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Austin Peay vs Central Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 88-93
0-0 46-44 0-0 42-49
Position#49
Record21-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#83
Record18-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Austin Peay v Central Arkansas
20 Jan 2027
AUST v CENT
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
AUST88
CENT93
08 Feb 2025
AUST90
CENT67
20 Jan 2024
AUST94
CENT71
07 Jan 2023
AUST86
CENT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H22/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-29
0-0
42-33
0-0
31-32
0-0
42-33
0-0
42-36
0-0
48-46
0-0
44-35
0-0
37-43
0-0
35-38
0-0
52-38
0-0
47-26
0-0
44-36
0-0
52-50
0-0
43-37
0-0
53-33
0-0
37-37
0-0
29-43
0-0
48-33
0-0
33-28
0-0
32-33
155.1Avg total
83.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.270.9152.1+10.378%
Season at home (12)88.566.5155.0+22.0100%
Season away (15)75.474.5149.9+0.960%
Last 10 (10)83.271.9155.1+11.3100%
Last 5 (5)83.671.2154.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.587.0156.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (4)75.075.8150.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (24)82.469.6152.0+12.883%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#243
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A22/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
100-90
100
90
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H05/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A07/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H12/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H14/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A20/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-34
0-0
43-31
0-0
40-45
0-0
60-45
0-0
40-27
0-0
50-54
0-0
40-39
0-0
41-21
0-0
45-33
0-0
41-45
0-0
29-37
0-0
43-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
51-42
0-0
44-35
0-0
35-27
0-0
52-26
0-0
36-50
0-0
29-32
0-0
34-31
156.5Avg total
83.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.073.8153.8+6.262%
Season at home (14)87.166.4153.5+20.693%
Season away (15)73.480.7154.1-7.333%
Last 10 (10)83.772.8156.5+10.990%
Last 5 (5)78.870.8149.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.083.5152.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.986.0152.9-19.114%
vs Weaker (20)83.970.4154.3+13.580%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +6.0+6.0
Austin PeayCentral Arkansas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/02
NCAA
75.7Avg total
40.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.175.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.735.279.8+9.569%-
Last 30 away (17)36.535.171.6+1.565%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.075.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.078.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.040.575.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.836.572.2-0.825%-
vs Weaker (24)41.234.475.6+6.875%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#243
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A20/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A21/02
NCAA
73.7Avg total
39.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.973.4+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.430.472.8+11.979%-
Last 30 away (16)35.238.874.0-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.273.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.870.2+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.546.574.0-19.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.139.074.1-3.929%-
vs Weaker (20)40.432.873.2+7.660%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Austin Peay wins
1
Central Arkansas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins65-61
20/02/26ANorth Florida77-76
14/02/26HBellarmine90-70
12/02/26AQueens Royals95-87
07/02/26HNorth Alabama91-62
05/02/26HLipscomb87-76
31/01/26AWest Georgia81-78
29/01/26AEastern Kentucky90-82
23/01/26HStetson73-65
22/01/26HFlorida Gulf Coast83-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast71-75 OT
20/02/26AStetson88-76
14/02/26HWest Georgia79-62
12/02/26HBellarmine84-76
10/02/26ANorth Alabama72-65
07/02/26ALipscomb86-78
05/02/26HNorth Alabama81-60
31/01/26HEastern Kentucky90-81
29/01/26AQueens Royals100-90
22/01/26AWest Georgia86-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game81.288.575.4
Allowed / game70.966.574.5
Point differential+10.3+22.0+0.9
Avg total152.1155.0149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%93%33%
Points / game80.087.173.4
Allowed / game73.866.480.7
Point differential+6.2+20.6-7.3
Avg total153.8153.5154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%7%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2721678%81.270.9+10.3
2 Central Arkansas29181162%80.073.8+6.2
3 Lipscomb30181260%80.575.6+4.9
4 Queens Royals30181260%84.983.2+1.7
5 Florida Gulf Coast29141548%78.977.9+1.0
6 West Georgia29131645%76.580.2-3.7
7 Bellarmine28111739%79.581.4-1.9
8 Eastern Kentucky30111937%80.581.6-1.1
9 Stetson29101934%73.080.5-7.5
10 North Alabama2781930%69.978.4-8.4
11 North Florida2962321%80.288.7-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Austin Peay04604288
Central Arkansas04404993
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