63.8
Aulnoye AS W 🏆
France
vs
Graffenstaden W
France
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game69.8
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 10· Salle Nelson Mandela
Women2023-24
Meetings · Aulnoye AS W v Graffenstaden W
24 Jan 2026
AULN76
GRAF80
16 Dec 2023
AULN84
GRAF69
15 Oct 2022
AULN72
GRAF63
18 Dec 2021
AULN65
GRAF54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aulnoye AS W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graffenstaden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aulnoye AS WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Champagne W
#11
L
69-84
69
84
-15
64avg 71
A30/09
French Cup Women
Toulouse W
#4
L
75-105
75
105
-30
62avg 71
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
102-42
102
42
+60
103avg 71
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
77-60
77
60
+17
74avg 71
A21/10
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
62avg 71
H27/10
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
78-58
78
58
+20
76avg 71
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
72-53
72
53
+19
66avg 71
H18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
W
68-53
68
53
+15
61avg 71
A25/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
81-73 OT
81
73
+8
no box
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
69-56
69
56
+13
70avg 71
A09/12
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
13-22
17-27
16-16
16-30
26-25
12-26
21-24
21-13
27-7
35-11
19-11
26-14
19-12
16-13
16-21
19-16
16-22
19-16
10-20
20-14
17-13
16-12
25-19
20-10
23-18
14-8
15-17
15-10
11-17
26-17
16-9
20-18
11-18
23-14
13-17
23-15
19-11
8-12
19-18
141.3Avg total
75.5Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.263.8140.0+12.478%
Season at home (4)79.860.5140.2+19.275%
Season away (5)73.466.4139.8+7.080%
Last 10 (10)75.565.8141.3+9.770%
Last 5 (5)73.658.6132.2+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)58.568.4126.9-9.838%
vs Similar (3)71.378.0149.3-6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)73.460.6134.0+12.869%
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
66-68
66
68
-2
62avg 53
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
57-74
57
74
-17
59avg 53
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#4
L
60-90
60
90
-30
51avg 53
A21/10
Ligue 2 Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#9
L
59-67
59
67
-8
34avg 53
H24/10
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
87-49
87
49
+38
86avg 53
H28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
51-73
51
73
-22
36avg 53
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
60-65
60
65
-5
55avg 53
H18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
L
65-79
65
79
-14
55avg 53
A25/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
48-66
48
66
-18
36avg 53
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
55-64
55
64
-9
no box
H09/12
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
18-14
17-17
20-19
18-18
14-17
11-24
14-15
5-26
14-29
18-15
23-20
11-15
20-18
14-19
14-15
22-12
23-8
22-13
20-16
19-20
4-16
5-22
23-15
13-20
16-14
18-8
13-23
16-17
15-20
11-16
23-26
14-18
14-19
15-10
5-19
19-16
0-21
21-7
15-20
130.3Avg total
60.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)61.069.8130.8-8.811%
Season at home (5)61.463.6125.0-2.220%
Season away (4)60.577.5138.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)60.869.5130.3-8.710%
Last 5 (5)55.869.4125.2-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)57.071.0128.0-14.00%
vs Similar (13)61.065.1126.1-4.138%
vs Weaker (8)72.055.2127.2+16.888%
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
Aulnoye AS WGraffenstaden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aulnoye AS WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Champagne W
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/09
French Cup Women
Toulouse W
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A21/10
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H27/10
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A25/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A09/12
Ligue 2 Women
70.9Avg total
38.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.866.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.832.565.4+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)34.532.967.4+1.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.532.470.9+6.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.864.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.234.063.2-4.838%-
vs Similar (3)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.429.366.7+8.162%-
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tronche Meylan W
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A07/10
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/10
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#4
L
19-55
19
55
-36
A21/10
Ligue 2 Women
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#9
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/10
French Cup Women
Centre Federal BB W
#12
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H28/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A04/11
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#10
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H18/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A25/11
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H02/12
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H09/12
Ligue 2 Women
64.2Avg total
28.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.731.963.7-0.233%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.130.363.4+2.829%-
Last 30 away (13)29.934.164.0-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)28.635.664.2-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)26.036.262.2-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)26.536.663.1-10.112%-
vs Similar (13)31.633.565.2-1.923%-
vs Weaker (8)37.425.663.0+11.862%-
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aulnoye AS Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aulnoye AS W: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.9 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.4
54.1%
45.1%42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.1
28.2%
29.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.7
69.9%
71.3%12.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graffenstaden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graffenstaden W: 57.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
56%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.416.5
44.1%
45.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.93.6
25.9%
29.5%10.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
71.3%13.9
They take 51.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aulnoye AS W
WWWWWLWWLL
Graffenstaden W
LLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#11
+13.0
Net rating
-10.1
100.2
Offensive rating
83.0
87.2
Defensive rating
93.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
42.7%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
20.7%
Turnover %
27.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.2%
3-point %
25.9%
67.3%
Assist %
69.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 83.0Defence87.2 · 93.0Shooting49.9% · 42.7%3-point %28.2% · 25.9%Ball care20.7% · 27.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Aulnoye AS W   ■ Graffenstaden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aulnoye AS W wins
1
Graffenstaden W wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Graffenstaden W v Aulnoye AS W70-41
15/10/22Aulnoye AS W v Graffenstaden W72-63
26/03/22Graffenstaden W v Aulnoye AS W56-60
18/12/21Aulnoye AS W v Graffenstaden W65-54
Aulnoye AS Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AFeytiat W69-56
02/12/23HPays Voironnais W81-73 OT
25/11/23ANice W68-53
18/11/23HMondeville W72-53
04/11/23ATronche Meylan W78-58
27/10/23HChampagne W64-74
21/10/23AMontbrison W77-60
14/10/23HCentre Federal BB W102-42
07/10/23AToulouse W75-105
30/09/23AChampagne W69-84
Graffenstaden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HChartres W55-64
02/12/23HNice W48-66
25/11/23AFeytiat W65-79
18/11/23HChampagne W60-65
04/11/23AMontbrison W51-73
28/10/23HCentre Federal BB W87-49
24/10/23HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W59-67
21/10/23AToulouse W60-90
14/10/23HMondeville W57-74
07/10/23ATronche Meylan W66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aulnoye AS W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game76.279.873.4
Allowed / game63.860.566.4
Point differential+12.4+19.2+7.0
Avg total140.0140.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%25%0%
Graffenstaden W
Ligue 2 Women 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game61.061.460.5
Allowed / game69.863.677.5
Point differential-8.8-2.2-17.0
Avg total130.8125.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aulnoye AS W97278%76.263.8+12.4
2 Toulouse W97278%73.363.8+9.6
3 Chartres W96367%63.757.0+6.7
4 Montbrison W96367%65.661.0+4.6
5 Tronche Meylan W95456%67.661.7+5.9
6 Pays Voironnais W95456%67.068.2-1.2
7 Mondeville W105550%64.260.7+3.5
8 Nice W94544%67.664.1+3.4
9 Champagne W94544%73.474.4-1.0
10 Feytiat W94544%59.265.3-6.1
11 Graffenstaden W91811%61.069.8-8.8
12 Centre Federal BB W101910%50.476.8-26.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aulnoye AS W1824291384
Graffenstaden W1618161969
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