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Austin Peay vs North Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-69
38-45 52-24
Position#275
Record13-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#228
Record15-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game84.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Austin Peay v North Florida
01 Jan 2026
AUST102
NORT83
02 Mar 2025
AUST90
NORT69
05 Mar 2024
AUST101
NORT98
03 Feb 2024
AUST95
NORT91
18 Feb 2023
AUST73
NORT71
07 Dec 2019
AUST90
NORT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
W
86-77 OT
86
77
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A01/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H06/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
68-94
68
94
-26
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H25/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
29-40
44-45
38-43
29-40
35-34
46-32
44-35
37-30
36-30
38-31
38-32
19-50
49-44
34-30
58-48
29-43
49-52
38-35
32-38
154.8Avg total
77.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)71.274.6145.8-3.442%
Season at home (14)76.170.0146.1+6.157%
Season away (17)67.278.4145.6-11.229%
Last 10 (10)77.976.9154.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)76.880.6157.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.979.6147.5-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)67.266.8134.0+0.350%
vs Weaker (8)78.070.4148.4+7.662%
This opponent (North Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#341
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H08/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-51
49-28
32-50
45-41
50-47
25-44
45-40
32-39
38-44
49-32
21-38
39-30
40-41
34-35
43-38
41-43
41-43
39-44
42-42
165.2Avg total
81.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.384.6167.9-1.348%
Season at home (14)87.983.4171.3+4.457%
Season away (17)79.585.5165.1-6.041%
Last 10 (10)81.983.3165.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.587.4162.9-11.920%
vs Similar ◀ (5)88.686.8175.4+1.860%
vs Weaker (9)91.783.0174.7+8.778%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -4.0-4.0
Austin PeayNorth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H06/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H15/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
19-50
19
50
-31
A18/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H25/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A27/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
35.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.267.1-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.532.166.6+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)29.837.667.4-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.772.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.869.4-6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.736.866.4-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.333.364.7-2.050%-
vs Weaker (8)36.633.570.1+3.175%-
This opponent (North Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#341
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A01/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H08/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H27/02
NCAA
76.8Avg total
39.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.578.4-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.679.5+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.277.4-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.176.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.743.177.7-8.413%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.236.478.6+5.860%-
vs Weaker (9)42.437.079.4+5.478%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Austin Peay wins
2
North Florida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AWest Georgia70-73
25/02/25HLipscomb78-95
21/02/25AQueens Royals92-78
18/02/25ABellarmine68-94
15/02/25HStetson76-63
14/02/25HFlorida Gulf Coast73-60
08/02/25HCentral Arkansas90-67
06/02/25HNorth Alabama64-74
01/02/25AEastern Kentucky82-88
31/01/25HBellarmine86-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HEastern Kentucky81-86
25/02/25AFlorida Gulf Coast82-86
21/02/25HJacksonville Dolphins77-73
19/02/25AStetson79-71
15/02/25ACentral Arkansas83-84 OT
14/02/25ANorth Alabama70-83
08/02/25HFlorida Gulf Coast70-84
07/02/25HBellarmine95-88
01/02/25AJacksonville Dolphins81-78
30/01/25HStetson101-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %42%57%29%
Points / game71.276.167.2
Allowed / game74.670.078.4
Point differential-3.4+6.1-11.2
Avg total145.8146.1145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %10%14%6%
North Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %48%57%41%
Points / game83.387.979.5
Allowed / game84.683.485.5
Point differential-1.3+4.4-6.0
Avg total167.9171.3165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %10%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lipscomb3122971%79.267.2+12.0
2 North Alabama3122971%79.370.9+8.4
3 Eastern Kentucky31181358%78.275.2+3.0
4 Florida Gulf Coast31181358%72.869.7+3.0
5 Queens Royals31181358%76.874.2+2.6
6 North Florida31151648%83.384.6-1.3
7 Austin Peay31131842%71.274.6-3.4
8 Central Arkansas3182326%70.278.1-8.0
9 Stetson3182326%71.681.6-10.0
10 West Georgia3162519%69.078.3-9.2
11 Bellarmine3152616%72.680.1-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay385290
North Florida452469
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