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Aulnoye AS W vs Montbrison W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-64
18-14 18-16 13-23 23-11
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game55.5
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 3· Salle Nelson Mandela
Women2024-25
Meetings · Aulnoye AS W v Montbrison W
22 Nov 2025
AULN69
MONT62
19 Oct 2024
AULN72
MONT64
27 Jan 2024
AULN74
MONT70
12 Nov 2022
AULN64
MONT56
20 Nov 2021
AULN60
MONT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aulnoye AS W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montbrison W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aulnoye AS WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
81-48
81
48
+33
76avg 70
A23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 70
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
W
68-61
68
61
+7
68avg 70
H06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
62avg 70
A10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
H13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
62avg 70
H20/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 70
A24/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#8
L
71-82
71
82
-11
66avg 70
A28/09
French Cup Women
Feytiat W
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
72avg 70
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
70avg 70
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
13-13
23-14
29-8
23-14
12-26
21-18
20-24
17-21
15-12
20-14
16-14
16-24
18-22
15-16
28-23
17-14
28-12
15-22
17-17
15-20
20-14
14-20
18-20
22-20
17-19
10-20
23-17
13-20
18-24
18-21
22-17
18-22
18-18
15-23
22-19
13-15
26-16
12-18
19-16
145.2Avg total
73.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.573.5145.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
Season away (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.272.0145.2+1.240%
Last 5 (5)70.675.8146.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
vs Similar (7)73.675.9149.4-2.343%
vs Weaker (21)74.961.4136.2+13.590%
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Champagne W
#10
W
63-58
63
58
+5
57avg 60
A23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
62-37
62
37
+25
54avg 60
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
61-60
61
60
+1
58avg 60
H06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
64-72
64
72
-8
61avg 60
A10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
69-58
69
58
+11
71avg 60
H13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
53-57
53
57
-4
49avg 60
H20/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
61-80
61
80
-19
57avg 60
A24/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#22
W
82-71
82
71
+11
78avg 60
H28/09
French Cup Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
L
59-64
59
64
-5
50avg 60
A05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
W
58-47
58
47
+11
47avg 60
H12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-6
17-22
6-14
15-7
6-8
18-8
23-14
10-11
15-20
13-17
23-12
15-22
17-16
16-21
16-13
18-8
19-8
16-31
16-11
17-13
8-15
13-12
15-17
21-20
15-18
10-22
15-20
20-13
24-18
21-18
17-22
15-18
13-14
17-19
14-13
15-8
17-6
16-15
10-18
123.6Avg total
63.2Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)58.555.5114.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)58.047.0105.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)59.064.0123.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)63.260.4123.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)62.663.8126.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.766.0128.7-3.333%
vs Similar (17)64.461.3125.6+3.165%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)66.858.8125.6+8.089%
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Aulnoye AS WMontbrison W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aulnoye AS WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#11
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#6
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/04
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#8
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/09
French Cup Women
Feytiat W
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
71.4Avg total
35.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.569.5+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.531.569.0+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.433.670.0+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.971.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.736.475.1+2.357%-
vs Weaker (21)36.730.367.0+6.467%-
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Champagne W
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A23/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#8
W
21-15
21
15
+6
H30/03
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H06/04
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A10/04
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#7
W
37-16
37
16
+21
H13/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H20/04
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/04
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#22
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H28/09
French Cup Women
USBD Alencon W
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
W
32-14
32
14
+18
H12/10
Ligue 2 Women
58.5Avg total
32.0Scored
26.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.162.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.927.960.8+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)32.432.665.0-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)32.026.558.5+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.028.661.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.733.363.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)31.229.660.9+1.659%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)35.229.764.9+5.667%-
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aulnoye AS Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aulnoye AS W: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.8
47.9%
44.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.6
30.3%
28.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws15.110.9
72.2%
70.7%10.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montbrison Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montbrison W: 62.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.2
45.1%
44.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.3
30.6%
28.2%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.511.6
70.3%
70.7%11.6
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aulnoye AS W
WLLLLWLWLW
Montbrison W
WLWLLWLWWW
#9
League position
#2
+0.9
Net rating
+4.6
95.1
Offensive rating
85.3
94.1
Defensive rating
80.6
47.1%
Effective FG%
45.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.8%
25.3%
Turnover %
29.2%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.3%
3-point %
30.6%
76.5%
Assist %
68.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 85.3Defence94.1 · 80.6Shooting47.1% · 45.4%3-point %30.3% · 30.6%Ball care25.3% · 29.2%Off. rebounds36.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Aulnoye AS W   ■ Montbrison W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aulnoye AS W wins
3
Montbrison W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24AUnion Hainaut W70-65
05/10/24HFeytiat W73-82
28/09/24AMontbrison W71-82
24/04/24AToulouse W72-76
20/04/24HToulouse W67-74
13/04/24HNice W77-65
10/04/24ANice W77-85
06/04/24HNice W68-61
30/03/24HChartres W76-82
23/03/24AGraffenstaden W81-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HToulouse W58-47
05/10/24AUSBD Alencon W59-64
28/09/24HAulnoye AS W82-71
24/04/24AChartres W61-80
20/04/24HChartres W53-57
13/04/24HPays Voironnais W69-58
10/04/24APays Voironnais W64-72
06/04/24HPays Voironnais W61-60
30/03/24HTronche Meylan W62-37
23/03/24AChampagne W63-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aulnoye AS W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game71.573.070.0
Allowed / game73.582.065.0
Point differential-2.0-9.0+5.0
Avg total145.0155.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montbrison W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game58.558.059.0
Allowed / game55.547.064.0
Point differential+3.0+11.0-5.0
Avg total114.0105.0123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nice W220100%68.054.0+14.0
2 Feytiat W220100%83.071.0+12.0
3 Mondeville W32167%78.067.7+10.3
4 Pays Voironnais W21150%77.073.5+3.5
5 Montbrison W21150%58.555.5+3.0
6 USBD Alencon W21150%60.560.0+0.5
7 Aulnoye AS W21150%71.573.5-2.0
8 Toulouse W21150%51.555.0-3.5
9 Tronche Meylan W21150%70.576.5-6.0
10 Le Havre W21150%63.570.5-7.0
11 Union Hainaut W2020%58.563.0-4.5
12 Centre Federal BB W3030%56.373.3-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aulnoye AS W1818132372
Montbrison W1416231164
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