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Austin Peay vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-61
30-36 47-25
Position#338
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#151
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Austin Peay v Tennessee State
03 Dec 2022
AUST77
TENN61
12 Feb 2022
AUST54
TENN52
30 Jan 2021
AUST71
TENN56
23 Jan 2020
AUST99
TENN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
51-78
51
78
-27
A03/03
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
50-99
50
99
-49
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H15/11
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A21/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
24-22
26-38
25-40
21-49
29-50
16-31
28-32
50-34
48-40
32-30
30-30
30-32
44-27
33-29
32-50
29-24
26-32
33-32
41-43
133.2Avg total
63.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.270.6135.9-5.438%
Season at home (3)75.768.3144.0+7.333%
Season away (5)59.072.0131.0-13.040%
Last 10 (10)63.769.5133.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)66.065.8131.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.171.5128.6-14.313%
vs Similar (12)67.569.1136.6-1.650%
vs Weaker (3)74.760.0134.7+14.7100%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A26/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H03/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A04/03
NCAA
Fisk
#386
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H08/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A18/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H21/11
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H23/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
36-41
42-28
35-34
20-36
35-43
37-35
48-40
35-35
45-26
47-35
40-41
27-36
17-21
40-41
34-32
37-38
35-39
26-36
37-44
143.1Avg total
70.4Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.171.3143.4+0.957%
Season at home (5)79.672.4152.0+7.280%
Season away (2)53.568.5122.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)70.472.7143.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)68.072.6140.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)58.775.5134.2-16.80%
vs Similar (11)73.972.0145.9+1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)71.768.2139.8+3.567%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +0.1+0.1
Austin PeayTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A03/03
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A08/11
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
16-31
16
31
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/11
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/12
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.032.962.9-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.532.364.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)28.333.361.6-4.939%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.963.9-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.460.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)26.634.561.1-7.933%-
vs Similar (12)30.931.962.8-1.042%-
vs Weaker (3)43.328.772.0+14.7100%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H03/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Fisk
#386
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A18/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H21/11
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H23/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
34.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.968.3-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.234.771.9+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)29.035.264.2-6.221%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.670.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.272.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.338.867.2-10.517%-
vs Similar (11)34.634.769.4-0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.533.767.2-0.233%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Austin Peay wins
2
Tennessee State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HWestern Kentucky74-75
26/11/22HHoward55-56
22/11/22ABucknell65-79
21/11/22AAlbany74-59
18/11/22ASouth Florida62-60
15/11/22HMilligan98-74
12/11/22APurdue44-63
08/11/22ANC State50-99
03/03/22ATennessee Tech51-78
26/02/22AEastern Illinois64-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens63-80
23/11/22HHigh Point72-77
21/11/22HCS Northridge74-73
18/11/22ASouthern Illinois44-57
15/11/22HAlabama A&M Bulldogs87-76
12/11/22HSouth Carolina St80-61
08/11/22HFisk85-75
04/03/22ASoutheast Missouri State55-79
03/03/22HSiu Edwardsville77-62
26/02/22ABelmont67-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game65.275.759.0
Allowed / game70.668.372.0
Point differential-5.4+7.3-13.0
Avg total135.9144.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game72.179.653.5
Allowed / game71.372.468.5
Point differential+0.9+7.2-15.0
Avg total143.4152.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens Royals97278%81.168.7+12.4
2 Florida Gulf Coast86275%74.264.2+10.0
3 Lipscomb75271%80.969.1+11.7
4 Stetson64267%83.568.8+14.7
5 Jacksonville53260%69.057.8+11.2
6 North Alabama95456%79.674.2+5.3
7 Eastern Kentucky84450%83.574.6+8.9
8 Central Arkansas84450%76.975.0+1.9
9 Austin Peay83538%65.270.6-5.4
10 North Florida72529%74.080.9-6.9
11 Bellarmine82625%61.468.1-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville97278%78.369.3+9.0
2 Southeast Missouri State85362%70.462.4+8.0
3 Tennessee State74357%72.171.3+0.9
4 Western Illinois84450%76.574.5+2.0
5 UT Martin94544%81.275.8+5.4
6 Morehead State94544%74.669.7+4.9
7 Lindenwood94544%73.373.3+0.0
8 Southern Indiana73443%76.072.9+3.1
9 Tennessee Tech93633%71.773.3-1.7
10 UALR82625%72.283.5-11.2
11 Eastern Illinois81712%63.269.6-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay304777
Tennessee State362561
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