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Austin Peay vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-87 (OT)
38-35 40-43 12-9
Position#171
Record16-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#342
Record8-22
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Austin Peay v Bellarmine
19 Dec 2026
AUST v BELL
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
AUST90
BELL70
30 Jan 2025
AUST86
BELL77
01 Mar 2024
AUST90
BELL87
19 Jan 2023
AUST45
BELL56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#97
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/02
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H09/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A16/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
48-49
36-29
31-44
19-29
24-34
37-30
34-41
44-35
41-34
35-37
44-39
33-35
44-32
43-38
44-41
37-36
48-54
37-43
46-36
155.3Avg total
78.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.071.0144.0+2.053%
Season at home (14)78.969.1147.9+9.879%
Season away (16)67.872.7140.5-4.931%
Last 10 (10)78.377.0155.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)82.278.2160.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.768.7128.3-9.033%
vs Similar (20)70.774.0144.7-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.362.2146.5+22.2100%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#201
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
31-41
36-19
33-44
45-43
39-41
38-41
37-44
49-38
28-46
28-29
24-34
37-39
28-36
32-40
36-25
37-38
45-32
30-35
44-55
148.2Avg total
72.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)68.974.3143.2-5.527%
Season at home (13)72.168.9141.0+3.246%
Season away (17)66.478.5144.9-12.112%
Last 10 (10)72.176.1148.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)68.272.6140.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.379.2146.6-11.915%
vs Similar (7)65.168.1133.3-3.029%
vs Weaker (2)82.555.0137.5+27.5100%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -5.3-5.3
Austin PeayBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#97
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A01/02
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H29/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
35.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.268.7+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.331.869.1+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)32.136.368.4-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.534.670.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.874.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.034.363.3-5.333%-
vs Similar (20)33.235.468.6-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.329.870.2+10.567%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#201
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H27/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/02
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
36.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.367.8-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.231.967.2+3.346%-
Last 30 away (17)32.336.168.4-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.271.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.269.0-3.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.736.569.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (7)32.031.363.3+0.743%-
vs Weaker (2)39.526.566.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Austin Peay wins
1
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Bellarmine v Austin Peay68-84
20/01/23Austin Peay v Bellarmine45-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HEastern Kentucky83-79
24/02/24HLipscomb85-90
18/02/24ANorth Alabama87-79
16/02/24ACentral Arkansas77-67
10/02/24HQueens Royals79-76
09/02/24HKennesaw State85-69
03/02/24HNorth Florida95-91 OT
01/02/24AJacksonville Dolphins43-63
28/01/24AFlorida Gulf Coast67-73
26/01/24AStetson82-83
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24ALipscomb74-90
24/02/24HNorth Alabama82-70
22/02/24HCentral Arkansas68-65
18/02/24HEastern Kentucky65-75
11/02/24AFlorida Gulf Coast52-63
07/02/24HStetson77-84
03/02/24AQueens Royals75-85
02/02/24AKennesaw State96-95 OT
27/01/24HJacksonville Dolphins69-63
25/01/24HNorth Florida63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %53%79%31%
Points / game73.078.967.8
Allowed / game71.069.172.7
Point differential+2.0+9.8-4.9
Avg total144.0147.9140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)86% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL27%
HomeWLLWW46%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %27%46%12%
Points / game68.972.166.4
Allowed / game74.368.978.5
Point differential-5.5+3.2-12.1
Avg total143.2141.0144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
2 Lipscomb30191163%82.376.8+5.5
3 Stetson31191261%76.571.8+4.6
4 Eastern Kentucky29171259%81.876.7+5.1
5 Austin Peay30161453%73.071.0+2.0
6 North Florida31161552%77.475.0+2.3
7 North Alabama30141647%76.676.1+0.5
8 Florida Gulf Coast31141745%70.671.2-0.5
9 Queens Royals31131842%80.782.2-1.4
10 Central Arkansas3292328%72.278.2-6.0
11 Bellarmine3082227%68.974.3-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Austin Peay38401290
Bellarmine3543987
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